Zogby/WSJ Polls (Senate)

Wall Street Journal ^ | 10/19/06 | John Zogby

[Ravi]

Republicans edged ahead in one tightly contested senate race but while the latest Battleground States Poll puts the party on track to retain control of the chamber, several tight races leave the Election night outcome uncertain.

[Redleg Duke]

"NJ now is in GOP camp"

No way. The New Jersey voter is an idiot. He/she will continue to elect crooks and then wonder why their state is an open septic tank.

[Puppage]

I wasn't the one who said it, I happen to agree with you.

[CharlesWayneCT]

If you assume that Burns and Chafee are going to lose, their prediction now is actually an effective 52-48 split (which is what I'm guessing as my most likely outcome).

I'm still hoping Santorum can pull out his race. And I have a slim hope we can win in Maryland. That would put us at 54.

And if Burns actually wins based on simple republican turnout, we could possibly end up at 55, with the loss of Chafee AND DeWine, but the pickup of Steele and Keene.

[no dems]

I have a hard time believing that Rick Santorum is 8 points down in the polls after the last two debates. Casey Jr. is....I don't have an appropriate word to describe this guy.

This was not only shocking but it is very disheartening.

[Mike10542]

Is it me or did Zoby forget to include Rhode Island and Montana in his anlysis????

[Kuksool]

Zogby has Allen up by only 3 over the Wash. Post. The poll may match the DNC polling. IT would explain why the RATS are moving funds into the Wash. Post candidate.

[CharlesWayneCT]

The impeachment will end in aquittal anyway.

First, Leiberman will not vote for Impeachment, and neither will Ben Nelson.

Second, you need 2/3rds majority in the senate for impeachment, and there is no way any republican (except maybe Chafee, who could be toast) would vote for it.

The real problem is 2 years of investigations sapping the strength of the war effort.

[Ingtar]

I think the conventional wisdom has been to add 3 to 5 points to Zogby's Republican numbers. That would make this interesting indeed.

The only one I can speak on is that I believe that Corker IS now up on Ford here in Tennessee. It is mostly gut feeling and the last SurveyUSA poll.

[CharlesWayneCT]

Apparently we in Virginia haven't done a good enough job recruiting people to participate in the Zogby online polls. I know the DailyKos people have put a LOT of effort online into this campaign, just check out what they have done to the Wikipedia entries, starting with adding the definition of "macaca" after Allen said it but before the Webb camp complained, so that it would look like it was a racial slur.

[no dems]

What State will you be working?

[Dave S]

if we hold two of those three, we gain a seat. If we hold all, we gain two.

I can see it now. If Republicans increase their seats in the Senate and dont lose the House, the Dems will demand an investigation of Diebold. Only way Republicans could have won is if the fix was in. :-)

[OrioleFan]

I would chalk up any contest that is within the margin of error to a Republican win due to the overpolling of Democrats for these efforts by the MSM to influence the elections. Pre-Clinton polls were used to guage how the public fealt about issues. Clintonian polls are used to influence public opinion.

[BurtSB]

Someone actually believe "Landslide" Zogby ?
The same guy who has a new JV with a new Left wing radio show ? The same guy whose brother was a Kerry delegate at the DNC convention ?

Zogby is the DNC !
He intentionally splashed THE HEADLINE " LANDSLIDE" ON A HIS WEBSITE TO THROW THE ELECTION TO KERRY !!!

[jimfrommaine]

Right. But I believe that a large portion of the liberal base believes that this is finally the chance to get Bush. They hate him, and they will demand that he's impeached if Nancy Pelosi becomes Speaker. Or else all their money disappears in 2008. Anyway I'm tired of these lunatics, I want to crush their spirit. Their allies in the media have tried to depress republican turnout, now it's time to return the favor.

[Just A Nobody]

Hey Red, could you come over here and read and analyze this for me? (spit) I am out of time this morning. ;*)

[MikeA]

I agree it's overstatement to say NJ is now in the GOP camp, but Kean has a real shot at winning this. It's going to be a squeaker either way.

[deport]

The key to Zogby and the other pollsters is what is the final poll showing on the eve of the election...... Until then they jack the numbers as they see fit or towards some goal by a paid entity..... Once the undecideds fall into place then it becomes a much clearer picture.

[april15Bendovr]

Bob Casey during the last Debate looked like a Blithering Idiot of DNC talking points.

The problem was Rick was up against drive by media moderators as they set the agenda in that debate.

Rick still kicked butt even on Bobs own turf with comfort issues and softballs thrown Bob Casey's way.

[almcbean]

Actually, you need 2/3 in the senate for conviction and removal. Impeachment occurs in the house and only needs a majority vote.

[Thermalseeker]

Looks like Corker is opening some space between himself and Ford Jr.

Ignore the polls and look at how Ford is campaigning. He's trying to protray himself as a Reagan conservative in his TV commercials. It's laughable! He's loosing and loosing big time and he knows it. The dude is burnt toast. My guess is Ford's internal polling shows Corker with a double digit lead, hence his references to all things Reagan. Ford may have been elected to the House in a rabid Demoncrat district in Memphis, but Tennessee as a whole will never elect Ford to the Senate. Take that one to the bank.