Posted on 10/24/2006 7:14:40 AM PDT by GOPcomeback
TN Corker 45 Ford 43 MT Tester 46 Burns 43 MO McCaskill 46 Talent 43 VA Allen 47 Webb 43 NJ Menendez 45 Kean 42 OH Brown 48 DeWine 40
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
MT Tester 46 Burns 43
MO McCaskill 46 Talent 43
VA Allen 47 Webb 43
NJ Menendez 45 Kean 42
OH Brown 48 DeWine 40
Pennsylvania: Bob Casey (D) leads Rick Santorum (R), 51% to 39%
Rhode Island: Sheldon Whitehouse (D) leads Lincoln Chafee (R), 48% to 43%
Missouri: Claire McCaskill (D) leads Jim Talent (R), 46% to 43%
New Jersey: Bob Menendez (D) leads Thomas Kean Jr (R), 45% to 42%
Washington: Maria Cantwell (D) leads Mike McGavick (R), 52% to 37%
Ohio: Sherrod Brown (D) leads Mike DeWine (R), 48% to 40%
Montana: Jon Tester (D) leads Conrad Burns (R), 46% to 43%
Tennessee: Bob Corker (R) leads Harold Ford (D), 45% to 43%
Virginia: George Allen (R) leads James Webb (D), 47% to 43%
Interesting and a cause for concern.
McCaskill's internals have her slipping. She has a new ad out where her mother complains about Jim Talent using negative advertising.
Winners don't complain about their opponent's ads, they stay on the attack.
Those all look about right to me, with the caveat that Missouri always seems to be a toss-up.
I guess everyone has written off Harris vs. Nelson.
Oddly, I think THAT will be the race the MSM will keep reporting OVER and OVER.
The Democrat with the double digit lead over the Republican..blah blah blah.
It is the only race which has been bad news for the republican all along.
I can't believe that Ohioans would go for Brown
All except Ohio are within the margin of error. Should be an interesting election night.
That happens when the challenger is down by 35 points.
Corker has the momentum and is now leading. As of Oct 2, Corker and Ford had just about the same amount of cash on hand.
In other close races, Steele has momentum and about twice the cash on hand that Cardin has. Same can be said for DeWine in Ohio, Talent in Montana and Santorum in PA. Burns has 4 times the money Tester has in MT, where Tester is down to his last .5 million.
Chafee has a little less in RI and Kean has a lot less in NJ but in the latter case, Kean has the momentum and is up in recent polls.
Overall, in these last two weeks, money favors the Republicans in the close Senate races.
Polls this week should show if Brown's tax problem will hurt his campaign.
I just noticed that, today, RealClearPolitics lowered its estimate from Dem+6 to Dem+5. Good news.
All depends how massive the voter fraud is in St Louis & how much the Dim machine there can get by with. Otherwise, Talent should be able to win by 3-5%.
Dewine is a dud and he has betrayed his conservative base as so many Pubbies due during campaigns {no doubt at the behest of "savy" advisors}.
At Tradesports where gamblers bet on the races they actually have it a bit more likely that one of the third party nonentities will win: Katherine Harris shares are trading at 0.5 while "the field" is trading at 1.0 (Bill Nelson is trading at 98.5).
I would not pay half a cent for a Harris share myself....
I repeat my earlier prediction. DeWine, Burns and Chafee are gone. Santorum could still pull it off. Corker, Allen, Tallent win comfortably as does Liebermann in Connecticut.
Upset special: Michigan.
They all look about right to me. Corker and Burns (go figure) gaining, DeWine and Chafee falling.
If one of the parties were to get a shift of say 3%-4% in these last two weeks, it could really have an impact on the overall standings to (Dem +7 or Dem +3). Only Santorum is really done for, though DeWine is pretty much there too. Right now, the Senate stands, in my mind, as being a 50-50 tie.
It's not about polls. It's about turnout.
Ohio State will not upset Michigan next month. But will USC, Texas, or an SEC or Big Least team play Michigan for the mythical national title?
Karl Marx could have won in New Jersey if he were alive.
What a complete joke.
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