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To: jwalsh07; AntiGuv; crasher
Numbers are numbers. This might be one of those seats the RNCC has abandoned. The odd thing is that the Pubbies seem to be holding on best up in your quadrent of the fruited plain. Antiguv's interesting theory, is that the "RINO gang" up there has always been somewhat Bush lite.

I watched about half of the debate between Simmons and Courtney. Courtney was quite impressive, with a deep knowledge of medical subsidy issues (no, I don't agree with his ideas (everybody wants to loot the drug companies, truncating drug research in the long run, and nobody wants to go the Torie most favored nation route to spread the cost of drug research around - I guess the RNCC did not get my memo on that one, but my larger plan regarding medical subsidies as opposed to the drug plan per se, would make me totally unelectable).

Simmons by the way thought the cap on social security taxes should be removed, and thus plutcrats like myself would get a huge tax increase. I don't totally oppose that, but I would prefer means testing for the benefits myself. In any event, Simmons came across as a very nice and decent man, but he has his hands full. If he wins, it will be a relatively good night for the Pubbies.

And there you have it.

16 posted on 09/26/2006 7:34:59 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Torie

Torie, I used ro live in Hartford and Courtney has a reputation as a also ran because of all the State and local races he has lost. Simmons saved the Submarine base and has beaten Courtney before along with Sam Gjedenson. This will be a GOP hold.

In terms of the Colorado 7th, this was redistricted as a DEM seat in 2002 and Beuprez was an upset winner.

Survey USA has never been considered a top tier pollster anyways in the same league with Mason Dixon.


18 posted on 09/26/2006 7:46:05 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: Torie; AntiGuv

WA-08 D poll released today has their candidate down 43 to 44 for Reichert. So that means they are admitting Reichert is ahead for now. Good news in light of the CD poll. And if you assume average of 5 point bias in the spread on a party poll, that puts Reichert up 6.


50 posted on 09/26/2006 8:59:38 PM PDT by crasher
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To: Torie
Numbers are numbers.

A tautology if ever there was one. :-}

Let x be the amount of "competetive" races, not that this looks at all competitive mind you.

Let y be the ones where the Dems are leading and z be the ones where the Pubbies are leading.

This guy only posts the y's which is y I want to know y?

Simmons did fine in the debate, he made it clear that he was the breadwinner for the southeast corner. That will get him votes. He's already got our votes despite his foolish notions on PBA being a "choice".

Prior to the debate Dem internals had the race a draw. I haven't seen either side totuting any internals post debate which kind of tells me the status remains quoa despite that later poll showing Simmons trailing by a bit.

It's actually the same pattern as Simmons first two campaigns. Behind or tied with Gejdenson and Courtney. Such is life in RINO central.

Maybe Lieberman will come and campaign for Simmons on a "stay the course" brotherhood thing. (evil grin)

53 posted on 09/26/2006 9:33:40 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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