Posted on 09/26/2006 4:32:41 PM PDT by okstate
Posted on RCP (source can't be linked, Gannett)
Survey USA
Ed Perlmutter (D) 54%
Rick O'Donnell (R) 37%
Undecided 6%
482 LV
9/21-9/25 with no surveys on 9/22 or 9/23 due to Jewish holiday
What's happening in the governor race?
My original post was just saying that in polls released today of individual races there wasn't really any good news for us. National polls might be showing something different, like the generic ballot. But even there there is disagreement. Gallup and FOX have it really close.. CNN, LA Times, and CBS all show double-digit Dem leads.
So, how long did you lurk before you joined up?
Rasmussen has Bilirakis up 29, not 39, fwiw.
Rasmussen has Ritter up 16. Rocky Mtn News has him up 17. Survey USA has him up 10. Not looking too competitive.
In regards to IL-06, did you hear about the debate last weekend where Roskam accused Duckworth of wanting to "cut and run"? Really dumb. (She lost both legs in Iraq for those who are wandering why that is dumb)
Not that I think it will have a huge effect on the race, but Roskam should watch himself. This isn't Georgia in 2002.
A link for those that want to read about it: http://msnbc.msn.com/id/14988252/
I'm really bad at mistyping tonight. :)
But yea RCP is the best poll source. That's the exact site I use to post them here on FR
The word "cut" is clumsy in this context, no doubt about it.
Thanks. That part of Florida has moved rather rapidly toward the GOP, as expensive subdivisions are built to complement the lower middle class ones previously built for retirees.
WA-08 D poll released today has their candidate down 43 to 44 for Reichert. So that means they are admitting Reichert is ahead for now. Good news in light of the CD poll. And if you assume average of 5 point bias in the spread on a party poll, that puts Reichert up 6.
I thought Colo was a Republican state. What gives?
It is better in a marginal district to be a competent GOP incumbent than a challenger, this year. Can you imagine what the situation in Penn CD-6 would be if it were open? Oh the horror! :)
A tautology if ever there was one. :-}
Let x be the amount of "competetive" races, not that this looks at all competitive mind you.
Let y be the ones where the Dems are leading and z be the ones where the Pubbies are leading.
This guy only posts the y's which is y I want to know y?
Simmons did fine in the debate, he made it clear that he was the breadwinner for the southeast corner. That will get him votes. He's already got our votes despite his foolish notions on PBA being a "choice".
Prior to the debate Dem internals had the race a draw. I haven't seen either side totuting any internals post debate which kind of tells me the status remains quoa despite that later poll showing Simmons trailing by a bit.
It's actually the same pattern as Simmons first two campaigns. Behind or tied with Gejdenson and Courtney. Such is life in RINO central.
Maybe Lieberman will come and campaign for Simmons on a "stay the course" brotherhood thing. (evil grin)
y oh y. :) Simmons only mentioned the glorious pork aspect (maybe necessary pork and thus un-pork and low fat beef) in his summation. Obviously, that has more salience to the plebs in New London than it does to me, although I doubt the plebs were watching the debate (but no doubt they will get targeted mailers). The rest was about Iraq and health care, with Courtney apparently in the health care industry somehow, and thus had a lot of detailed trivia to offer. If Simmons previous opponents have been as articulate as this one, he is a mensch indeed, to slay them on hostile ground.
In my defense, I do post polling from competitive races where R's lead. Problem is that's kind of a rarity of a race this year.
A couple of days ago I posted one with Wilson up 5 in New Mexico. A couple about Senator Kyl in Arizona. A couple about Allen in VA. I've posted several showing Kean leading in NJ. Yesterday there were some M-D polls about the Nevada House districts that I posted. The point is, though, that in the competitive races, Democrats are leading by slight margins in a lot of them (this is true especially in the Senate) and the competitive races where we lead are smaller in number.
Maybe I will join my atheistic WASP breathen (eg my brothers) and become a Leftist. Each has about an equal likelihood. :) Ya, I know, some around here think I am already there. They must miss the well, subtleties. :)
:-} Courtney is a lawyer, a perennial also ran and a former state senator which is where he comes by his medical "expertise". I wish he were an ambulance chaser, it wold have been funnier, but I think his firm specializes in criminal law. Not sure of that though.
As well as the subtitles.
Don't underestimate the importance of the sub base to southeast Ct. Very, very important vote getter.
OK, I stand corrected. But please, no more breaking news where the margin is 20 points.
Spell check failed me. I hate when that happens.
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