If you assume that Burns and Chafee are going to lose, their prediction now is actually an effective 52-48 split (which is what I'm guessing as my most likely outcome).
I'm still hoping Santorum can pull out his race. And I have a slim hope we can win in Maryland. That would put us at 54.
And if Burns actually wins based on simple republican turnout, we could possibly end up at 55, with the loss of Chafee AND DeWine, but the pickup of Steele and Keene.
Zogby has Allen up by only 3 over the Wash. Post. The poll may match the DNC polling. IT would explain why the RATS are moving funds into the Wash. Post candidate.