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Analysis: Taking On al-Sadr Carries Risk
The Guardian (UK) ^ | 8-30-2006 | Robert H Reid

Posted on 08/30/2006 11:19:17 AM PDT by blam

Analysis: Taking on al-Sadr Carries Risk

Wednesday August 30, 2006 6:46 PM

By ROBERT H. REID

Associated Press Writer

BAGHDAD, Iraq (AP) - This week's intense clashes between the Iraqi army and a Shiite militia are part of a strategy to whittle away the power of a radical cleric. But the high-risk gambit could trigger more fighting across the Shiite south - at a time when the cleric's stronghold in the capital is virtually off-limits.

Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has promised to disband militias, including the Mahdi Army of anti-U.S. cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, as a way to curb the sectarian violence propelling Iraq to the brink of civil war. The United States has made clear it views that effort as crucial.

But a full-scale assault by either American or Iraqi forces on al-Sadr's stronghold of Sadr City is highly risky. Al-Maliki, a fellow Shiite with political ties to the cleric, has publicly criticized a U.S.-Iraqi raid this month on the teeming district in Baghdad, where al-Sadr's followers maintain control and mete out Islamic justice in religious courts.

With Sadr City thus out of play for the time being, the U.S. military and its partners have been going after al-Sadr's forces outside the capital, arresting a Mahdi commander in Basra and raiding militia offices in other cities to cut into the cleric's power base.

The fighting Sunday and Monday in Diwaniyah, a ramshackle Shiite market town about 100 miles south of Baghdad, was the latest and one of the most intense examples.

The trouble started when Iraqi soldiers arrested one of the cleric's supporters before dawn Sunday, said an al-Sadr aide. Later in the day, Iraqi soldiers launched more raids and fighting broke out.

Al-Maliki's office said 73 people, including 23 Iraqi soldiers, were killed before a truce was. .

(Excerpt) Read more at guardian.co.uk ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: alsadr; analysis; carries; risk; taking

1 posted on 08/30/2006 11:19:17 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Perfect MOAB application.


2 posted on 08/30/2006 11:20:13 AM PDT by samadams2000 (Somebody important make....THE CALL!)
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To: blam

I don't care what kind of risk it takes...to leave that guy alive is more of a risk to everything we are trying to accomplish...not the least of which is to bring the troops home eventually.


3 posted on 08/30/2006 11:22:33 AM PDT by Txsleuth (,((((((((ISRAEL))))))))) Steve and Olaf have been released...pray for the release of the Israelis..)
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To: blam

Kill the sumbitch.

Oh my. That wasn't exactly PC, was it?


4 posted on 08/30/2006 11:23:20 AM PDT by RexBeach
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To: blam
Would someone tell my why anywhere is out of bounds, let alone the area occupied by the leadership that may lead to a civil war??
5 posted on 08/30/2006 11:23:24 AM PDT by Edgerunner (The greatest impediment to world peace is the UN and the Peaceniks)
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To: blam

We screwed up the first time in '03 by not whacking him in the first place when we had the chance.


6 posted on 08/30/2006 11:24:27 AM PDT by roaddog727 (Bullsh## doesn't get bridges built.)
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To: blam
Whose offered the analysis? Dennis Kucinich?
7 posted on 08/30/2006 11:26:44 AM PDT by slowhand520
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To: blam

The only way to win this thing is to win it. We need General Sherman.


8 posted on 08/30/2006 11:27:49 AM PDT by coon2000
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To: blam

Blah, blah, blah...before allied forces took on Al Sadr's forces the media was saying it was a mistake to leave him alone. These asshats are never pleased. War comes with risks. Duhhhh. And I prefer this risk then leaving Hezbollah-lite and Iranian puppets in peace in Southern Iraq so they can build up for an explosion of violence directed by President Rat Face of Iran on their own terms and timing. Best to hit them now on our terms.


9 posted on 08/30/2006 11:27:59 AM PDT by MikeA (Not voting out of anger in November is a vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House)
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To: RexBeach
Kill the sumbitch.

That's only a Presidential signature away from reality

10 posted on 08/30/2006 11:28:07 AM PDT by Robe (Rome did not create a great empire by talking, they did it by killing all those who opposed them)
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To: roaddog727
He was at the height of his popularity in 2003. His stock has been falling - his disrespectful behavior toward Al-Sistani and the uncontrollable behavior of his militia have soured the Iraqi populace on his antics.

The best way to liquidate him is for an Iraqi army unit to kill him as his broader influence dwindles. It would have been more problematic for US troops to kill him when he was a popular figure.

11 posted on 08/30/2006 11:28:50 AM PDT by wideawake ("The nation which forgets its defenders will itself be forgotten." - Calvin Coolidge)
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To: Txsleuth
I don't care what kind of risk it takes...to leave that guy alive is more of a risk to everything we are trying to accomplish...not the least of which is to bring the troops home eventually

Stupid liberals. It's a risk to do anything in the Middle East. You might re-enrage the Arab street. They might burn more American flags, or chant "death to America." There is risk to getting out of bed in the morning. There is risk in getting in a car, getting on a plane, even walking in San Francisco. The stupid liberals think it is better to do nothing, and take the risk that he might not accept the appeasement they offer.

12 posted on 08/30/2006 11:31:16 AM PDT by webheart (Have a nice day!)
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To: wideawake

"The best way to liquidate him is for an Iraqi army unit to kill him as his broader influence dwindles."

Agreed.

Infact, now would be a good time for this liquidation.


13 posted on 08/30/2006 11:38:58 AM PDT by roaddog727 (Bullsh## doesn't get bridges built.)
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To: blam

it baffles me that the US allowed this and other militias to survive. I assume no rational plan out of the pentagon would have included such militias, so it indicates a major failure-to-adapt once reality on the ground began to change from expectations.


14 posted on 08/30/2006 11:39:08 AM PDT by WoofDog123
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To: blam

"Al-Maliki's office said 73 people, including 23 Iraqi soldiers, were killed before a truce was. ."

Truce?


15 posted on 08/30/2006 11:52:21 AM PDT by Prokopton
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To: roaddog727
Now would be an excellent time. However, as the noose tightens, chances increase that he will just flee to Iran to save his hide.

Which might be more effective in killing his movement than actually killing him would, although it would be much less satisfying.

16 posted on 08/30/2006 12:00:57 PM PDT by wideawake ("The nation which forgets its defenders will itself be forgotten." - Calvin Coolidge)
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To: roaddog727
We screwed up the first time in '03 by not whacking him in the first place when we had the chance.

EXACTLY!!!!!

17 posted on 08/30/2006 12:05:16 PM PDT by jdsteel ('nuff said (old Marvel Comics reference....))
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To: blam

Is this a war on terror? Shouldn't we be taking out command and control centers? Does this clown have his own Militia? He's answered the 'either with us or against' test- next dumb move on his part - WIPE HIM OFF THE FACE OF THE EARTH.


18 posted on 08/30/2006 12:22:22 PM PDT by Made In The USA (Bacon is infidelicious)
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To: blam

If UK paper oppose it, do it.


19 posted on 08/30/2006 12:31:09 PM PDT by Doctor Phogg
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