Survey USA poll has Perlmutter (D) up 17 in Colorado's 7th CD

Realclearpolitics ^ | 26 September 2006 | Realclearpolitics

[okstate]

Posted on RCP (source can't be linked, Gannett)

Survey USA
Ed Perlmutter (D) 54%
Rick O'Donnell (R) 37%
Undecided 6%
482 LV
9/21-9/25 with no surveys on 9/22 or 9/23 due to Jewish holiday

[okstate]

If true this is very bad news. CO-07 is one of the most-closely contested House elections out there this year and if the Rat is up 17 it's not good.

CO-07 Trendlines:
09/25 Survey USA ................. Perlmutter +17
09/25 Constituent Dynamics .... Perlmutter +2
08/20 Survey USA ................. PUSH

[okstate]

Sorry, the CD poll was taken on AUGUST 25th.

[Perdogg]

Do you have any polls with good news??

[eureka!]

That was going to be my question. LOL...

[DallasJ7]

I was just about to post this. Definitely bad news in what was supposed to be a very close race, with perhaps only a slight advantage to the Dem. It's possible this could be an outlier, but the partisan breakdown of the poll matches well with the actual numbers in the district.

Colorado has been rather unfriendly to Republicans lately. It kinda makes me wonder if Musgrave is in trouble.

[MassachusettsGOP]

umm, Perlmutter picked up 15% in a month? I have to doubt this

[goldfinch]

I participated in a opinion group last week with a dozen or so Republicans from Colorado district 7. The discussion leader was mostly interested in opinions on issues and TV ads for the Governor's race and CO-7. At the end, he polled those in the room and more than half said they would vote for Perlmutter. And all but one of those people were Republicans and all of them were more conservative than your average Joe (or Jill).

I am not sure why, but neither Beauprez nor O'Donnell have grabbed the average Republican. The Republicans are in deep trouble in Colorado.

[Recovering_Democrat]

Is O'Donnell the incumbent? aagh.

[Recovering_Democrat]

I just read via wiki that Perlmutter was co-chair for KERRY in Colorado!!! WHAT ARE YOU FOLKS IN COLORADO'S SEVENTH DISTRICT THINKING??

[digerati]

RINOs have taken over the Colorado Republican Party, and they are possibly going to lose in CD 7 and Ritter will probably beat RINO-In-Chief, Beauprez in the Governor's race.

Perhaps the Colorado Republican Party needs to start listening to the base and forget about supporting RINOs in Arizona.

In 2004 Governor Owens spent a great deal of time getting Thune elected and Colorado ended up losing a Senate seat when Salazar won.

There are a lot of frustrated Republicans in Colorado that feel the party has left them. I have Republican friends that may sit out this election. While I disagree with that approach, I do understand their frustration and anger.

[digerati]

It is an open seat that is currently held by Republican Beauprez. Beauprez is running for Governor and is polling about 10-14 points behind former Denver DA, Bill Ritter.

[jwalsh07]

Judging by your posts the Republicans will be shut out come November. Any particular reason for that?

[Welike ike]

He is a gloom and doomer dogg. Grain of salt.

[Welike ike]

Walsh the same thing happened in 2004. Doom and gloomers hit the board trying to depress the GOP base. Just ignore his posts they are always Anti-GOP

[Welike ike]

Just remember in 2002 when Wayne Allard(R-CO) was polling 15% behind Strickland and Charlie Cook said Allard was a goner.
Allard won by 8%.

[Torie]

Numbers are numbers. This might be one of those seats the RNCC has abandoned. The odd thing is that the Pubbies seem to be holding on best up in your quadrent of the fruited plain. Antiguv's interesting theory, is that the "RINO gang" up there has always been somewhat Bush lite.

I watched about half of the debate between Simmons and Courtney. Courtney was quite impressive, with a deep knowledge of medical subsidy issues (no, I don't agree with his ideas (everybody wants to loot the drug companies, truncating drug research in the long run, and nobody wants to go the Torie most favored nation route to spread the cost of drug research around - I guess the RNCC did not get my memo on that one, but my larger plan regarding medical subsidies as opposed to the drug plan per se, would make me totally unelectable).

Simmons by the way thought the cap on social security taxes should be removed, and thus plutcrats like myself would get a huge tax increase. I don't totally oppose that, but I would prefer means testing for the benefits myself. In any event, Simmons came across as a very nice and decent man, but he has his hands full. If he wins, it will be a relatively good night for the Pubbies.

And there you have it.

[RandallFlagg]

Jefferson county.
Might be time to fire up the printer and break out the magnetic paper.

[Welike ike]

Torie, I used ro live in Hartford and Courtney has a reputation as a also ran because of all the State and local races he has lost. Simmons saved the Submarine base and has beaten Courtney before along with Sam Gjedenson. This will be a GOP hold.

In terms of the Colorado 7th, this was redistricted as a DEM seat in 2002 and Beuprez was an upset winner.

Survey USA has never been considered a top tier pollster anyways in the same league with Mason Dixon.

[okstate]

I don't do the polling. And none of the "competitive races" have results good for us today.

I could have posted a Survey USA poll in FL-09 with Bilirakis up 29 but he was supposed to win big anyway. But really that's all the good news today. Maybe the poll in VT for governor was good... but I posted that on here.

[Welike ike]

Walsh just remember there are many DEM posters here, and they usually are the ones posting anti-Gop polls.

I learned this here at this blog in 2004. the same routine new year