Posted on 11/26/2005 12:22:13 PM PST by Brian_Baldwin
Is the Iraq War the issue for 2006 elections? The old media would have you think so. But, no. That's all part of their agenda. The issue isn't the Iraq war. No, it’s the economy. And it’s booming way bigger than a suicide bomb in Baghdad. The DJIA as today at 10931.62, we are only just under 100 points from topping 11 Thousand.
But, you may ask – how can we predict that the economy will be doing well about election time, considering all the unknowns? Well, yes we likely can. Because, with what the nation has already been through with high gas prices and assorted disasters, if the economy was going to belly up, it would have already done so. And besides, some folks actually made money off the high gas prices and are now investing that money in other sectors as well.
And it’s a fact, a positive feeling about the economy can help drive a positive economy.
While the legacy media spends all of it’s time, as toadies of the Left and the Democratic Party, trying to weaken our resolve, aiding and inspiring the enemies of America while trying to weaken our national soul – in other words whatever they can do to see our defeat in every manner both nationally and internationally just to bring down a Republican Administration - we are seeing the opening salvos like cannon fire from hills yonder of upbeat reports of the economy from FOX News and some analysts, something that many foresaw for some time. Unemployment rate is down to 5.0 %. We are now seeing indicators of a strange phenomena – instead of rising inflation indicators of lower inflation, mortgage interest rates which in end do not look like they will be to the demise of dreams of home ownership for Americans coming into the housing market, that predictions of a housing bust may be turned upside down on it’s head. We see profits coming in, and consumer confidence.
In other words, we see the ACE in the hole for a Republican victory in the 2006 elections. I am not going to go on and on regarding the nuances of economic trends. I now believe, as many others, that the economy is booming, and we are in for a good economic ride – and all the Republicans need to do, is obvious. We are told by the old media, that a Democratic sweep is coming, that the Democrats will retake the Congress, and all because of the Iraq war, and because Bush’s polling numbers are in the tank. But all the Republicans need to do, is to repeat the following mantras over and over again – “it’s the economy, stupid, and it’s booming”. And conservative commentators who do not want to see a Democratic victory in 2006, all they need to do is join in on the chorus, and with every T.V. interview, on the radio air waves, across the fruited plain, to repeat over and over again the following messages:
(1) “The economy is booming. It’s amazing! Wow! And, . . . do you want to lose your job? No? Well, look around . . . do you like that holiday shopping, picked up a few electronic gadgets? Things are looking good, so good maybe you might consider buying a new car this season. Do you want to lose your job? No? Well, if you want to flush this booming economy down the toilet, if you want to lose your job – then vote Democrat. You want to keep your job? Vote Republican.”
(2) “Wow, look at that stock market! Yes, we are confident, and there are reasons to be so! The ECONOMY IS EXCITING!”
(3) “Let’s not only keep this ball rolling, lets go for the pot of gold! It’s the economy, stupid, so VOTE REPUBLICAN LIKE NEVER BEFORE! Wow! This is GREAT!”
(4) “Hey, the Iraq thing isn’t so bad after all. The elections are happening, and, it even looks like things are going so good, some of the boys can come home. But Iraq is one thing, but what’s really looking good is the economy. Wow. Now you can buy that LCD T.V.! All thanks to the booming economy! A booming economy is a strong America! And a strong America, is a victorious America!”
(5) . . . and so on, and so forth.
I’m telling you, it will work. All the Republicans need to do, is get pick up that horn and start to blow it. In fact, it won’t even be that hard to do. And if the conservative commentators get on board, this thing can start to roll. You see, the number one issue with America isn’t anything in any poll you’ve been hearing about . . . or maybe you did hear about it – it’s the economy, stupid. And the economy is the Republicans ticket to victory. It’s the message about the economy. It’s the message about a booming economy that is the Republicans ticket to victory. And American doesn’t want to rock the boat and mess this good thing up. That’s the message. All they got to do, is blow that horn. Again, and again, and again, and again, and again . . . and again.
If and when that thing hits 11 Thousand, the Republicans better get out and make like America just won the lottery. And why not? It’s good news. And good news, is good news. Spread the good news, folks.
Most people can't stand politicians, so they turn away from politics. They have no idea what's happening in Washington, nor do they care. BUT.....when their money is gone or their family is in danger, they know it. That's what gets them to the polls (and they do not like liberalism).
Read the polls... most Americans believe that the economy is poor. With gas prices, the average American's wallet isn't doing better this year than last.
No way man. The economy is in the toilet and we're all going to become basket ladies and homeless. Just ask the Democrats.
Then they will come riding in on their white horses and save us all.
-PJ
You need to get a better understanding of economics rather than just parrot Limbaugh. The truth is that DOW at 11K has very little impact on the lives of the average American, and as other posters have said, income growth has been very slow.
The truth about this economic recovery is it has been largely confined to the real estate, financial sectors, and retail that sells items related to housing. People used their homes as ATMs machines to drive retail. The entire non utility industrial sector still has not recovered, and high tech has largely not recovered.
