Well, well, well...
Someone is wrong big time!
bump
EXCELLENT ARTICLE!!!
There has been a lot of troubling information to come out lately. I don't think it all can be laid at the feet of poll bias. I think losing seats is a virtual guarntee. The question is whether or not we can hold onto control. The margin is going to be narrow and our turnout better be good.
Prepare to see the DUmmies go off the deep end!
Gee, I think someone named LS has been saying for months that the pollsters were oversampling Dems by 5% at least!
Thanks for posting.
The Dims peaked probably last week some time.
The tide will begin to flow the other way for the next three weeks.
"Early October Surveys" are not "Exit Polls of actual voters".
One of the Dems top strategies is to affect voter turnout.
The Republicans have more money, and are better organized but since the Dems have no vision or plan other than selling us all down the river, they must resort to mudslinging and rigged polls.
I am missing something here. All the polls listed say that they sampled more Democrats than Republicans. But does this mean there are *actually* fewer voters identifying themselves as Republicans or only that all the polls are using biased samples?
I suspect Rich Lowry is right. Consider SurveyUSA's poll of NM-1, for instance. They claim: "In the past 4 weeks, the composition of likely voters in NM1 has changed from a 5-point Democrat advantage to a 16-point Democrat advantage." That is implausible, at best.
If you apply a more realistic turnout model to this race, you end up with a toss-up instead of an eight-point Democrat lead.
Well, well, well...
Cooked media polls. Of course, it has long been the intent of media polls to move public opinion, not to measure it. The only surprise here is that they are so blatant in their cheerleading for the Democrats.
remember this when that long time troll start publishing his polls
I suspect like 1980 and 1996 there are going to be a lot of very red faced pollsters trying very hard to spin away why they started using this "floating party ID" methodology for this election
Apparently that's SOP for all polls. Note VeritatisSplendor is the H**IC at SurveyUSA. Maybe he'd give us a Polling 101 course so we can all understand the methodology a little better. I can handle bad polling numbers if I have confidence in them.
Conservatives either got rid of their home phones in favor of cell phones or they use caller ID to not answer calls coming from pollsters since they HAVE A LIFE. This skews the polling results quite a bit. People with NOTHING to do are happy to talk to pollsters...or any stranger.
And .. the poll recently which said that 53% were more likely to vote democrat - it was OVERWEIGHTED BY 16% dems.
This is why we cannot stay home and we MUST VOTE for every repub!! Hold your nose if you have to - but don't be ignorant of the continued PRESS BIAS - WHICH WE ALL KNOW EXISTS.
They want you and me to be so offended by Foley .. that we'll stay home - AND ALLOW THEM TO WIN!! Don't fall for it.
Someone is wrong big time!"
Either a) the polls are lying or b) some number of people are giving up on calling themselves Republican.
We cannot discount the latter possibility.