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Population shift likely to boost GOP
The Washington Times ^ | January 8, 2007 | Donald Lambro

Posted on 01/08/2007 4:08:59 PM PST by Clintonfatigued

Ongoing population shifts from the North to the Sun Belt states will benefit Republicans more than Democrats in future House races and could enlarge the Republican Party's electoral count in presidential elections, political analysts say. Analysts say Democrats have offset the Republicans' Sun Belt advantage with gains in the Northeast and parts of the South and Southwest, but that the size of the migration by the end of this decade likely will give the edge to Republicans. "I think on balance the Republicans will benefit from the larger number of seats in the Sun Belt region. They won't get 100 percent of it, but more than the Democrats do," said Merle Black, a longtime analyst of Southern politics at Emory University in Georgia.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: demographics; elections; exodus; population
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1 posted on 01/08/2007 4:09:01 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
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To: Clintonfatigued
I'd prefer to win on ideas, but I'll take a victory where I can get it.
2 posted on 01/08/2007 4:10:02 PM PST by Wormwood (Goldwater Republican.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; zbigreddogz; JohnnyZ; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief; ...

Good news ping!


3 posted on 01/08/2007 4:10:16 PM PST by Clintonfatigued ("Appointing Earl Warren was the biggest damn fool thing I ever did." Dwight D. Eisenhower)
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To: Clintonfatigued

people keep thinking this, but then all you hear (from many posters here) is how the new "transplants" are bringing their politics with them.

I hear it on FR from people in texas, north carolina, colorado, virginia, new hampshire, the dakotas and montant, etc. So tell me, which states are getting more conservative?


4 posted on 01/08/2007 4:11:19 PM PST by oceanview
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To: Clintonfatigued

No GOP advantage until after the next census in 2010...Maybe in 2012?


5 posted on 01/08/2007 4:11:38 PM PST by TommyDale (If we don't put a stop to this global warming, we will all be dead in 10,000 years!)
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To: Clintonfatigued
I think someone has their trends off.

I remember someone giving a speech summarizing their sociological research on C-span, where they said that conservatives settle and then stay whereas liberals will move constantly. Thus those that move at retirement will overwhelmingly be liberals.
6 posted on 01/08/2007 4:12:14 PM PST by Fraxinus (My opinion worth what you paid.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Correction, the population boost thanks to more amnesty for illegal immigrants coming soon in the U.S. will benefit leftist politics forever! Good-bye U.S.A., and good-bye conservatism very soon! Grrr!


7 posted on 01/08/2007 4:12:38 PM PST by johnthebaptistmoore
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To: oceanview

...Nevada, Arizona. Why is it that the disease of liberalism spreads so quickly?


8 posted on 01/08/2007 4:14:59 PM PST by My2Cents ("Friends stab you from the front." -- Oscar Wilde)
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To: Wormwood; Clintonfatigued
I'd prefer to win on ideas, but I'll take a victory where I can get it.

Abortion is an idea that affects both.

9 posted on 01/08/2007 4:15:47 PM PST by Paleo Conservative (Happy New Year!)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Ongoing population shifts from the North to the Sun Belt states will benefit Republicans more than Democrats in future House races and could enlarge the Republican Party's electoral count in presidential elections, political analysts say.

Well, let's hope, because otherwise the Democrats will have the sheeple so used to the socialized programs that we won't see a Republican majority for many decades.

And, of course, we need to hope this Democrat majority doesn't involve itself with "redistricting" in clever ways to overcome some of this population shift.

10 posted on 01/08/2007 4:16:14 PM PST by Peach (The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
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To: oceanview

(That is, I'm adding NV and AZ to your list. The Dems see these as swing states by 2008.)


11 posted on 01/08/2007 4:16:45 PM PST by My2Cents ("Friends stab you from the front." -- Oscar Wilde)
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To: Wormwood

"I'd prefer to win on ideas, but I'll take a victory where I can get it."



Guess what, we *are* winning on ideas. People are leaving Democrat states and moving to Republican states.


12 posted on 01/08/2007 4:24:11 PM PST by AuH2ORepublican (http://auh2orepublican.blogspot.com/)
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To: Clintonfatigued; A. Pole; neverdem; Tolerance Sucks Rocks; Clemenza; rmlew; Yehuda; RaceBannon; ...
None of that will happen when there is an amnesty for the "illegal" aliens in this country. By my estimate all the numbers thrown around are being low balled on purpose so as not to alarm anyone. If as the government has stated over the last 20 years 10,000 illegals cross the border on a daily basis after 20 years that comes closer to 65 million, if doesn't take an idiot to do the math. The fact of the matter is, that the government has absolutely no clue how many illegal aliens are in the country.

Why does that matter you ask? Because if amnesty passes this congress as I suspect it will and is signed by a willing accomplice in the white house we will have a huge population shift to the blue states. That will mean redistricting as a result of the 2010 census. It will also mean a major shift in the electoral college and a lock on the white house and legislatures by the democrats.

That is only the tip of the iceberg. Most Latins hold vastly radical ideas far to the left of most "progressive" democrats. The US will shift far to the left as is happening in the rest of Latin America. Most Latin Americans are highly class conscious and identify themselves as the have nots, they have nothing but resentment for the wealthy and productive sector and will vote in any government that promises redistribution of wealth.

How do I know these things? Because I came from there (yes I'm an immigrant, a legal one), I speak the language and I converse with my fellow hispanics the neighborhood where I live which has an abundance of Mexicans, Salvadoreans and Ecuadorians. This country is on the verge of radical change and that threat is closer and more immediate than some can imagine.

13 posted on 01/08/2007 4:25:20 PM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: johnthebaptistmoore

see #13


14 posted on 01/08/2007 4:26:46 PM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: Clintonfatigued
"We don't really know the demographics that are driving the in-and-out migration in these states," said political analyst Rhodes Cook. "Some of them could be more affluent white conservatives, but they might be Hispanics who tend to vote more Democratic."

Bend over and kiss our GOP goodbye..

sw

15 posted on 01/08/2007 4:27:32 PM PST by spectre (Spectre's wife ("One Nation, One Standard")
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To: Cacique

Truly terrifying. I guess their vaunted Catholicism is not really so. I do not understand how my fellow Catholics can be so left.


16 posted on 01/08/2007 4:28:39 PM PST by Norman Bates (President Ford †)
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To: My2Cents

Nevada, Arizona....

Where SoCal goes to retire. Beats me why they bring their failed ideas with them.


17 posted on 01/08/2007 4:29:58 PM PST by tanuki
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To: Clintonfatigued

The Democrats have aborted many of their potential base and commit most of the vote fraud to make up the difference.


18 posted on 01/08/2007 4:30:14 PM PST by Apercu ("A man's character is his fate" - Heraclitus)
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To: My2Cents

Nevada, Arizona....

Where SoCal goes to retire. Beats me why they bring their failed ideas with them.


19 posted on 01/08/2007 4:31:36 PM PST by tanuki
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To: Wormwood

Atleast now we should focus on electing GOP'ers who actually HAVE ideas.


20 posted on 01/08/2007 4:31:59 PM PST by IllumiNaughtyByNature (Obama ... Kinda has the onomatopoeia of a train crashing as it pulls out of the station.)
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