Posted on 10/12/2006 10:45:20 AM PDT by okstate
A SurveyUSA poll finds Democrat Sherrod Brown leading incumbent Republican Mike DeWine. In an election for United States Senator from Ohio today, 10/12/2006, Brown defeats DeWine, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, and WYTV-TV Youngstown.
Brown, who represents Ohio's 13th District in Congress, unseats DeWine, 54% to 40% in a vote today.
Since an identical SurveyUSA poll 9/21/06, Brown has gained 2 points and DeWine has lost 2 points.
Brown's lead has grown from 10 to 14 points.
Male voters still prefer Brown by 1 point, but Brown's lead among women has grown from 19 points to 26 points in the last 3 weeks.
DeWine holds 83% of his Republican base. Brown holds 90% of his Democrat base.
Brown leads by 22 points among Independents.
Republican DeWine leads by 64 points among Conservatives.
Democrat Brown leads by 75 points among Liberals.
Among Moderates, Democrat Brown leads by 45 points, up from a 31-point lead with this group last month.
DeWine wins 3:2 in Western OH. Brown wins 2:1 in Central and Eastern OH.
The election is on 11/7/2006.
DeWine was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1994. Brown was first elected to Congress in 1992.
If the election for United States Senator were today, who would you vote for? Republican Mike Dewine? Democrat Sherrod Brown? Or some other candidate?
40% DeWine (R) 54% Brown (D) 6% Other/Undecided
Asked of 515 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = plus / minus 4.4%
Translation: Democrat 63%... Republican 37%
Rod Parsley
Many non values voters, but still standard republicans are afraid of his coziness with Parlsey and the lesser known Russell Johnson.
We are hearing from inside the campaign that he is polling 40% black vote. Now, does ANYONE think he will lose getting that level of support?
Most people don't know who Rod Parsley is. That has never been a reason I've heard for someone not supporting him.
This story was written a couple of days ago, when Foley was still "hot," but only published today. Foley is old news, and everything we are hearing is that the plane flying into the high-rise is more important than sex right now. Pryce is fine.
Again, the poll is bogus. Blackwell is doing pretty well among white voters in Mont. Co.---THE swing county. The only "white" voters who still don't like him are the Petro whiners, and, fortunately, most of them have come around or will vote GOP in Nov.
I stand by my assertation, but, could be swayed. Why are you hearing he's not being supported?
Taft Taft Taft. Assuming he's just like Taft.
Other than that most of his opposition are people who ALWAYS vote Dem.
This poll, with a 14% oversample of Dems is getting a lot more attention than the last Rasmussen poll thread that I posted.
I think some people just love bad fake news.
Rod Parsley? Come on...
Then he would only be hurt as bad as Dewine. Dewine has been hurt by Taft, but his support from values voters is also tepid.
Rod Parsley scares a lot of people who pull the R lever.
You make a very good point about hang-ups.
IF we assume Democrats are high-fiving each other, and happy to talk with poll-takers, are Republicans are hunkered, holding fire, waiting to see the whites of their eyes, then we can think we're going to win all "the close ones" and even some of the races in which we're pretty much behind.
For reasons such as this, I've always thought Republicans had something of a chance going into an election down a few points. Heck, we even win sometimes when the exit polls say we lost.
But the gap in this Survey USA poll is enormous!
Absolutely
I'm one of these "non-values-voters" you speak of. I do care about the social issues (and am on the right side as most Freepers would be concerned,) but I am more into small-government end of things.
Anyway, I couldn't care less if Blackwell and Parsley are friends. Better to be friends with him than Bill Clinton.
I trust the dem poll in that one for one reason. The RNCC has dropped Chocola like a bad habit for some reason and aren't funding him. They think he's a write off.
My prediction as of today, 10/12/2006:
Blackwell - 49.9%
Strickland - 48.9%
DeWhine - 51.3%
Brown - 48.0%
Why's that? DeWine is an INCUMBENT Senator who hasn't been in Columbus in over a decade.
I guarantee you not even 10% of Ohians know who Parsley is. I'm a political junkie so i've seen the name, but thats' all I can tell you about him.
I'm speaking more to the moderates who lean R but have no problem with pulling the L lever. You on the other hand would never consider doing that. That's the difference.
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