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Global warming will step up after 2009: scientists
Reuters via Yahoo ^ | 2007 Aug 09 | Deborah Zabarenko

Posted on 08/09/2007 1:52:23 PM PDT by Brujo

Global warming is forecast to set in with a vengeance after 2009, with at least half of the five following years expected to be hotter than 1998, the warmest year on record, scientists reported on Thursday.

Climate experts have long predicted a general warming trend over the 21st century spurred by the greenhouse effect, but this new study gets more specific about what is likely to happen in the decade that started in 2005.

To make this kind of prediction, researchers at Britain's Met Office -- which deals with meteorology -- made a computer model that takes into account such natural phenomena as the El Nino pattern in the Pacific Ocean and other fluctuations in ocean circulation and heat content.

A forecast of the next decade is particularly useful, because climate could be dominated over this period by these natural changes, rather than human-caused global warming, study author Douglas Smith said by telephone.

In research published in the journal Science, Smith and his colleagues predicted that the next three or four years would show little warming despite an overall forecast that saw warming over the decade.

"There is ... particular interest in the coming decade, which represents a key planning horizon for infrastructure upgrades, insurance, energy policy and business development," Smith and his co-authors noted.

The real heat will start after 2009, they said.

...

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw; doomed; dooomed; doooomed
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The old hockey stick projection. No change in the immediate future, but, boy, is it going to go up Real Soon Now.

(By the way, didn't NASA recant and now 1934 is the hottest year on record?

1 posted on 08/09/2007 1:52:24 PM PDT by Brujo
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To: Brujo

...well it’s nice of global warming to wait until Hillary takes the White House....


2 posted on 08/09/2007 1:53:34 PM PDT by Tzimisce (How Would Mohammed Vote? Hillary for President! www.dndorks.com)
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To: Brujo

“I’ll Gladly Pay You Tomorrow for a Hamburger Today”


3 posted on 08/09/2007 1:54:26 PM PDT by 1rudeboy (I can't explain why I thought of it.)
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To: Brujo

IOW, far enough out that everyone will have forgotten this proclamation by the time it comes due (and doesn’t happen).


4 posted on 08/09/2007 1:55:09 PM PDT by Little Pig (Is it time for "Cowboys and Muslims" yet?)
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To: Brujo

Once this record cool summer is over, “global warming” will resume, eh?

(Record cool here in North Texas, anyway; it hasn’t yet hit 100 here this year)


5 posted on 08/09/2007 1:55:24 PM PDT by Redbob (WWJBD - "What would Jack Bauer Do?")
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To: Brujo

We are all going to die!


6 posted on 08/09/2007 1:56:23 PM PDT by fogofbobegabay
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To: Brujo

If the following all were true, I’ll admit I’d be concerned:

1. the world really is going to heat up “dramatically” after 2009;

2. this is a man-made cause — or, at least, is more than minimally so, as opposed to being due to historically normal non-andropogenic actions (sun cycles, production of greenhouse gases by animals, plants, volcanoes); and

3. the warming will have a NET OVERALL negative effect on human quality of life.

I believe none of these things as of today. I’m open minded, but until someone convinces me of all 3, I cannot be simultaneously (1) emotionally honest and (2) worried.


7 posted on 08/09/2007 1:57:36 PM PDT by pogo101
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To: Brujo
made a computer model that takes into account such natural phenomena as the El Nino

Add a few hundred more variables and maybe their model will get interesting.
8 posted on 08/09/2007 1:57:43 PM PDT by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: Brujo
... So stop bothering us about the fact that nothing is happening between now and the 2008 US Presidential Elections. The Apocalypse is scheduled for right after the Inauguration.
9 posted on 08/09/2007 1:58:19 PM PDT by gridlock (You cannot coexist with somebody who wants you dead.)
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To: Brujo

Guesswork about the future warming or cooling trends of the Late Great Planet Earth will be about as thick as fleas at the dog pound.


10 posted on 08/09/2007 1:58:50 PM PDT by Knute (Tell me again ONE good reason I'm living here in Wisconsin??)
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To: SunkenCiv
Possible Catastrophism ping.
11 posted on 08/09/2007 1:59:10 PM PDT by Brujo (Quod volunt, credunt.)
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To: Redbob
Record cool summers are evidence of global warming — didn’t you get the memo?
12 posted on 08/09/2007 1:59:23 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: Brujo
which represents a key planning horizon

Very clever...tell US that global warming is gonna really kick in UNLESS we start taking care of it now, you know with a key planning horizon (tax, tax and tax!) and then when it doesn't happen they can say "see, better keep up with that planning horizon (tax) b/c it really worked"
13 posted on 08/09/2007 1:59:27 PM PDT by socialismisinsidious ( The socialist income tax system turns US citizens into beggars or quitters!)
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To: Brujo; OKSooner; honolulugal; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; gruffwolf; ...

FReepmail me to get on or off


Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown

New!!: Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH

Ping me if you find one I've missed.


Bravo Siera
14 posted on 08/09/2007 1:59:38 PM PDT by xcamel ("It's Talk Thompson Time!" >> irc://irc.freenode.net/fredthompson)
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To: Brujo
To make this kind of prediction, researchers at Britain's Met Office -- which deals with meteorology -- made a computer model that

A computer model. What a surprise.

15 posted on 08/09/2007 1:59:41 PM PDT by dirtboy (Impeach Chertoff and Gonzales. We can't wait until 2009 for them to be gone.)
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To: Brujo

Especially if Hillary becomes president.

Expect to see a Global Warming Czar...maybe even...Al Gore.


16 posted on 08/09/2007 2:00:09 PM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
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To: P-40
Add a few hundred more variables and maybe their model will get interesting.

A few hundred thousand more, perhaps.

17 posted on 08/09/2007 2:00:19 PM PDT by dirtboy (Impeach Chertoff and Gonzales. We can't wait until 2009 for them to be gone.)
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To: Brujo
Liberals always think that the world is static not dynamic. Cut taxes and you will get deficits... that is until the increase in spending in capital equipment makes things cheaper and jobs are created generating MORE revenue that was lost.

They view global temperatures in the same way, static not dynamic. An increase in global temperature as always progressing, unless its just another interglacial period that will be followed by the coming ice age.

18 posted on 08/09/2007 2:00:32 PM PDT by Mikey_1962 (If Roger Maris got an asterisk next to his name, Bonds should get a syringe)
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To: pogo101

Edit: andro- should be anthro-.


19 posted on 08/09/2007 2:03:15 PM PDT by pogo101
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To: finnman69

I think you hit the nail.


20 posted on 08/09/2007 2:03:50 PM PDT by SolidWood (UN delenda est.)
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