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RI Senate Poll - Whitehouse +2 over RINO Chafee, +27 over "I'm not a Conservative" Laffey
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9-3-06 | Scott rasmussen

Posted on 09/05/2006 7:46:48 AM PDT by TitansAFC

September 3, 2006

Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse Rhode Island Senator Lincoln Chafee (R ) has pulled to within two points of challenger Sheldon Whitehouse in his bid for re-election. The latest Rasmussen Reports poll in Rhode Island shows Whitehouse earning support from 44% of voters while Chafee attracts 42% (see crosstabs). Whitehouse had a six point lead last month.

Based upon this poll we are shifting the Rhode Island Senate race from “Leans Democrat” to “Toss-Up” in our Senate Balance of Power ratings. Rhode Island is the fifth race in the Toss-Up category.

Though he has his sights set on Whitehouse, Chafee must first face off against his primary challenger, Cranston Mayor Stephen Laffey. The Providence Journal reports that Chafee has outspent Laffey $2.85 million to $1.18 million thus far as they head toward the September 12 showdown. The Whitehouse campaign will be cheering for Laffey on primary night, as the current poll shows Whitehouse leading that potential head-to-head contest 58% to 31%.

If Laffey defeats Chafee in the Republican Primary, this race will immediately be shifted to the Democrats column in our Senate Balance of Power ratings.

If you’d like to receive regular updates of Rasmussen Reports polling data, please sign up for our FREE weekly newsletter (see left column).

Chafee is taking some heat in the primary race, particularly from an Hispanic member of the state’s general assembly, for a television ad run by the National Republican Senatorial Committee that criticizes Laffey for allowing his city to accept Mexican identification cards. State Sen. Juan Pichardo says the ad, “unfairly portrays Hispanic immigrants as a threat to national security.” [MIKE… by the time this goes public, we will have a new immigration story on the site… should include a link to it from here]

Interestingly, equal percentages of voters say they have “very favorable” (20%) and “very unfavorable” (18%) opinions of both Chafee and Whitehouse. Even more interesting is the fact that Chafee gets better marks from Democrats than Republicans. Twenty-one percent (21%) of Democrats have a “very favorable” opinion of Chafee compared to only 14% of the GOP faithful.

Overall, the sitting senator is up with voters from both parties. Sixty-three percent (63%) of GOP voters and 28% of Democrats now say they support Chafee. Those numbers were 59% and 19%, respectively, in the last poll.

Most Rhode Island voters (54%) view Chafee as politically moderate. Twenty-nine percent (29%) see their Senator as liberal and 11% say he’s a conservative.

For Whitehouse, the numbers are 39% liberal, 34% moderate, and 8% conservative.

Both candidates are seen as far to the left of President Bush who is seen as politically conservative by 66% of Rhode Island voters. Distance from the President is a good thing in this left leaning state that doesn’t place much confidence in the performance of the President.

When asked who they trust more on matters relating to national security and the war in Iraq, 56% say the Democrats in Congress and 36% choose President Bush. The numbers diverge even further when it comes to managing the economy; 60% choose Congressional Democrats and slightly less than one-third (31%) choose the President.

Rhode Island is one of five states now listed in the Toss-Up Category for Election 2006. Three of the other four are also held by Republicans (Montana, Missouri, and Ohio). The only Toss-Up race for seat currently held by Democrats is in New Jersey.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Rhode Island
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; chafee; election; laffey; rhode; ri; senate
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Ugh.

Hold your nose, vote Chafee. Laffey's recent comments show little reason to back him, when combined with the likely loss of the seat.

I hate what the NRSC has done to Laffey, too. But it seems safe to say with less than two months remaining that Chafee is the only hope of holding the seat. Laffey ain't gonna bring out the hardcore grassroots like the Governor.

1 posted on 09/05/2006 7:46:52 AM PDT by TitansAFC
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To: TitansAFC

Sorry, in every other case, I would agree with you. Chafee refused to vote for GWB's reelection. He deserves no loyalty from any Rep. The Dems will win the seat, but that is better than supporting a candidate who disdains his own party.


