Senate '06 Predictions Challenge (Reward for Best Predictons)

Self | 11/1/06 | Self

[NYC Republican]

I haven't seen this type of thing posted yet, so... here goes... hopefully the mods will be cool with it.

I'd like to have a challenge, whoever predicts the closest to the actual results gets a $500 prize- cash, from yours truly.

Here's how it works... The first 200 posters (one per person) that submit their predictions are in the contest.

You have to make a prediction on the Senate balance of power (the Ind would be in the D column), and as a tie breaker, you would make a prediction on each of the following races, including percentages for each candidate.

PA - Santorum (R-I) vs. Casey (D)

TN - Corker (R) vs. Ford (D) - open seat

MT - Burns (R-I) vs. Tester (D)

VA - Allen (R-I) vs. Webb (D)

RI - Chaffee (R-I) vs. Whitehouse (D)

MO - Talent (R-I) vs. McCaskill (D)

NJ - Kean (R) vs. Menendez (D)

Here are the rules:

- First, the best score on the Senate's balance of power.

- Tie-breaker is whomever gets the most Senate races correct.

- Next tie-breaker is overall point spread - cumulative, in all races (can you tell I'm a football fan?). I'll do all of the stats...

- First 200 predictions will be tallied.

- Must be in by Sunday night.

- Winner gets $500.

- If the GOP maintains both houses, then I'll give an additional $300 to the 2nd place winner and $200 to the 3rd place finisher... I'll be THAT happyh

Please try to keep it in the same format, makes my job easier.

Any questions?

[Eva]

Casey actually came out in support of Lurch? I can't believe our good luck, not only did Kerry provide the Republican October surprise, Casey seconded it. That's wonderful. I hope that Santorum has enough money left to make an ad about it. If he doesn't the Party should help.

[ConservativeGreek]

Senate 52R 47D 1 Independent (Sanders VT)

PA - Santorum (R-I)45% vs. Casey (D) 54%

TN - Corker (R) 52% vs. Ford (D) 48%

MT - Burns (R-I) 51% vs. Tester (D) 49%

VA - Allen (R-I) 51% vs. Webb (D) 48%

RI - Chaffee (R-I) 45% vs. Whitehouse (D) 55%

MO - Talent (R-I)51% vs. McCaskill (D) 49%

NJ - Kean (R) 47% vs. Menendez (D) 53%

[NewLand]

1) NewLand's prediction on the Senate balance of power

Senate - [R] 54 [D] 46

2) NewLand's prediction on each of the following races, including percentages for each candidate.

PA - Santorum [R] 46 vs. Casey [D] 53

TN - Corker(R) 52 vs. Ford(D) 47

MT - Burns (R-I) 50 vs. Tester (D) 49

VA - Allen (R-I) 50 vs. Webb (D) 49

RI - Chaffee (R-I) 46 vs. Whitehouse (D) 53

MO - Talent (R-I) 51 vs. McCaskill (D) 48

NJ - Kean (R) 49.6 vs. Menendez (D) 49.4

BONUS PICK: NewLand picks [R] Steele 50 over [D] Cardin 49

[jmj3jude]

Senate R 57 D 41 I 2, Santorum 47 Casey 52, Corker 54 Ford 46, Burns 51 Tester 48, Allen 53 Webb 44, Chaffee 50.3 Whitehouse 49.6, Talent 52 McCaskill 48, Kean 51 Menendez 49, Steele 53 Cardin 47, Boucard 51 Sabanoff 48.

[jmj3jude]

Senate R 57 D 41 I 2, Santorum 47 Casey 52, Corker 54 Ford 46, Burns 51 Tester 48, Allen 53 Webb 44, Chaffee 50.3 Whitehouse 49.6, Talent 52 McCaskill 48, Kean 51 Menendez 49, Steele 53 Cardin 47, Boucard 51 Sabanoff 48.

[IslandJeff]

Over here!

[Interesting Times]

R 53 D 46 (+ Lieberman)

Santorum 47 Casey 53

Corker 55 Ford 45

Burns 51 Tester 48

Allen 51 Webb 47

Chaffee 45 Whitehouse 55

Talent 48 McCaskill 52

Kean 47 Menendez 53

Steele 51 Cardin 49

[BlessedByLiberty]

Here's my tinfoil, hopeful, fantasy upset:

Feinstein, D-San Francisco loses to Republican Mountjoy

Lynne Woolsey, D-Petaluma, loses! Woolsey is the moonbat who invited Sheehan to the State of the Union Speech

Think we'll keep both houses.

Night all!

[cardinal4]

I agree with all of your predictions except I would add Steele 51 Cardin 49. Thats my surprise prediction for 2007..

[jmj3jude]

I forgot to write Dewine will win with 51.

[cardinal4]

I like your predictions too, Jeff!

[IslandJeff]

Thanks, Father. A lot of tough races, including Ohio - so I had to throw those into the mix while remaining optimistic.

I hate picking against George Allen, but we were asked to predict, not just hope.

Of course, I'd hope for 65 GOP seats.

[Austin Willard Wright]

Senate - R 49 D 51

Santorum 45 Casey 54

Corker 50 Ford 49

Burns 48 Tester 51

Allen 48 Webb 52

Chaffee 46 Whitehouse 54

Talent 48 McCaskill 51

Kean 44 Menendez 56

[NYC Republican]

I sure hope you're right, but that's a huge lead Casey has, perhaps insurmountable.

[cardinal4]

Father? People will talk!

[buckeyenation]

My prediction:

Senate Spread: 51 R, 49 D (including Lieberman as an independent)

Santorum 46 Casey 50

Corker 52 Ford 47

Tester 54 Burns 45

Allen 53 Webb 45

Whitehouse 51 Chaffee 46

Talent 52 McCaskill 46

Menendez 49 Kean 48

[IslandJeff]

My nic for you, FRiend. We've crossed paths before.

[NYC Republican]

You really think Webb will pull it off? Wow

[cardinal4]

Ah, yes, the World Cup! Do you really think Cantwell can be beaten?

[Excuse_Me]

Ok, here goes mine:

Senate - R 56 D 44

Santorum 51 Casey 49

Corker 55 Ford 44

Burns 51 Tester 49

Allen 56 Webb 43

Chaffee 51 Whitehouse 49

Talent 53 McCaskill 46


Kean 47 Menendez 52