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Bravo Siera
Posted on 08/09/2007 1:52:23 PM PDT by Brujo
Global warming is forecast to set in with a vengeance after 2009, with at least half of the five following years expected to be hotter than 1998, the warmest year on record, scientists reported on Thursday.
Climate experts have long predicted a general warming trend over the 21st century spurred by the greenhouse effect, but this new study gets more specific about what is likely to happen in the decade that started in 2005.
To make this kind of prediction, researchers at Britain's Met Office -- which deals with meteorology -- made a computer model that takes into account such natural phenomena as the El Nino pattern in the Pacific Ocean and other fluctuations in ocean circulation and heat content.
A forecast of the next decade is particularly useful, because climate could be dominated over this period by these natural changes, rather than human-caused global warming, study author Douglas Smith said by telephone.
In research published in the journal Science, Smith and his colleagues predicted that the next three or four years would show little warming despite an overall forecast that saw warming over the decade.
"There is ... particular interest in the coming decade, which represents a key planning horizon for infrastructure upgrades, insurance, energy policy and business development," Smith and his co-authors noted.
The real heat will start after 2009, they said.
...
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
(By the way, didn't NASA recant and now 1934 is the hottest year on record?
...well it’s nice of global warming to wait until Hillary takes the White House....
“I’ll Gladly Pay You Tomorrow for a Hamburger Today”
IOW, far enough out that everyone will have forgotten this proclamation by the time it comes due (and doesn’t happen).
Once this record cool summer is over, “global warming” will resume, eh?
(Record cool here in North Texas, anyway; it hasn’t yet hit 100 here this year)
We are all going to die!
If the following all were true, I’ll admit I’d be concerned:
1. the world really is going to heat up “dramatically” after 2009;
2. this is a man-made cause — or, at least, is more than minimally so, as opposed to being due to historically normal non-andropogenic actions (sun cycles, production of greenhouse gases by animals, plants, volcanoes); and
3. the warming will have a NET OVERALL negative effect on human quality of life.
I believe none of these things as of today. I’m open minded, but until someone convinces me of all 3, I cannot be simultaneously (1) emotionally honest and (2) worried.
Guesswork about the future warming or cooling trends of the Late Great Planet Earth will be about as thick as fleas at the dog pound.
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
New!!: Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH
Ping me if you find one I've missed.
A computer model. What a surprise.
Especially if Hillary becomes president.
Expect to see a Global Warming Czar...maybe even...Al Gore.
A few hundred thousand more, perhaps.
They view global temperatures in the same way, static not dynamic. An increase in global temperature as always progressing, unless its just another interglacial period that will be followed by the coming ice age.
Edit: andro- should be anthro-.
I think you hit the nail.
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