2 posted on 09/05/2006 7:50:55 AM PDT by kabar
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To: TitansAFC

No matter how you vote in RI, the result will always be a stinker.


3 posted on 09/05/2006 7:52:10 AM PDT by AZRepublican ("The degree in which a measure is necessary can never be a test of the legal right to adopt it.")
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To: kabar
I guess my point doesn't come across well because I'm so frustrated with Laffey, but Laffey seems to be every bit as hostile to Bush and many of the policies/people we support (WOT/Rumsfeld, etc.).

I guess I'd be all for ousting Chafee if the opponent really were a Conservative, but why lose the seat on behalf of someone who isn't?

I think it would be better to have the seat in the Senate; remember six years is a LONG time.
4 posted on 09/05/2006 7:55:38 AM PDT by TitansAFC ("Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead.")
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To: TitansAFC
More evidence that the recent irrational exuberance on the part of Dems and the MSM has been way overblown. If there is such a thing as a political bubble, like an economic one, this certainly is it. The Democrat bubble soon to go bust!
5 posted on 09/05/2006 7:57:33 AM PDT by Obadiah
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To: kabar
The Dems will win the seat, but that is better than supporting a candidate who disdains his own party.

One big reason it's not better is because the party with the majority gets to chair all the committees in the Senate and, therefore, gets to set the agenda.

Still, if the Republicans have to lose any seat, it ought to be Chafee's.

6 posted on 09/05/2006 7:58:12 AM PDT by be-baw
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To: AZRepublican
Do you have to be a Rhode's scholar to vote in Rhode's Island? Does Karl Rhode have a plan in Rove Island?

Pix of the most famous thing to ever come from rhode island.


7 posted on 09/05/2006 8:01:00 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages - In Honor of Standing Wolf)
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To: TitansAFC

I'm not a Rhode Islander, so I can't vote. But personally, I wouldn't vote for Chaffee if he were running against Lenin. The sooner he's out of there, the sooner Rhode Island Republicans can try to rebuild the party.


8 posted on 09/05/2006 8:05:27 AM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: TitansAFC
"Chafee gets better marks from Democrats than Republicans. Twenty-one percent (21%) of Democrats have a “very favorable” opinion of Chafee compared to only 14% of the GOP faithful." That says it all!

It's getting a little tiring seeing FReepers say, "This guy doesn't really support the Republican cause and works against conservatives, but we gotta vote for him or the Rat will win."

Are we better off as a minority party that works toward goals or a majority party that has no soul and is paralyzed by the likes of Chaffee?
9 posted on 09/05/2006 8:07:18 AM PDT by BW2221
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To: TitansAFC
Ya'all need more illegal aliens up there.

Apparently, being a good Republican Senator in Rhode Island is one of those jobs American's just will not do.
10 posted on 09/05/2006 8:08:35 AM PDT by msnimje (What part of-- "DEATH TO AMERICA" --do the Democrats not understand?)
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To: BW2221

---"Are we better off as a minority party that works toward goals or a majority party that has no soul and is paralyzed by the likes of Chaffee."---

Not exactly the choice.

Do we deal with a buffoon from RI to prevent an outright EVIL party from running the Senate AND controlling judicial nominations?

Yes, we suck-it-up and deal with the buffoon.

Chafee's not evil, he's a buffoon. That beats the evil party any day, at least in my book.


11 posted on 09/05/2006 8:10:02 AM PDT by TitansAFC ("Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead.")
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To: kabar

Chafee IS a democrat, vote Laffey.


12 posted on 09/05/2006 8:12:42 AM PDT by HHKrepublican_2
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To: TitansAFC
The South needs to finish electing all Republicans to the Senate, and let the North East crumble on it's own.

The GOP should be concentrating on ousting Landrei, Lincoln, Nelson, Graham (oh, he is a Republican?, I stand corrected I guess), and the few RATS left in the South.

