Posted on 10/18/2006 12:59:40 PM PDT by Kaslin
The GOP is [rearranging] "deckchairs on the Titanic," and single women will propel Hillary Clinton to the White House in 2008, says political analyst Dick Morris.
Republicans are watching their base shrink dramatically in the wake of the Mark Foley scandal, said Morris, appearing on "Your World" with Neil Cavuto.
The former Clinton advisor and confidante pointed to a recent Gallup poll that revealed what has happened among church-going whites, whom Morris called "the ultimate GOP base." They are "splitting 47-47 in their vote," he told Cavuto, who said "Then it's a matter of just sitting home [on election day] but they're actually voting for the other guy."
Said Morris: "White church-goers have moved 21 points away from the Republicans in margin since pre-Foley," Morris explained. The percentage of white, frequent church-goers that vote Republican has dropped from 58 pre-Foley to 47 now."
Cavuto asked if the strong equity market and pretty good economic numbers were "falling on deaf ears?" Morris recalled that there were pretty decent economic numbers in 1994 under the Democrats when the GOP captured control of Congress.
Noting that the good economy is not helping because it takes a "long time for the economy to percolate through" and thus cannot help the GOP, Morris said the "short term cause" of the coming Republican disaster is "the base abandoning the Republican party because the Foley scandal hurt - you can't imagine how much that scandal hurt." Morris said incredulously, "Right now Democrats have an 8 point lead over Republicans on promoting morality in America? Duh!"
Cavuto commented that even though we have a Dow flirting with 12,000, the Evangelical base is saying "it's not the money it's morality." He asked, "That's going to trump all?" Morris said, "I think the Republican Party has survived because of [Karl] Rove's fabulous capacity to generate the base, but now we're having the base slipping out."
He explained that most politicians work on getting a percentage of the voters who are out there, but Hillary Clinton works on increasing the number of voters on her side.
He pointed out the recent article which revealed that half of all households in the U.S. are unmarried. He also said that 19 million single women voted in 2000, and 28 million voted in '04. "And I'll bet 35 million vote" in 2006. "The number of single mom, minimum wage earning waitresses who come out and vote are going to be the phenomenon."
Hillary might not do that well among the current electorate, Morris said, but she'll grow the electorate by 10 million votes and that's how she'll win.
Whew! Given that Dick Morris is wrong about 85% of the time, this is comforting. Thanks Dick.
I fear he may be right this time...
No, let him keep his crack pipe. He's funny when he speaks out!...........
Any analysis that says Evangelicals will vote pro-abortion and pro-homosexual agenda just because one gay Republican from Florida had to resign is fundamentally flawed.
He is so push polled. The ultimate Clinton political guru.
Pray for W and Our Troops
Looks like little Dickie Morris has taken over for David Gergen as the 'media's psudo-republican' to go to when they want someone to cher their little Stalinist hearts.
HA!!!!
Maybe somebody came over and killed his cat the other day.
"Republicans are watching their base shrink dramatically in the wake of the Mark Foley scandal"
_____________
Even CNN's recent polling says the exact opposite and for CNN to admit it is amazing. Give me a break Mr. Morris. This is what happens when you believe your own spin; you get real stupid. LOL!!!
true dat! ::chest bump:: hehe
Hey, maybe he's trying to mobilize the GOP base. I know I'd rather work to get our people in now and in '08 than have to deal with She Who Must Be Obeyed in the White House.
My dogs make better predictions than Morris every time they use the back yard....
Dick Morris before he Dicks you!
Your dreamin !!
Morris is right that single women make up the group of voters that do most of the bad voting.
More of them by far than men tend to be liberal and vote that way.
Problem for Hillary is the high negatives and the treasure trove of bad history she carries.
For the woman who wants to vote Hillary in over being a female, they have to overlook she protected and married a woman hating man. A man who probably raped at least one woman and also abused a ton of others that she knew of.
I would hope a woman would look past her sex organs to see a bad person more than their sex when they vote.
I think enough women will vote against Hillary to sink her IMO.
She is going to run on universal health care, probably universal daycare in the theme of "It Takes A Village" (mostly to keep an eye on her husband)
If Morris is switching back to the Dems it could be a sign...notice how quickly he was the darling of alternative news after the Republican seep - looks like is getting ready to shift again
I was listening to him on one of the radio shows the other day(cant remember which one.) it may have been Hannity Show? Boy was Morris irritating me, had to change the channel. ish
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