You will find this of interest...
what are you basing your theory on?
So many close races in RED States will eventually go Rep.
Strength of incumbency. Most republicans that are endangered are incumbents. They have more money and more recognition. Plenty of undecideds in most races.
Bush, Cheney and others will begin to campaign in earnest. It started today and will continue.
Dims and the MSM overplayed the Foley affair and have exhausted the public on the Republicans are bums topic.
Big ad buys running by the RNC and others.
Paid and unpaid folks heading out soon for on the ground combat.
Campaigns swing in both directions. The pendulum will swing back.
Folks like Santorum and DeWine are far more endangered than the others. Not counting on them prevailing.