CA: New Poll Has Angelides 9 Points Behind Schwarzenegger (Rasmussen)

Los Angeles Times ^ | Oct 16, 2006 | Robert Salladay

[calcowgirl]

A new Rasmussen Research Poll shows Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger leading state Treasurer Phil Angelides by 9 percentage points, campaign sources said. Other recent polls, including the L.A. Times survey, have shown Schwarzenegger as much as 17 points ahead of Angelides.

The new poll — taken last Tuesday and Wednesday — has Republican Schwarzenegger with 49% of those surveyed compared to 40% for Democrat Angelides. Seven percent said they were undecided, and 5% had picked another candidate. The Rasmussen poll surveyed 500 likely voters.

(snip)

In total, 57% of those surveyed had a favorable view of the governor, compared to 44% for Angelides. As for the negatives, 42% of those surveyed had an unfavorable view of Schwarzenegger, while 53% disliked Angelides.

[calcowgirl]

http://www.sacbee.com/static/weblogs/insider/archives/2006_10_16.html#004265

Rasmussen: Schwarzenegger up by nine

The latest poll in the governor's race, by Rasmussen, has Schwarzenegger up by 49-40. That's smaller than the margin in other recent polls but larger than the last California poll by Rasmussen, which had Schwarzenegger leading 47-39.

Posted by dweintraub at 01:04 PM

[Names Ash Housewares]

The unions must be freaking.

[InvisibleChurch]

the left ought to just put him up by 200 points and quit trying to make it seem close

[Maelstorm]

Now I have a question. How are other Republicans doing or is this another empty victory? If he is doing so well he needs swing a few punches for others running in the state.

[kingu]

I am so glad that the CalDems blew tens of millions of dollars connecting Schwarzenegger to Bush. All that money, down the drain, for nothing. Didn't advance their candidate in the slightest.

Now, could the CalGOP please pop for some money to run the Zucker ad?

[EagleUSA]

Californians had better pray this rabid, tax crazy socialist goes down to defeat. I am one of those Californians that will vote to keep this fanatic leftist out of the governor's mansion.

[SmithL]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but the best we've got so far, is "competitive", without any actual leads in the down-ballot races. Arnold hasn't really come out for any person other than himself.

[farlander]

Hear hear.

[Archie Bunker on steroids]

Which one?

[Carry_Okie]

This almost looks like what Rush talks about in reverse. His hypothesis is that prior to mid-October, polls run biased numbers for political effect, but start to release reliable data when the election draws near to save their reputations. Normally this favors Democrats to depress Republican turnout, but this time it would seem that our GloboGrovelnator is sufficiently statist to have the shoe on the other foot.

I expect the fix was in prior to the primary, pushing the powers that be to support Angelides so that Arnold would have a weaker opponent.

[calcowgirl]

Now, could the CalGOP please pop for some money to run the Zucker ad?

What is the Zucker ad?

[NormsRevenge]

California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger (C) and New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg (R) attend a meeting at Credit Suisse before touring the carbon trading floor at Credit Suisse in New York October 16, 2006. Linda Adams, Secretary of the California Environmental Protection Agency, is at left. REUTERS/Susan Watts/Pool (UNITED STATES)

[NormsRevenge]

.

California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) and New York Governor George Pataki address a joint news conference after touring the roof of a 'green' apartment building in New York's Battery Park City, October 16, 2006. Schwarzenegger is in town to discuss the implementation of California's landmark market-based greenhouse gas emissions reduction system. REUTERS/Richard Drew/Pool

[NormsRevenge]

Former San Francisco mayor Willie Brown Jr., left, introduces California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger during a fund-raiser for the Willie Brown Jr. Institute on Politics and Public Service on Friday, Oct. 13, 2006, in San Francisco. (AP Photo/ Tony Avelar)

[Amerigomag]

Angelides is simply too extreme in his political views, too lacking in his personal appeal and too repugnant in his style to be elected governor of any state, even Massachusetts.

This was never a contested race. Angelides loomed on the horizon soon after the recall election destroyed Davis and Bustamante in the CaDEM. That's why the CaGOP Central Committees raced to ban their gubernatorial primary.

[calcowgirl]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but the best we've got so far, is "competitive", without any actual leads in the down-ballot races. Arnold hasn't really come out for any person other than himself.

That pretty much says it.

Liberal Poizner (R) is a self-funded billionaire running for Insurance Commissioner against the unpopular Bustamante. He is racking up the endorsements from all the left wing papers so he probably is moving toward the "win" column.

I'd love to see some bucks flow to Poochigian, McClintock, and Strickland's campaigns (the latter two are close and the former could use some help against well-known Jerry Brown). And of course, an endorsement of the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate (Mountjoy) would certainly help.

[calcowgirl]

I occasionally read some of the reader comments (all democrat) that folks post on Bill Bradley's blog. Most of them seem to be for Schwarzenegger and lay a lot of blame with the unions for forcing Angelides in the primaries. They seem to have preferred Westly (and now Arnold).

[kingu]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?eurl=&v=7h3GPc_yMCE

[Amerigomag]

I expect the fix was in prior to the primary

No fix on the CaDEM side. Angelides was the last Democrat, power base left standing after the recall election.

The fix was on the Republican side as the Central Committes raced to outlaw their gubernatorial primary when they identified their most likely opponent. From their perspective, it was a turkey shoot and it will be.