Cooking the Polls: Democrat Oversampling Producing Phoney Results

www.seanrobins.com ^ | October 19, 2006 | Sean Robins

[cpdiii]

I do not approve of the way the Repubs handled the economy
as there is to much spending.
I do not approve of the way the war is prosecuted, as we have not unleashed our military might and have fought in a "politically correct" way. I am fiercely independent voter. In accordance with this poll I would vote for the DemonicRats. Hell will freeze over first, Hillary Clinton will tell the truth at all times, and I will ask Nancy Pelosi for a date before I vote for the DemonicRats.

The poll is very flawed!

[rbbeachkid]

I will absolutely be voting, however, I live in DiFi and Jane Harmon's district, so it is something I do religiously but to little effect.

[unspun]

Sean Robins bump!

Even if you aren't wearing pajamas.

[DrDeb]

EXCELLENT ANALYSIS!

[unspun]

And in this Post-Foley world, let me say, that wasn't an inquiry....

[Tuscaloosa Goldfinch]

Amen -- those of us who pray need to pray hard, and constantly.

Re: the media -- our local AM station which broadcasts Rush is an ABC affiliate. I listened to at least two negative stories about Republicans, including the stale Foley story, and other negative stories about the war, etc., AND NOT ONE STORY OF ANY KIND ABOUT REID, OR ANY OTHER DEMOCRAT.

[Irish Eyes]

If you don't care who is elected, sit this one out.

I had to laugh at that one . It would be better to say if you don't care who is elected help us out and vote Republican.

[Paladin2]

Republicans too smart/busy to answer the phone?

[usmcobra]

You DON'T measure precentages of percentages unless you are willing to lie about your results.

[lmr]

Even more dangerous... oversampling of Dems in exit polls and then posting the early 'results'. This happened in the last election. This kind of crap aims to keep Repubicans/Conservatives at home on election day. All the proof required to demonstrate which team the MSM bats for is to look at the 2000 Election. Florida was called for Gore with an hour left to vote in the (overwhelmingly Republican) panhandle.

[NeoCaveman]

Good post

[petercooper]

bttt

[fhlh]

maybe you can't, but you did tell me there are allot of idiots over at KOS and DU...

[1035rep]

The more they believe in these bogus polls, the harder they are going to fall. Can not WAIT till election night.

Ditto! 

[dvwjr]

Originally posted by lmr:

"All the proof required to demonstrate which team the MSM bats for is to look at the 2000 Election. Florida was called for Gore with an hour left to vote in the (overwhelmingly Republican) panhandle."

No. It was only around 10 minutes early. The panhandle of Florida is one hour behind the rest of the State. Making all comparison time EST, what is correct is the FACT that NBC was the first to make the call for Gore 10 minutes and 20 seconds before the Florida panhandle polls were closed. Here are the on-air times for the network calls for Gore, Retraction of Gore, Bush, and Retraction of Bush for Florida on that election November 7/8 night/morning of the 2000 Presidential election.

Poll Close	State	Date	CBS/CNN	ABC	NBC/MSNBC	FOX	VNS	Declared Winner
7:00:00 PM	Florida:	07-Nov-00	7:50:11 PM	8:02:00 PM	7:49:40 PM	7:52:00 PM	7:52:00 PM	Gore
EST	Florida:	07-Nov-00	10:00:00 PM				10:16:00 PM	Retraction
	Florida:	08-Nov-00	2:17:52 AM	2:20:00 AM	2:17:30 AM	2:16:00 AM		Bush
	Florida:	08-Nov-00	3:57:49 AM	4:00:00 AM	4:02:00 AM	4:05:00 AM		Retraction

Note: The "Blue" and "Red" indicates which network was first to make a call for either Gore or Bush.
Note: All times are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

Source: ON-AIR NETWORK AND VNS CALLS, PRESIDENTIAL RACE, NOV. 7/8, 2000

If the call had been made at 8:00pm EST exactly, it still would have cost Bush votes as many still in line might have just left, so condititioned are many to believe everything they see and hear on television...

dvwjr

[R.W.Ratikal]

Polls can be manipulated to show anything the poll-taker wants to show.

It's no accident that every politician has his own pollsters.

Polls do not show what 300 million Americans are thinking. They show only what the 500 or 1200 people who responded to the average poll might be thinking.

The same question will be answered differently if asked of 500 conservatives and 500 network news people.

The few studies of the accuracy of polls show that the history of polls being right is somewhere between mostly guessing wrong to flipping a coin.

[CyberAnt]

"What does this mean?"


It means THEY'RE LYING THROUGH THEIR TEETH TO WIN - BECAUSE IT'S THE ONLY WAY THEY CAN!!

[TheLion]

Maybe these fake polls will backfire for the MSM and the Democrats and many Democrats will now feel so secure, they won't bother to show up and vote.

[seanrobins]

Thank you.

[princess leah]

Since the 2000 election, look who has "left" the MSM - ABCs Peter Jennings (died), NBCs Tom Brokaw (retired) CBSs Dan Rather (liar got caught and lost his job) - funny, Brit Hume is still on FOX and is managing editor! Polls lie, but look at the changes that have come about with the new media! Stay alert, and go vote early for the Republicans on your ballot November 7th! Like Bugs Bunny said "you realize THIS means WAR"