Posted on 10/09/2006 8:31:59 PM PDT by okstate
DFL Wetterling Gaining On Bachmann in MN6:
In an election in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District today, 10/9/05, Republican Michele Bachmann leads DFL Candidate Patty Wetterling, 47% to 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV Minneapolis.
Since an identical SurveyUSA KSTP-TV poll released 9/19/06, Bachmann has lost 3 points and Wetterling has gained 3 points. Bachmann had led by 9, now leads by 3.
There is day-to-day movement within this survey that may or may not be significant. SurveyUSA has broken out separately, as a crosstab, in the tabular display, the results from 10/6, 10/7 and 10/8.
Separately, SurveyUSA includes a "Timeline" box. Bachmann today gets 88% of Republican votes. Wetterling gets 83% of Democrat votes. Independents split.
Wetterling leads by 10 points among voters age 50 to 64, and by 7 points among voters age 65+. 3 weeks ago these age groups were split evenly. Bachmann leads among voters under age 50.
Wetterling leads by 10 points among voters with household income under $40K. 3 weeks ago, this group supported Bachmann by 7 points, a 17-point swing.
Bachmann leads by 16 points among men. Wetterling leads by 9 points among women.
Bachmann leads by 79 points among conservatives. Wetterling leads by 71 points among liberals and by 24 points among moderates.
Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's job performance, 89% choose Bachmann. Of those who disapprove of Bush's job performance, 76% choose Wetterling. President Bush's job approval among likely voters in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District is 42%.
Incumbent 3-term Republican Congressman Mark Kennedy is running for the U.S. Senate this year. The House seat is open. Wetterling lost to Kennedy by 8 points in 2004. The election is on 11/7/06.
669 Likely Voters, MOE +/- 3.9%
Zogby is not a reputable pollster. :) That doesn't mean that he doesn't get it right every so often. (even a blind squirrel finds an acorn now and then)
Anyway, this is either a trend or MOE meandering. Or maybe it's just wrong. I'm going to reserve judgment until I see the new C-D polls, because even though they're new and have no track record, I still trust them more than Zogby.
I assume you noticed their IN-09 poll as well, my comments for MN-06 apply there also.
However in IN-09 Zog had Hill up by a lot more than just 2 points, whatever that means.
Looks hopeful for Bachmann. I predict she wins.
This is still great news in a Blue State. I look forward to seeing a much higher GOP turnout due to the complete depravity of ABC reporting a "dem lite" type scandal. I am not in the district, but I am hoping Bachmann wins of course.
I love the sound of a antional DNC plan crashing and burning in the morning!
What's truly a shame is that this woman, Wetterling, is (likely) being victimized a second time in her life. Over fifteen years ago someone abducted her 11 year old child at gunpoint and he has never been seen again. That made her a local celebrity and gave her name recognition. According to reliable sources she has absolutely no understanding of any issues in the current climate but the dims saw someone they could exploit, so they nominated her. The really frightening question is did they know that they were going to pull this Foley dirty trick that long ago and put her in this race solely for that purpose? After all, they had her do the Democrat response to the President's radio address this last Saturday and she promptly jumped on the most extreme MoveON.ORG talking points implying that the Republicans were consipring to protect child molestors (like the bastard who killed her son?).
If they knew they were going to do that over a year ago and recruited her with this in mind then I want to find those folks and have them publicly flogged within an inch of their lives. If she knew about it I simply want to leave her to stew in her own juices.
FWIW, Zogby had Baron Hill leading by eight - 46% Hill over 38% Sodrel.
It's actually a little worrisome. This is my district, and has generally been very conservative since it was configured; Mark Kennedy's district currently. It's the swath of suburbs and exurban area across the north side of the Twin Cities.
Everybody please do what you can to support her. She's a real, live, true-blue conservative in a sea of RINOs, and she's a contender.
Oops, goofed that up. The district was redrawn for 2002. Kennedy's original district was southwest Minnesota. After the redraw, it became a very Republican-friendly northern suburb district.
ZOGBY IS A DNC OPERATIVE. THE GUY FALSELY AND INTENTIONALLY BROADCAST A KERRY LANDSLIDE ELECTION DAY !
HIS ENTIRE FAMILY WORK OR ARE DIRECTLY LINKED TO THE DNC.
HE IS FULL OF CRAP AND LIES.
This is a very weak performance in a strong GOP district.
It's a Republican district. Makes me think the sample is a bit Dem-heavy.
Bachmann is one person who cannot be accused of abetting the gay page-molesting coverup ring we seem to have on Capitol Hill.
This is also highly suspicious. What, did they have twice as many women as men in the sample?
Patty Wetterling's problem is (other than the fact she's sold out to the moonbat left) is she's a real lightweight. Her whole claim to fame is her kid got kidnapped.
so was sort of a natural choice for this week's response, under the circumstances.
The problem is the ad was so way over the top, that it turned people away from her.
I don't understand. It works out with the math, because Bachmann is 3 points ahead overall.
FYI, three new Mason-Dixon polls out of Colorado. CO-05 is probably the most interesting to you, though there still are a lot of undecideds.
http://www.denverpost.com/portlet/article/html/imageDisplay.jsp?contentItemRelationshipId=1351590
Yeah. I guess they expect twice as many women to vote as men this year.
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