Posted on 10/24/2006 7:14:40 AM PDT by GOPcomeback
TN Corker 45 Ford 43 MT Tester 46 Burns 43 MO McCaskill 46 Talent 43 VA Allen 47 Webb 43 NJ Menendez 45 Kean 42 OH Brown 48 DeWine 40
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
You notice GOP comebacks sign in date????
There are already plans in place to contest close elections, I've heard. I think I read that they have money they plan to use for lawyers. I wish I could remember where I read it. It was legit.
I don't know.
I still think we are going to hold onto the Senate, but this definitely isn't encouraging.
However, it looks like a lot of Dems were sampled. No reason to man the lifeboats.
I agree. I like her very much and think she would be a fine senator, but with no support from the party, she should have stepped aside and let a stronger candidate run and stayed in the House longer. Were there no other Republican candidates in the state with enough support to muscle their way into a primary win?
"I guess everyone has written off Harris vs. Nelson."
~~
'That happens when the challenger is down by 35 points.'
~~
Do you think that the fact that virtually every major newspaper in Florida is under Dim control and writes an attack article about Harris every 2nd or 3rd day plays any part in the polling data? Did you take into consideration Nixon's assertion (later proven mostly true) that there is a large silent majority? Did you cogitate about the vocal nature of the 40/100 Dim's in Florida vs. the laid-back 60/100 Rep's in Florida?
I'd say Harris is in the race, in trouble, sure, but still in the race. Even if you are anxious to write her off and discourage people from voting for her.
"debbie STAB M'NOW and Granholm to lose big time."
Just remember with dread that the '08 Klintoon race begins at dawn on 11/08/06 with Hillary Rob 'em Klintoon seeking the top orifice.
You are right. Add 3-4% to the R numbers. Because that's how much our turnout efforts have been worth for three election cycles now. The big thrust in the Old Media now is to demoralize the R activists so that we don't have volunteers to make the turnout effort work.
We use volunteers. The dems use paid workers and union goons who have "paid days off" from their jobs.
"I repeat my earlier prediction. DeWine, Burns and Chafee are gone. Santorum could still pull it off. "
I believe Santorum could as well, but the polls numbers are disheartening... Santorum has been running a very hard campaign and some very effective ads:
http://www.ricksantorum.com/uvc/
Needs to tell the PA media santorum is the man:
letters@post-gazette.com
----
Editor,
I've appreciated Senator Santorum as one of our nation's best Senators, on many
issues and causes: Articulate and correct in defending life; sensible and pro-taxpayer
in supporting the Bush tax cuts that helped make 6 million jobs in the last 4 years.
But most importantly, Santorum's actions and his July speech on describing the global terrorist threat
as rooted in Islamicist fascist extremism show that he fully understands the war we are
in and is supporting the right policies to win it.
It boggles my mind that the excellent, articulate, hard-working conservative Senator
Rick Santorum is being bested in polls by an empty suit mediocrity.
I would ask Pennsylvania voters: Please vote to keep Santorum,
not just for the sake of your state, but for the sake of our country.
This country needs Rick Santorum.
Didn't it just come out that Brown was cheating on his taxes? Is the Ohio media covering this up??? or what???
This is excellent news and portends a "wash" on November 7th, or even a small GOP gain on November 7th, and not just because momentum is toward the GOP recovering from its "black September."
It's important to remember demographically, the Democrats have many more "lopsided" districts that routinely vote 75%+ for their party. Many of these Democrat votes are "wasted" because they go to candidates who are already runaway shoo-ins.
Even if you try to do the Senate on a generic ballot, the state of California, with 10% of the population accounts for a massive amount of the "generic ballots" being "cast." Throw in Democrat runaway states like New York, Connecticut, and this time Florida, and those states are sopping up probably 25% of the generic ballot poll, and giving probably only 35-40% to the Republicans. So the math works out, that in the other states, the GOP is likely ahead in the generic ballot.
McGavrick must really stink, given Cantwell's recently released "other woman" history: having relations with some idiot schmuck the week of his wedding, a cause listed by the bride for their marriage failure. Remember 2 years ago when Illinois Pubbie Jack Ryan had to drop out of the US Senate race because his ex-wife said he had joked about going to a sex club. It ended his campaign, he withdrew. The press believed this was a massive story and that conscience and civic responsibility required them to expend barrels of ink and many hours of TV news time, so that voters could be properly informed of this affront to public decency.
Funny how when it's the Dems, the press keeps misplacing its "conscience" and "civic responsibility." Maybe they just expect Dems to be perverts?
IIRC, unlike Jumpin' Jim Jeffords' home state of Vermont, CT has some sort of restriction in this area, that he can't go back until the next election. I'm sure he wouldn't go back, he might even use his "Independent card" to align with the GOP for organizational purposes citing national security concerns. Would not surprise me at all. He doesn't have to worry about "later" because he knows it will be his last six years. He'll play the "maverick" role to the hilt (and who would blame him?)
They've had lawyer-laden planes on the tarmac all the way back in 2000. That's how they tried to trash the absentee overseas military vote in all 66 counties in Florida that year.
This was the year for the R's to be practically invulnerable in the Senate as most of our seats were safe. 2008 is when we may be screwed because in that year, the gop has lots of vulnerable seats and the rats have very few.
You are 100 percent true! 2008 we have 28 seats that will be up for reelection and Democrats have 12. Plus we need a good conservative Presidential candidate or who know what will happen.
RCP now Dems+4.
rw, look at realclearpolitics.com. They show an average of the various polls and maintain a running average of each race. As things stand now, we're looking at Dems picking up four Senate seats.
Yes I did. Which is why I think she'll only lose by 15 to 20 points and not 35.
2000 was a watershed in politics for that very reason. They opened Pandora's Box.
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