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Pork price rises fuel China inflation fear
Financial Times ^ | May 28 2007 13:05 | By Richard McGregor in Beijing and Jamil Anderlini in Hong Kong

Posted on 05/29/2007 5:41:36 PM PDT by DeaconBenjamin2

A disease killing millions of pigs in China has sharply lifted the price of pork, the country’s staple meat, fuelling fears about inflation and prompting a call from the top leadership for increased production of the meat.

Wen Jiabao, premier, provided confirmation of the seriousness of the crisis with a weekend visit to a market in Shaanxi province, where he said farmers should help “resolve the problem” of providing meat for 1.3bn people.

Pork prices have risen by as much as 30 per cent in Chinese cities over the last week. According to the agriculture ministry, wholesale prices for pigs have gone up even more, rising 71.3 per cent since April.

China’s 500m pigs are the country’s most important source of affordable meat, and any sustained interruption in supply would be a major political problem for the government.

While the price of feed, such as corn, has risen, the main culprit is an epidemic of a mysterious illness known as ‘blue ear’ disease, as well as the more common foot-and-mouth affliction.

“I have heard it has killed as many as 20m hogs,” said an industry executive on Monday.

The government has not issued any estimate of how many pigs have been struck down by disease, and in any case, China’s size and the number of small producers make it difficult to quickly tabulate reliable figures.

But the impact of the shortage of pork is apparent in many areas, from sausage makers switching meats, to rising offal prices, and attempts by Hong Kong to import meat from South America.

China cannot easily find competitively priced pork to replace the shortfall at home, because of its own health-related restrictions on imports from South America, where prices are relatively low. US and European pork is relatively expensive.

The government has a “strategic pork reserve”, established in the late nineties, including both frozen stocks and access to pig farms, which could provide a buffer.

“We are considering releasing some of these reserves into the market in certain targeted areas in order to reduce soaring prices,” said Li Xizhen of the Ministry of Commerce.

“We will not be giving free meat to people, but will sell pork and use market mechanisms to bring down volatility.”

Mr Wen, in his visit to the market, said the government “is going all out to ensure the supply of pork and keep it affordable.”

Soaring pork prices are also expected to add to inflation, already under pressure from rising food prices in other areas.

“The surge in pork prices will likely push year-on-year CPI inflation to above 4 per cent very soon,” said Hong Liang, of Goldman Sachs, in Hong Kong, in a research note.

“Meat constitutes about 7 per cent of the CPI basket, and its price pressures are likely to spread to eggs, fish and other food products.”

Although 4 per cent is above the central bank’s unofficial “tolerance rate” of three, core inflation remains low.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; disease; food
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If only we could kill off the pork in Congress.
1 posted on 05/29/2007 5:41:39 PM PDT by DeaconBenjamin2
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To: DeaconBenjamin2

I doubt it is a disease killing those pigs. No telling what they are feeding them.


2 posted on 05/29/2007 5:43:23 PM PDT by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: DeaconBenjamin2
The government has a “strategic pork reserve”

Do we have one of these? Are we in danger of a "pork gap", or do we have pork supremacy?

3 posted on 05/29/2007 5:45:48 PM PDT by operation clinton cleanup
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To: DeaconBenjamin2
The probably fed their pigs their own tainted grain this time which was meant for us........
4 posted on 05/29/2007 5:46:16 PM PDT by b4its2late (Liberalism is a mental disorder.)
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To: DeaconBenjamin2

“disease killing millions of pigs”

Not to worry, china will just ship them to the US for consumption.


5 posted on 05/29/2007 5:52:37 PM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like what you say))
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To: b4its2late

Soon we’ll have self-examination for blue ears.


6 posted on 05/29/2007 5:52:49 PM PDT by DeaconBenjamin2
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To: operation clinton cleanup

The government has a “strategic pork reserve”

Visions of Salt domes pumped full of minced pork.

Actually this is very similar to the democrats own slush funds.


7 posted on 05/29/2007 5:54:55 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: mom4kittys

Let’s hope they aren’t importing any of this pork somehow.


8 posted on 05/29/2007 5:55:28 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: operation clinton cleanup
The government has a “strategic pork reserve”

Do we have one of these? Are we in danger of a "pork gap", or do we have pork supremacy?

"We must not allow a Strategic Pork Reserve Gap!!"


9 posted on 05/29/2007 6:06:47 PM PDT by Dumpster Baby ("Hope somebody finds me before the rats do .....")
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To: Arizona Carolyn; mom4kittys; blam; Salamander; Red Badger; WakeUpAndVote; dirtboy; Overtaxed; ...

10 posted on 05/29/2007 6:10:49 PM PDT by mom4kittys (If velvet could sing, it would sound like Josh Groban)
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To: Dumpster Baby
As long as we can produce mega-pigs, we are safe.


11 posted on 05/29/2007 6:13:57 PM PDT by operation clinton cleanup
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To: metmom
That is a real fear. With waste and remainder products being used in pet food, in particular, it would be easy to see the Chinese deciding to increase profits by recycling these carcases rather than destroying them.
12 posted on 05/29/2007 6:16:46 PM PDT by Truth29
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To: operation clinton cleanup
First CORN, and now PORK? There is going to be nothing to eat at BBQs if this keeps up.
13 posted on 05/29/2007 6:23:38 PM PDT by TxCopper
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To: DeaconBenjamin2; mom4kittys
China cannot easily find competitively priced pork to replace the shortfall at home, because of its own health-related restrictions on imports from South America, where prices are relatively low.

China won't import from SA based on health restrictions? LOL!

14 posted on 05/29/2007 6:30:44 PM PDT by fanfan ("We don't start fights my friends, but we finish them, and never leave until our work is done."PMSH)
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To: TxCopper

Maybe AQ have declared a jihad on helpless piggies since they are failing on other fronts.


15 posted on 05/29/2007 6:31:19 PM PDT by operation clinton cleanup
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To: DeaconBenjamin2

Bet they shipped the carcases to the US as bacon and other pork products.


16 posted on 05/29/2007 6:31:52 PM PDT by DemEater
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To: mom4kittys; LucyT

Can’t pig out with those prices, like we would want too anyway. eweeeeeeeee


17 posted on 05/29/2007 6:49:52 PM PDT by sweetiepiezer (Pray for W.)
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To: DeaconBenjamin2

18 posted on 05/29/2007 6:53:46 PM PDT by Bratch (“The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.”)
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To: Bratch

It’s funny. Only a communist commissar would respond to an epidemic by exhorting farmers to produce more.


19 posted on 05/29/2007 7:49:59 PM PDT by ClaireSolt (Have you have gotten mixed up in a mish-masher?)
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To: P-40
I doubt it is a disease killing those pigs. No telling what they are feeding them.

Well at least we will know it was the spareribs that killed us when our ears turn blue .. No telling what the government is feeding Americans

20 posted on 05/29/2007 9:32:53 PM PDT by ears_to_hear
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