Threat Matrix: September 2007

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[nwctwx]

The Birth of al Qaedastan

In the year 2016, the world may find itself gloomily marking September 6 as the tenth anniversary of the creation of the Islamic Emirate of Waziristan. The Emirate received de facto recognition when the Taliban used the name on the ceasefire agreement they signed with Pakistan on that day in 2006. If things go terribly wrong in the coming decade, they could come to rule a mountainous fragment of Pakistan and Afghanistan.

The Emirate would be a nightmare state: Osama bin Laden as sultan, Ayman al Zawahiri as vizier, and Mullah Omar the spiritual leader. An economy built on smuggling and heroin. Primary export: terrorism. Welcome to ‘Al Qaedastan’.

Analysts say the rise of a terrorist state straddling the rugged area between Pakistan and Afghanistan is now viable. The reason is a number of troubling trends. One, the revival of a Taliban firmly in the control of Al Qaeda. Two, the seeming inability of either Kabul or Islamabad to defeat the new threat militarily. Three, and the most striking, the Taliban’s systematic supplanting of the traditional tribal leadership in the area. Full story...

	Lebanon: Tiny Country, Big Threats
	Islamist Web Site Explains 'How to Join Al Qaeda'
	The Ongoing Hunt for Osama bin Laden

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[drymans wife]

This makes me draw the conclusion that our government shut down that site.

I hope I am wrong.

DW

[milkncookies]

No overt threats.
Rambling speech.
Tape appears to be new.

Per Fox News.

[drymans wife]

I wish we could see for ourselves. Opinion, if Al Queda shut down these sites, then I would think that they would post it on another site. If it goes away just like every other incidence that happens across our country, nothing to see here move along, then out government shut down these sites.

[celtic-cat]

Personally, I assume that the jihadis shut down the sites because it was not intended that the US Gov’t get the tape ahead of the people.

Whether this means that they are pulling back the *go* signal, or that they are now trying to find the leaker, I don’t know.

I lean more towards the *find the leaker* scenerio, however.

[GorillaMa]

Only Al-Qaida has this kind of power to shut down the websites. The US just can’t match this kind of capability, right? I mean, uh, how ludicrous to think the US would/could even do that!

RE:
“Another possibility is that the U.S. government shut down the sites, but that was unlikely, he said.

“I don’t think they would have the legal or technical capability to do so, to collectively shut all these sites at the same time. Also, I don’t think the U.S. government is necessarily interested in shutting these sites down, unless there is something so provocative and dangerous in what bin Laden is saying.”

“It’s pretty remote that the content of his speech is so incendiary that they would shut down all the sites. The idea that they (U.S. government) could totally prevent this from coming out on the Internet is ludicrous,” he said. . .

[celtic-cat]

Fox news just showed a portion of the tape. Sky news seems to have a copy.

[drymans wife]

Shephard Smith on Fox just aired a piece of it that they got from Skynews, he said, in spite the fact that they had agreed not to air it. They just showed a short clip.

I know the media thinks that they are preventing Al Qaeda from spewing there hatred by not airing these things.

This video will come out.

[celtic-cat]

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2007/09/new-obl-tape-ir.html

This is a partial transcript

[callmejoe]

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2007/09/new-obl-tape-ir.html

” . . .Bin Laden comes close to offering a date for the tape with this by saying, “... just a few days ago, the Japanese observed the 62nd anniversary of the annihilation of Hiroshima and Nagasaki by your nuclear weapons.” The anniversary was on August 6.”

[celtic-cat]

It’s definately new. He mentions the mortgage finance crisis.

[milkncookies]

LINK TO TRANSCRIPT OF BIN LADEN'S VIDEO

[milkncookies]

"To conclude," bin Laden says, "I invite you to
embrace Islam." He goes on to say: "There are no taxes
in Islam, but rather there is a limited Zakaat [alms]
totaling 2.5 percent.”

Accept Islam! Lower your tax rates!

[Mata6858]

DIdn’t the web sites go down before 9/11. If I am remembering right before an attack they all go down or am I wrong on that.

[milkncookies]

Well, they went “quiet” before 9/11.
Chatter had been extraordinarily high until a few days prior to the event. Then they ceased virtually all communication.
I believe this has been the case for several other attacks they’re responsible for.

[Oorang]

I don't know, you could try these links.

Complete 911 Timeline

Annotated Timeline of the 9/11 Hijackers for Researchers

9/11 TImeline

[celtic-cat]

The stock market is tanking. It started before the transcript became available.

[drymans wife]

I am glad it wasn’t the government.

Just means we need to really be concerned and watchful.

[nwctwx]

I guess he has nothing new for us, but continues to build his case for the next attack that will likely be much larger than 9/11.

[drymans wife]

Maybe, his remark on our economy and our mortgage problems, is a sign to attack our financial district.

[Cindy]

Regarding post no. 429:
It’s phosgene.
There’s a link on that post that details how it works.

Regarding the German plot and the Denmark arrests and other AQ arrests...I believe it’s a series of incidents.

Or to look at in a simple way, “Jihad — another day.”