Posted on 10/18/2006 12:59:40 PM PDT by Kaslin
The GOP is [rearranging] "deckchairs on the Titanic," and single women will propel Hillary Clinton to the White House in 2008, says political analyst Dick Morris.
Republicans are watching their base shrink dramatically in the wake of the Mark Foley scandal, said Morris, appearing on "Your World" with Neil Cavuto.
The former Clinton advisor and confidante pointed to a recent Gallup poll that revealed what has happened among church-going whites, whom Morris called "the ultimate GOP base." They are "splitting 47-47 in their vote," he told Cavuto, who said "Then it's a matter of just sitting home [on election day] but they're actually voting for the other guy."
Said Morris: "White church-goers have moved 21 points away from the Republicans in margin since pre-Foley," Morris explained. The percentage of white, frequent church-goers that vote Republican has dropped from 58 pre-Foley to 47 now."
Cavuto asked if the strong equity market and pretty good economic numbers were "falling on deaf ears?" Morris recalled that there were pretty decent economic numbers in 1994 under the Democrats when the GOP captured control of Congress.
Noting that the good economy is not helping because it takes a "long time for the economy to percolate through" and thus cannot help the GOP, Morris said the "short term cause" of the coming Republican disaster is "the base abandoning the Republican party because the Foley scandal hurt - you can't imagine how much that scandal hurt." Morris said incredulously, "Right now Democrats have an 8 point lead over Republicans on promoting morality in America? Duh!"
Cavuto commented that even though we have a Dow flirting with 12,000, the Evangelical base is saying "it's not the money it's morality." He asked, "That's going to trump all?" Morris said, "I think the Republican Party has survived because of [Karl] Rove's fabulous capacity to generate the base, but now we're having the base slipping out."
He explained that most politicians work on getting a percentage of the voters who are out there, but Hillary Clinton works on increasing the number of voters on her side.
He pointed out the recent article which revealed that half of all households in the U.S. are unmarried. He also said that 19 million single women voted in 2000, and 28 million voted in '04. "And I'll bet 35 million vote" in 2006. "The number of single mom, minimum wage earning waitresses who come out and vote are going to be the phenomenon."
Hillary might not do that well among the current electorate, Morris said, but she'll grow the electorate by 10 million votes and that's how she'll win.
someone take the crack pipe away from Morris.
The Toe Sucker predicts.....
And we know how often Dick Morris is right.
According to the always wrong Dick Morris, Hillary should not even be president right now since he predicted she'd not even run.
Better yet get Morris a hookers toe to suck...
"Republicans are watching their base shrink dramatically in the wake of the Mark Foley scandal"
If this is true, they weren't a "base" to begin with.
Wheee I feel much better now.
Ahhhhh, the Toe Sucker speaks.
Just let them keep this up and GOP will break records with its turnout.
And he is right 12.46% of the time, too!!
There aren't THAT MANY LESBO voters............!
Best news I've heard all day. GOP keeps both houses and Hillary can run all she wants to, but she'll never be president.
Indeed. Now we can save a bunch of money that we would have wasted on these little elections the Constitution requires. The toe-sucker has spoken!
Looks like the pubbies will control the house and senate in '06 and the Presidency in '08.
My exact thought:)
Has Dick Morris ever been accurate?
Yawn.
Toesucker's been wrong before.
Sometimes spectacularly.
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