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Recent Polls Outside The Historical Norm For Party ID.
The Corner (National Review?) ^
| 17 October 2006
| Rich Lowry (?)
Posted on 10/17/2006 4:21:54 PM PDT by shrinkermd
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Something is drastically wrong with the polling or the country has suddenly become more inclined to portray themselves as Democrats. This would be surprising since 60+% of the electorate defines themselves as "conservative" or "very conservative." The figure for liberals and very conservative liberals is 34%.
Someone is wrong big time!
To: shrinkermd
2
posted on
10/17/2006 4:25:07 PM PDT
by
lesser_satan
(EKTHELTHIOR!!!)
To: shrinkermd
To: shrinkermd
There has been a lot of troubling information to come out lately. I don't think it all can be laid at the feet of poll bias. I think losing seats is a virtual guarntee. The question is whether or not we can hold onto control. The margin is going to be narrow and our turnout better be good.
To: PJ-Comix
Prepare to see the DUmmies go off the deep end!
To: shrinkermd
Gee, I think someone named LS has been saying for months that the pollsters were oversampling Dems by 5% at least!
6
posted on
10/17/2006 4:27:32 PM PDT
by
LS
To: shrinkermd
Thanks for posting.
The Dims peaked probably last week some time.
The tide will begin to flow the other way for the next three weeks.
To: shrinkermd
"Early October Surveys" are not "Exit Polls of actual voters".
8
posted on
10/17/2006 4:27:46 PM PDT
by
TheHound
(You would be paranoid too - if everyone was out to get you.)
To: ConservativeGreek
"The Dims peaked probably last week some time.
"
Not saying you are wrong (and I pray you aren't), but what are you basing your theory on?
To: LS
OK, you get today's genius award.
10
posted on
10/17/2006 4:31:40 PM PDT
by
pbear8
(Hey Muslims, listen to B-16 he's telling the truth)
To: LS
You will find this of interest...
11
posted on
10/17/2006 4:34:20 PM PDT
by
eureka!
(Heaven forbid the Rats get control of Congress and/or the Presidency any time soon....)
To: LS
LOL. I just pinged you and scrolled down to see your post...
12
posted on
10/17/2006 4:34:53 PM PDT
by
eureka!
(Heaven forbid the Rats get control of Congress and/or the Presidency any time soon....)
To: LS
I finally got a "poll" call last weekend.
Not quite sure who it was from, or what is was about, since the "poller" could not speak English intelligibly .
I hung up.
So much for "polls".
13
posted on
10/17/2006 4:36:32 PM PDT
by
sarasmom
(Lead, follow, or get out of the way .The "debate" ended on 91101 for serious adults.)
To: shrinkermd
The internals of some of the polls I have seen read like they were configured in Portlandistan; heavy on the Rats with repubs and indies close.
14
posted on
10/17/2006 4:37:42 PM PDT
by
crazyhorse691
(Diplomacy doesn't work when seagulls rain on your parade. A shotgun and umbrella does.)
To: TheHound
I'd either lie or refuse to participate in exit polls. There's only one poll that counts. 'Rats should plan to go to the polls on their special day - WEDNESDAY!
15
posted on
10/17/2006 4:38:00 PM PDT
by
Paladin2
(Islam is the religion of violins, NOT peas.)
To: shrinkermd
I so badly want the GOP to retain the House and Senate this fall, not least for the fact that the traditional polling system and the MSM that lives by it would be devastated.
16
posted on
10/17/2006 4:39:10 PM PDT
by
denydenydeny
("We have always been, we are, and I hope that we always shall be detested in France"--Wellington)
To: shrinkermd
One of the Dems top strategies is to affect voter turnout.
The Republicans have more money, and are better organized but since the Dems have no vision or plan other than selling us all down the river, they must resort to mudslinging and rigged polls.
17
posted on
10/17/2006 4:40:12 PM PDT
by
visualops
(artlife.us)
To: shrinkermd
I am missing something here. All the polls listed say that they sampled more Democrats than Republicans. But does this mean there are *actually* fewer voters identifying themselves as Republicans or only that all the polls are using biased samples?
18
posted on
10/17/2006 4:41:09 PM PDT
by
jwalburg
(It wasn't the Executive that Thomas Jefferson referred to as "the Despotic Branch.")
To: shrinkermd
I suspect Rich Lowry is right. Consider SurveyUSA's poll of NM-1, for instance. They claim: "In the past 4 weeks, the composition of likely voters in NM1 has changed from a 5-point Democrat advantage to a 16-point Democrat advantage." That is implausible, at best.
If you apply a more realistic turnout model to this race, you end up with a toss-up instead of an eight-point Democrat lead.
19
posted on
10/17/2006 4:42:47 PM PDT
by
B Knotts
(Newt '08!)
To: LS; All
"Gee, I think someone named LS has been saying for months that the pollsters were oversampling Dems by 5% at least!"
And another Freeper named DrDeb has been saying the same thing!
[BTW: Have you been able to identify the party affiliation ratios used by the OhioPoll? . . . Even their PDF results don't identify the party affiliation of respondents!]
20
posted on
10/17/2006 4:46:34 PM PDT
by
DrDeb
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