What does the Republican party stand for, unwaveringly? Smaller government? Nope. Balanced budgets? Nope. Elimination of wasteful, useless programs and agencies? Hell nope - they created more of them.
I'm not seeing the upside here. Unless you want to invest in Baghdad Burger Kings, because we'll be there forever.
And don't give me the old "we don't suck as much as they suck!" line - that one wore out years ago.
Maybe a (hopefully short) spell out of power will help the GOP return its focus on the ideas you mention.
I would not count on the economy swinging the 2006 election - good economic times arguably did not help Gore in 2000.
Maybe. Personally, I was convinced years ago (during the embarrassing, stupid "campaign" of OldBobDole) that the Republican Party is permanently contaminated and needs to be broomed out of the way.
This was proven by what those Big Government parasites did once seizing the reins of power.
Dump them. Start fresh. Or we're just back to BushDoleBushDoleClintonBushDoleRiceClinton again. Rinse 'n Repeat.
I think you're going to get a lot of posts that say you're being a tad too "Pollyanna-ish."
I'm going to have to be one of them. The Republicans ARE in charge now, and derrnit, they're not showing nearly enough leadership or forethought for my tastes.
Of course, I'll NEVER vote for the Abortion Party, but way too many people ignore politics and really don't give a rat's rump about the stock market.
Sorry. In this case, I hope I'm wrong and that the GOP does sieze upon this issue, but they've let so many stunning successes go by the wayside these past five years that it appears that they are paying as much attention these days to "political strategy" as is your average Joe Sixpack. :(
I think the economy is booming but the average American still doesnt. Until Bush gets around to informing them of this fact or they trip over it themselves, we may have to wait a while the vast majority of Americans to discover how good the economy is. Last few polls I saw showed that some 30-40% of the population actually thought we were in a recession. Duh
I would not count on the economy swinging the 2006 election - good economic times arguably did not help Gore in 2000.
People who had their eyes open knew that the economy was not good in '00. Maybe that explains it.
there were no "good economic times in 2000;" the economy was in freefall by election day. If Clinton had cut taxes in 1999, Gore would have waltzed in in 2000 against some toothless Republican, because nobody would have wanted the nomination. By economic numbers, Bush should have won in '04 by 5% as the LIBERAL academic who was frequently quoted on FR showed. It proves the force of the propaganda machine of the left that he won by only 1.5%, and even moreso that so many Feepers buy the revised history and distorted analysis that the media spins out continuously. The fact that all the State budgets that were running billions of dollars in deficit are now showing surpluses indicates that the recovery is not anemic, but robust. Now that Bush has finally gotten past his funk and is fighting back, we'll see how the '06 election goes.
That's not correct at all. This "recovery" (and I use that term loosely because I see this as normal growth in a robust economy, not a recovery at all) has run across many sectors of the U.S. economy, including some that don't get a lot of attention in all the endless lamentations about "lost jobs." Transportation is a good example . . . 1) the railroad industry sets records for carloadings almost every month, and has seen chronic problems due to record demand that exceeds the ability of the rail system to handle it; 2) one of the biggest problems this nation faces from an economic perspective is a chronic shortage of qualified truck drivers; and 3) the new "manufacturing" jobs in this economy (i.e. blue-collar jobs that pay good wages) are longshoremen and logistics workers in the high-tech age, who can earn in excess of $80,000 per year in our major port cities.
Heck -- even the much-maligned auto industry is actually quite strong. Maybe the Big Three aren't doing very well, but the industy as a whole in this country continues to sell record numbers of new vehicles almost every month.
And in addition to all that, most professionals will tell you that they simply can't find enough qualified workers in almost any sector to fill their companies' needs.
This has nothing to do with "parroting Rush Limbaugh," either. If this economy was nearly half as bad as people try to make it out to be, the shopping mall parking lots in this country wouldn't be packed to the roof all the time.
Don't read the polls they are fixed read your wallet if your not making money in this economy your in the wrong job market !
Bad economic times win elections for the party that is out of power; arguably good economic times win the party that is in power the fur lined chamber mug.
The auto industry has been closely tied to the housing boom, much of the home equity loans that have been extracted from homes have gone to new car sales. As for logistics, that to a large extent is tied to housing as well, selling many times that are real estate based.
In terms of railroads, much of their record performance is due to movment of raw materials, such as coal for power plants, and grain for export(the weaker dollar helped here), and again intermodal has largely been related to retail, and again retail to a large extent driven by people using their homes as ATM machines. Lastly truck drivers, and I know a few, there is ALLWAYS a shortage of qualified truck drivers because it is a difficult to retain people after more than a couple of years because of the lifestyle required.
And for $80K a year in most major port cities, that doesnt go very far when the median price of a home is going past $400K.
Maybe it was just me location. I was in Silicon Valley in 1999-2001. Although the market crashed in 2000, people were still making money hand over fist all through that year. The layoffs and dotcom bust didn't really hit until 2001. Or maybe the media didn't start reporting heavily on it until after the election in an effort to help Gore. Either way, most people at the time (11/00) would not have told you we were in a recession.
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