Population shift likely to boost GOP

The Washington Times ^ | January 8, 2007 | Donald Lambro

[Clintonfatigued]

Ongoing population shifts from the North to the Sun Belt states will benefit Republicans more than Democrats in future House races and could enlarge the Republican Party's electoral count in presidential elections, political analysts say. Analysts say Democrats have offset the Republicans' Sun Belt advantage with gains in the Northeast and parts of the South and Southwest, but that the size of the migration by the end of this decade likely will give the edge to Republicans. "I think on balance the Republicans will benefit from the larger number of seats in the Sun Belt region. They won't get 100 percent of it, but more than the Democrats do," said Merle Black, a longtime analyst of Southern politics at Emory University in Georgia.

[arthurus]

That population shift will be overwhelmed by the other population shift that is occurring and will accelerate exponentially when the Republicans and the Democrats get their coveted Amnesty passed and signed, in whatever form.

[Cacique]

"Catholicism"? Catholicism is Latin America is closer to the "liberation theology" variety, mixed in with Santeria and a whole bunch of other practices like "Curanderismo". It was tolerated by the church for a long time so they could report back to Rome how many new catholics were being brought to the church. If you are a mainstream catholic brought up in the Italian or Irish or Polish tradition of Europe you would not recognize a modern Latin American service, some things will look familiar. The sermon, though sprinkled with mentions of Christ would seem like a Christianized version of Lenin.

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

summarizing their sociological research on C-span...

garbage in, garbage out...

[arthurus]

The problem upcoming is the Latino "transplants." That makes all those calculations about population shifts from some states to other states and about the fecundity of southern and Christian females irrelevant to anything real. 70-100 million new Latinos will vote for the PRI's closest thing here which would be the Democrats. The kicker is that the Mexican contingent will also continue to vote in Mexico

[ExTexasRedhead]

The overt insanity of Pelosi and her gang of traitors will do more to boost the GOP in the coming hours and days and months.

[Cacique]

see #13 and #24

[Cacique]

see #13 and #24

[bill1952]

Maybe, but in real life that certainly is not happening here in Florida.

Libs just don't understand why they continue to lose elections here, and they just rant and rave about election fraud. - Frankly, I'm sick of it.

Florida may have been a swing state 8 - 10 years ago, but it has trended more red every election, and by a simple twist of fate, is also growing like crazy.

most of the transplants here that I have seen know exactly why they move here, and most of them are not retiring either.

The next census would make Florida number three in delegate count. - In front of NY.

[Elsiejay]

And only to be negated by the votes of recent immigrants, both legal and illegal.

[Uncle Hal]

If blue state residents move to red states are they going to vote blue or red? You could look at this story and come to different conclusions.

[randita]

If blue state residents move to red states are they going to vote blue or red? You could look at this story and come to different conclusions.

Same thought here. New Hampshire used to be reliably conservative, but liberals moving there from Vermont and Mass. (to escape high taxes, what irony) have moved it to at least a toss up, if not fairly blue state.

The conclusions reached in this article could be true if liberal blue staters move to red states and are interspersed among many heavily conservative districts. In that case, the population shift would lead to more congressional seats for the red state without necessarily impacting the heavily conservative districts.

Also, it's a probably the case that many people with the means pick up and move to a southern (red) state would be those wanting to escape the high taxes of blue states -- which means they might lean conservative to begin with. Otherwise, they'd be delighted to stay in blue states and pay out the nose for all their beloved government programs.

[johnthebaptistmoore]

Why are so many politicians asleep at the wheel when it comes to this disaster that's truly coming this way with the influx of the illegal immigration population, and what truly can be done to fully wake up everyone-and I mean everyone who truly is law abiding-to what's coming to the U.S. very soon?

[raftguide]

"people keep thinking this, but then all you hear (from many posters here) is how the new "transplants" are bringing their politics with them."

Its kind of like Nevada. People who hate California politics are moving to Nevada. Only thing is they are bringing their politics with them, and it was those politics that screwed up California in the first place.

[Clemenza]

Well, the issue isn't really that important to much of the electorate. Polls (and election results) show this. Most Americans want enforcement at the border, but it usually barely makes the top 10 in terms of issues important to swing voters.

Contrary to what many of us think, the only people who "foam at the mouth" on the issue of illegal immigration are conservatives.

[JSDude1]

I think we CAN win on Both~ The question is: will we decide to (or blather into liberal obscurity pandering to the media, and leftists)..

[Cacique]

That because we have allowed it to become merely a conservative issue. And Conservatives share part of the blame since they only want to awaken fellow conservatives to the issue. In reality this should be a bi-partisan issue. We have many potential democrat rank and filers out there, rank and file union members whose wages are being eroded. The vast middle class that is fast disappearing. This issue needs to be sol;d to a broad front and it cannot be allowed to be painted by the MSM as merely an issue of the right. The vast center has more to lose that either extreme. The sad truth is that some conservatives view it as an issue of cheap labor and free trade and are willing to swell the ranks of the left for short term gratification of their profit motive. Blacks and other minorities that have been here longer will be left out when the cake is cut and will see what little influence they have erode. The sellouts like the Jacksons and the Sharptons will push for amnesty because socialism is more important to them than the fact that blacks are the biggest losers in all of this. The same holds true for Puerto Ricans who are American citizens by birth. I could write a much longer piece on this and perhaps I will. This battle right here is in the long term much more important than whether Iraq is run by despots or not.

It has been my experience that people show up to the polls for two basic reasons, both have an emotional element to them. One is the pocketbook, the other is simply fear. Both of these triggers must be used in the coming months as tools to oppose amnesty. But it cannot be just a conservative movement, we must ally ourselves with people who have a common ulterior motive in fighting this battle and we may find that some of our best allies in this matter will turn out to be far to the left of us.

People seem to forget that conservatism is a movement, NOT a political party and as long as both parties are beholden to special corporate and other interests they will not be listening to us until we are knocking at their doors and flooding the mailboxes with tons of snailmail in which citizens will have invested a 39 cent stamp and actually took the time to write something original. Emails and faxes are a waste of time and politicians long ago decided to ignore them. Pull up in front of their office with a truckload of mail and they will know there is an angry electorate out there.

[jack308]

You could not be more right. The only chance we have left is to defeat the coming amnesty. I don't have a clue how it can be done but it is the last chance for this country.

[Cacique]

see my post #34

[Reddy]

Disturbingly true.

I guess our only recourse is to pray that amnesty doesn't pass. It will take an act of God to stop it.