13 posted on 09/05/2006 8:15:54 AM PDT by lormand (Nuke the Islamic States, or kiss your @55 goodbye)
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To: TitansAFC

Using your logic, we should vote for Osama if he runs as a "Republican" so "we won't lose a seat."

From Wikipedia.

Political positions and voting record
Chafee has been noted many times for voting against his fellow Republicans on many key issues.

Abortion
Chafee strongly supports legal abortion. In May 2005, Chafee's senatorial re-election bid was endorsed by the traditionally Democrat-supporting NARAL Pro-Choice America, due to Chafee's outspoken support for women's "Right to Choose". NARAL supports individual candidates based on their political records re "reproductive rights" and other related issues, and thus endorses Republicans on occasion, but based on the difference between the two major parties, the vast majority of endorsees are Democrats. He is a member of the Republican Majority For Choice and Republicans For Choice.

Gay Rights
Chafee is a strong supporter of gay rights. He is one of only a few Senators, and currently the only Republican Senator, to have expressed support for gay marriage.

Environment
Chafee favors strong environmental protection. He was one of the few Republicans to vote against allowing drilling in ANWR, and is a member of the Republicans For Environmental Protection.

Tax Policy
Chafee opposes eliminating the estate tax and voted against both the tax cut bills of 2001 and 2003. He is the only Republican to vote in favor of reinstating the top federal tax rate of 39.6% on upper-income payers.

Iraq
On June 22, 2006, Chafee was the only Republican to vote for the Levin amendment calling for a non-binding timetable for a withdrawal of US troops from Iraq. He voted against the Kerry amendment calling for a binding timetable.

Stem Cell Research
Senator Chafee is a member of The Republican Main Street Partnership and supports federal funding for embryonic stem cell research.

Others
Chafee favors more federal funding for health coverage and supports an increase in the federal minimum wage. He supports affirmative action and gun control. Chafee was one of only two Republicans to vote against the Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act, which banned lawsuits against gun manufacturers and distributors for the criminal acts of third parties. On June 27, 2006, Chafee was one of only three Republicans to vote against the proposed Flag Desecration Amendment. He is also a member of the Republican group It's My Party Too.

These positions make his voting record among the most liberal of the Republicans in the Senate (see[2]


14 posted on 09/05/2006 8:16:25 AM PDT by BW2221
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To: TitansAFC
Laffey's recent comments show little reason to back him,

I didn't see anything in the article that he said. Could you give us an idea what it was?

15 posted on 09/05/2006 8:17:35 AM PDT by Bahbah (Goldwasser, Regev and Shalit, we are praying for you...)
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To: BW2221

You provide the basis for a STRONG case of ousting this guy and letting the chips fall where they may.


16 posted on 09/05/2006 8:18:36 AM PDT by Obadiah
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To: BW2221

totally off the subject:

So I take it you're with me as someone who won't vote Giuliani?


17 posted on 09/05/2006 8:18:57 AM PDT by TitansAFC ("Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead.")
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To: BW2221

---"Using your logic, we should vote for Osama if he runs as a "Republican" so "we won't lose a seat."---

No, because Osama is evil.

Chafee is a buffoon who doesn't even entirely understand his positions when you talk to him about them.



18 posted on 09/05/2006 8:19:53 AM PDT by TitansAFC ("Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead.")
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To: Bahbah

Among other things, he recently was very adamant about saying that he's "not a Conservative." Then he called for the removal of Donald Rumsfeld and criticized the war.


19 posted on 09/05/2006 8:21:11 AM PDT by TitansAFC ("Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead.")
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To: TitansAFC
"Chafee is a buffoon who doesn't even entirely understand his positions when you talk to him about them."

So, why would we reelect him? Oh, I forgot. To "save the seat."

It's because of RINOs like Chaffee that the GOP stands for NOTHING!
20 posted on 09/05/2006 8:28:23 AM PDT by BW2221
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