Posted on 07/30/2006 2:06:41 PM PDT by rface
Rush Limbaugh announced on his show that the GOP house internal polling shows a circa 30 seat loss for 2006.
It is hard for me to write much on this subject, as internal polling is secretive and not generaly available to public scrutiny. But there are some thoughts for discussion here.
One, is Rush correct? I don't think Rush makes it up as he goes along. He is human, and can make errors (as can anybody talking solo for 15 hours a week). But I haven't known him to lie outright on a political matter ever. I believe Rush has reported what he has gleaned from a GOP member of congress or a staffer.
Two, is the information correct? Is it a leak, or a misinformation campaign? I guess I don't see much value in leaking incorrect data to Rush exagerating a potential house loss. So I tend to believe the leaker was being accurate.
Three, should Rush have reported this (and should I write about it)? No to the first part. Internal polling is not meant to be leaked or reported. Once millions of Rush listeners have the info, it is already public and so I offer it here for your analysis.
Four, implications? Internal polling isn't the "for public" polling that you get from groups like Zogby, Gallup, Rasmussen, etc. Internal polling is the hard core, scientific, no spin accurate stuff that the candidates and the parties get and is held close to their vests. Only the best of the best work directly for the parties and candidates. My point is that if the information Rush reported is accurate, there are dark times ahead.
Implications go beyond this too. With the recent failure of the GOP by raising the minimum wage and cutting (but enshrining) a major tax, and with no movement on issues like arctic and offshore drilling, the slow pace of federal court appointments, and unreal spending, the GOP is losing the base. Despite our war on terror and a robust economy, Americans see casualty numbers and gas prices.
Having just adjourned for a recess, I see little the house can do other than campaign localy in the near term. If we blow this election we have no one to blame other than ourselves (a moderate to liberal GOP senate and a spend happy house).
"Where have you gone Ronald Reagan, a nation turns it's lonely eyes to you".
Darn, if only your military expertise was on the front where it belongs! [giggle]
by real conservative do you mean pro-CFR, pro-no-child-left-behind, pro-senior drug plan, pro-amnesty, pro-huge spending deficits, pro-transportation bill, etc?
i think the major things conservatives have gained with a gop presidency are judicial appointments, foreign policy, tax cuts (with qualifier regarding spending increases), and an end to gun control legislation. I believe that this combo, overall, is not what anyone would have expected even at the end of 2001, from a gop government.
Oh Lord, do I have to watch Bush impeachment hearings? The World ain't getting any better.
ROTFLMAO!!! Yep, unless and until the GOP starts doing the right thing there. Then the only issue will be "X!!!" Or "Y!!!!" Whatever the GOP ain't doin' right, damnit!! :-D
I believe Iowa has a chance to pick up a Republican seat. I expect Lamberti to take out Boswell. Of course, Nussle's First District could be lost. Overall, I'm more optimistic than pessimistic.
Didn't buy my vote, I found it to be disgusting. IMO, illegal immigration is one of the maind disconnects between the GOP and the base. Also, not defending OUR agenda enough and giving in to RINOS & libs.
it really shows the power behind the party, that is the interests of business versus voters. folks who never would have believed our political system was so subverted by business interests had their eyes opened by that debate and some of the statistics that have come out on that topic, like number of INS workplace enforcement actions the last 8 years or so.
i think you are right, the immig. issue hurt the GOP more than anything else this year.
Just when you think the hysterical posts can't get any more moronic. Sheesh!
Ya know, I don't begrudge your right to be woefully misinformed and emotionally unstable. It just bothers the heck out of me that your vote counts as much as mine.
As you say, it's all local in House races (though generally the more conservative the candidate the better IMO.)
One would have to be brain dead to vote for a Democrat. They have NO plans to deal with anything. Either the old saying that you can't beat someone with nothing is a lie or Republicans should be just fine. All RATS can do is yap.
I respectfully disagree. I think the silence will be profound. If that does come about most of these "real conservatives" will not be posting on this forum... at least for a while. [grin]
:-D Well done!
Paul, if you truly believe that the GOP losing 30 seats [chuckle] is a good thing, then you really should change your tagline.
the disconnect was always there, but the illegals issue really opened the eyes of some sheeple. support for agressive border control has been and remains HUGE and the government simply does not want to do it, and they drag their feet when it is mandated.
bridges to nowhere didn't help either.
June 29, 2004 - Bush, Kerry Are In Dead Heat In Florida
August 12 2004 - Democratic challenger John Kerry leads President George W. Bush 47 - 41 in Florida
October 21, 2004 - Kerry Closes Gap To Make Florida Too Close To Call
Polls consistently showed Jeb Bush in a dead heat with his opponent Bill McBride in his last campaign. Bush won the election by 13 points, the largest margin of votes in Florida history.
There are plenty of facts on this thread. They seem to be invisible to many for some reason, however.
You know, lazy hypocrites!
I think it would be a good thing if we could fire all of them.
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