Posted on 08/28/2006 7:27:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Florida Governor Jeb Bush ordered a state of emergency in advance of Ernesto's anticipated Florida landfall as a hurricane. During his press briefing, Governor Bush emphasized the need to, "Have your family plan in place. Be prepared to be on your own for 72 hours. I know it sounds like a broken record." Jeb then repeated his message in Spanish.
All of the South Florida peninsula and Keys are under a hurricane watch, and portions of the watch areas may be upgraded to hurricane warnings later today.
NASA is moving Space Shuttle Atlantis from the launch pad back to its protective hangar, with the launch postponed until at least Sept. 7-8.
Hurricane Ernesto was downgraded to Tropical Storm status after battering Haiti and the Dominican Republic all day Sunday. The death toll in Haiti from Ernesto currently stands at 1 person; storm reports from Hispaniola are scarce this morning.
Ernesto has approached the eastern portion of Cuba, where the government issued a hurricane warning for six provinces, tourists were evacuated, and baseball games were played earlier Sunday than originally scheduled.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Ernesto Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 3 & 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data Florida & Eastern GOM
Satellite Images
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Tropical Storm Ernesto I
Hurricane Ernesto
there's a smidge of convection where the alleged center is now...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html
Getting a Push from that "hook" from the EAST ?
Yeah, I see that arc now. Sure as heck isn't very impressive - all the main convection has been pushed away. It will have to completely re-form now.
I'm looking forward to leaving the office in a few minutes so that I can catch up on things. I HATE IT when work gets in the way of reading FR!
IF this pans out and comes up into central pa. how does it affect me in the Philly area.
I am not a bit surprised actually...
It just seemed like too much of a coincidence so soon after Patsy's death.
A Tropical Storm Warning is being issued for Florida from Vero Beach southward on the East Coast...from south of Chokoloskee southward on the West Coast...for Lake Okeechobee...and for all of the Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to the Dry Tortugas. These areas also remain under a Hurricane Watch.
On/Off Hurricane Ping list, mash ---> 
.
You might want to see the latest forecast updates.
How much rain did you get recently? How do your streams look?
And I wouldn't worry too much yet - as of 11pm, it was gonna hit the Outer Banks and not get anywhere near PA.
My boss just said that NOAA downgraded this again...changing the 'H' to a 'S' when it hits Florida......inotherwords it won't be a hurricane when it hits us. Course that could change any minute. That would also mean most of us will work.... since it won't be a 'hurricane warning'.....
There's been some flooding in the area. Waiting to see how much more rain we get supposedly later today. Yesterday was close to an inch.
Which quadrant is the one that throws out the most tornados? That's what I worry about.
Looks like Toronto could get a rainy tag end of it in a fortnight or so.
It looks like the entire western half of the storm is just being torn away, exposing the inner core (if you can call it that). The air ahead of it looks relatively dry as well.
Sounds like your boss is HOPING it is just a TS...doesn't want to let you guys off work...
It's the rip currents that are so dangerous in the coastal waters as the storm approaches. They'll take even the best swimmer away.
All due respect, but Hurricane David was a category 1 when off the coast of Brevard County in 1979.
ALL the original convection, including the eastern section, is now over a degree of latitude away. There is one leetle storm where they say the center is. And as you said, the air all the way to Florida looks very dry on the WV image.
Hahah....yeah....and actually he wants out more than I do....he's leaving early today. Do as I say - not what I do kind of thing here....
Wunderground has it as a Cat 2 - it may be that you felt Cat 1 conditions with it just off the coast.
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