Posted on 09/02/2006 10:34:44 AM PDT by okstate
U.S. Sen. Jim Talent's deluge of ad spending apparently has paid off.
The latest Research 2000 poll for the Post-Dispatch and KMOV-TV (Channel 4) found that Talent, R-Mo., has chipped away at the edge held by his Democratic rival, state Auditor Claire McCaskill.
With a little more than two months left before Election Day, the two are in a statistical dead heat.
The Maryland-based firm's latest poll of 800 likely voters, conducted Monday through Thursday, found that 47 percent backed McCaskill and 46 percent supported Talent. Two percent supported Libertarian Frank Gilmour; 5 percent were undecided.Advertisement Green Party candidate Lydia Lewis, who was just added to the November ballot, had no measurable support.
(Excerpt) Read more at stltoday.com ...
Missouri trendlines:
9-03 Research2000 McCaskill +1
8-37 Gallup Talent +6
8-15 Rasmussen Talent +2
8-14 SurveyUSA McCaskill +1
7-20 Rasmussen McCaskill +3
6-27 Rasmussen TIE
6-22 Research2000 McCaskill +6
The date of the Gallup poll should be 8-27.
I really think Talent will pull this out! He's an experienced politician, and never underestimate a serious politician when it comes to winning tough races. Just like Santorum. The only reason he lost in 2000 was because of the Carnahan thing.
It is scientific.
'Maryland based' was in there as well. I'll keep the sarcasm tag on the word scientific.
The Dem has not been presenting herself well in this race, from what I can tell. Thus the counter trend. Missouri and New Jersey are the upticks in a down senate market.
Regardless of the overall picture, it's a definite trend upwards for Talent compared to earlier in the summer.
As a polling company, R2000 uses many of the same questions and screens that Mason-Dixon does, but they cut a lot of corners towards the final product. Therefore, their polls traditionally lean Democrat in terms of response, though nowhere near as bad as ARG, for example. SUSA's record of pollsters showed R2000 at about +1.3% Dem overall for 2004.
I suspect that Talent is probably up somewhere within the MOE, but whether its +1 or +4 is unknown.
Go ahead. It doesn't change the fact that it's a scientifically-based poll.
Have you ever worked in a call center in Maryland?
Have you ever had sushi in northern Virginia?
This poll apparently doesn't fit your world view, so you mock it. And if you had sushi, you'd have understood that.
I don't eat raw fish that is caught from water I cannot drink. If I can avoid it.
I'd agree, but I would probably include Maryland in with MO and NJ.
Steele will be competitive whether Cardin or Mfume wins.
I wish Research 2000 and Mason-Dixon polled more than they do. As it is we generally only have opinions from Rasmussen and SurveyUSA in most races. It would be nice to have that "third voice" at times.
In terms of upticks for us, based on polling, I think also MT. Actually, I was happy with Gallup's numbers in 4 of the 5 races, PA being the bad result.
It is amazing that Burns has stayed close, given his act. But I think in the end, he is going to retire from the senate, very soon. Put the odds on that as 2-1 at present, in my judgment.
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