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CBO Estimate of Senate Amnesty Grossly Understated, Asserts FAIR
Federation for American Immigration Reform ^ | August 22, 2006 | Staff

Posted on 08/25/2006 5:14:06 PM PDT by yoe

Washington, DC -- The estimate by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), released Friday, that the Senate-passed guest worker amnesty bill (S. 2611) would cost the country a net amount of $127 billion over the next ten years is misleading and grossly underestimates the real fiscal impact, contends the Federation from American Immigration Reform (FAIR). According to FAIR, the CBO estimate includes only the fiscal impact at the federal level, but ignores the much greater impact S. 2611 would have on state and local governments.

An estimate of the fiscal impact at the local level by FAIR identifies a cost of $70 billion per year by 2020, primarily for education and health care. The $70 billion annual price tag does not include a number of other likely cost increases for programs such as assisted housing and other social welfare programs.

“The formidable cost estimate by the CBO of the Senate amnesty bill is only the tip of the iceberg,” commented FAIR president Dan Stein. “The full impact of this disastrous legislation won’t begin to be felt for another decade. Once millions of illegal aliens become eligible for all government programs, benefits and services, the fiscal impact on local governments are likely to be catastrophic.”

Supporters of the Senate-passed amnesty/guest worker bill are attempting to lessen the impact of the CBO projection by noting that the enforcement-only bill passed by the House of Representatives (H.R. 4437) also comes with a hefty price tag. While that is true, because the House bill does not include amnesty and expanded admission of low-wage workers, these would be one-time-only expenditures, not an ever expanding liability. The enforcement measures in the House bill, if implemented, would result in reduced state and local costs as the illegal alien population began to decrease.

“As government services and programs are being cut, and crippling debts are being bequeathed to future generations of Americans, the idea of expending unnecessary billions of tax dollars to reward millions of people who broke our laws is anathema to most Americans,” said Stein. “But the American public must be aware that their liability under the Senate bill only begins with the $127 billion. The Senate amnesty amounts to a running tab for government provided services and benefits that will have to be paid for largely at the local level. American taxpayers don’t much care which pocket will be picked to pay for this special interest driven amnesty proposal. Whether it’s federal dollars or local dollars, the bottom line is that it is countless billions of their money that would have to pay for this amnesty proposal for generations to come.”



TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Extended News; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: aliens; amnesty; bordersecurity; bushamnesty; illegalaliens; immigrantlist; invasionusa; senaterats; senaterinos
(for more on Sticker Shock)
1 posted on 08/25/2006 5:14:06 PM PDT by yoe
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To: yoe

Be still my heart - the government lied...

When have they ever told the truth?


2 posted on 08/25/2006 5:38:31 PM PDT by edcoil (Reality doesn't say much - doesn't need too)
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To: yoe
(for more on Sticker Shock)

Yowza!!

The fireworks involve new entitlement spending in the Senate version. The CBO sets the price tag for services for some 16 million new citizens and guest workers at $48.4 billion through fiscal year 2016. That includes $24.5 billion for earned income and child tax credits, $11.7 billion for Medicaid, $5.2 billion for Social Security, $3.7 billion for Medicare, and $2.4 billion for food stamps.

snip

"The amnesty alone will be the largest expansion of the welfare system in the last 25 years," says Robert Rector, a senior analyst at the Heritage Foundation, and a witness at a House Judiciary Committee field hearing in San Diego Aug. 2.

"Welfare costs will begin to hit their peak around 2021, because there are delays in citizenship. The very narrow time horizon [the CBO is] using is misleading," he adds. "If even a small fraction of those who come into the country stay and get on Medicaid, you're looking at costs of $20 billion or $30 billion per year."

snip

3 posted on 08/25/2006 5:41:41 PM PDT by DumpsterDiver
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To: 1_Inch_Group; 2sheep; 2Trievers; 3AngelaD; 3pools; 3rdcanyon; 4Freedom; 4ourprogeny; 7.62 x 51mm; ..

ping


4 posted on 08/25/2006 5:45:51 PM PDT by gubamyster
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To: gubamyster

Bttt!


5 posted on 08/25/2006 6:56:10 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: DumpsterDiver

Not to mention the inundation we'd suffer from ever-increasing waves of illegal aliens coming here because they hear "flat-out amnesty" when any lessening of standards is even discussed.

All stick - no carrots.


6 posted on 08/25/2006 8:55:57 PM PDT by NewRomeTacitus
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To: yoe
The RINOs and Democrats want to stick the Shamnesty costs to Americans. And we would be on the hook for those costs forever. Americans oppose amnesty but that hasn't barred hispandering politicians from both parties from putting their political needs above the country's welfare.

(No more Olmert! No more Kadima! No more Oslo! )

7 posted on 08/26/2006 1:34:25 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: NewRomeTacitus
The best thing about Shamnesty is at that point, the socialist system would begin to collapse like a house of cards. Of course by then all those who voted to pass it into law would no longer be around to answer for the consequences.

(No more Olmert! No more Kadima! No more Oslo! )

8 posted on 08/26/2006 1:36:41 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: yoe
The government estimated there would be one million amnesties in 1986, but it turned out 3 million applied, and of that 2.7 million applications were approved. Three-hundred thousand were denied due to fraud. According to Kris Kobach, who was head of immigration in the Justice Department under A.G. Ashcroft, there was rampant fraud in the ones approved. That is why many believe the estimate of 12.5 million illegal aliens is way too low, with there actually being 30 million in the country.
9 posted on 08/26/2006 3:09:49 AM PDT by GarySpFc (Jesus on Immigration, John 10:1)
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To: yoe
Here we are simply dealing with costs, which doesn't say one word as to how this will affect future immigration. Does anyone believe for one second this will slow or stop future waves of illegal aliens seeking amnesty? This country does need workers to replace the 45 million Americans who have been aborted, but clearly America would be far better off by increasing the number of EDUCATED LEGAL immigrants we allow into the country. I might add there are millions who applied to immigrate here legally who have been waiting in line overseas for 10 to 30 years, and America would be sticking her thumb in the eye of those trying to obey the rule of law. It would be downright evil to provide rights to lawbreakers over those who respect and appreciate what it means to be an American.
10 posted on 08/26/2006 3:35:52 AM PDT by GarySpFc (Jesus on Immigration, John 10:1)
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To: edcoil

Perhaps the real answer in things like this is that each congress critter who signs onto a bill that costs the taxpayer's money is required to put up a percentage of the money from their own pockets. Or, perhaps their state should be required to fund 10%? There has to be a way that these irresponsible spendthrifts are personally liable for their bad legislation.
susie


11 posted on 08/26/2006 5:38:45 AM PDT by brytlea (amnesty--an act of clemency by an authority by which pardon is granted esp. to a group of individual)
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To: GarySpFc
Does anyone believe for one second this will slow or stop future waves of illegal aliens seeking amnesty?

Only the chronically naive.

susie

12 posted on 08/26/2006 5:41:22 AM PDT by brytlea (amnesty--an act of clemency by an authority by which pardon is granted esp. to a group of individual)
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