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Is Intelligent Design a Bad Scientific Theory or a Non-Scientific Theory?
Tech Central Station ^ | 11/10/2005 | Uriah Kriegel

Posted on 11/10/2005 4:43:24 AM PST by Nicholas Conradin

In an election in Pennsylvania this week, voters tossed out eight members of the Pittsburgh school board who wanted Intelligent Design theory to be taught alongside evolution in school. But should Intelligent Design -- the theory that living organisms were created at least in part by an intelligent designer, not by a blind process of evolution by natural selection -- be taught in public schools? In one way, the answer to this question is simple: if it's a scientific theory, it should; if it's not, it shouldn't (on pain of flaunting the Establishment Clause). The question, however, is whether Intelligent Design (ID) is a scientific theory.

Opponents dismiss ID's scientific credentials, claiming that the theory is too implausible to qualify as scientific. But this reasoning is fallacious: a bad scientific theory is still a scientific theory, just as a bad car is still a car. There may be pedagogical reasons to avoid teaching bad scientific theories in our public schools, but there are no legal ones. The Constitution contains no interdiction on teaching bad theories, or for that matter demonstrably false ones. As long as theory is science and not religion, there is no legal barrier to teaching it.

To make their case, opponents of teaching ID must show not just that the theory is bad, but that it's not science. This raises a much more complicated question: What is science? What distinguishes genuinely scientific theories from non-scientific ones?

In one form or another, the question has bothered scientists and philosophers for centuries. But it was given an explicit formulation only in the 1920s, by Karl Popper, the most important 20th century philosopher of science. Popper called it "the problem of demarcation," because it asked how to demarcate scientific research and distinguish it from other modes of thought (respectable though they may be in their own right).

One thing Popper emphasized was that a theory's status as scientific doesn't depend on its plausibility. The great majority of scientific theories turn out to be false, including such works of genius as Newton's mechanics. Conversely, the story of Adam and Eve may well be pure truth, but if it is, it's not scientific truth, but some other kind of truth.

So what is the mark of genuine science? To attack this question, Popper examined several theories he thought were inherently unscientific but had a vague allure of science about them. His favorites were Marx's theory of history and Freud's theory of human behavior. Both attempted to describe the world without appeal to super-natural phenomena, but yet seem fundamentally different from, say, the theory of relativity or the gene theory.

What Popper noticed was that, in both cases, there was no way to prove to proponents of the theory that they were wrong. Suppose Jim's parents moved around a lot when Jim was a child. If Jim also moves around a lot as an adult, the Freudian explains that this was predictable given the patterns of behavior Jim grew up with. If Jim never moves, the Freudian explains -- with equal confidence -- that this was predictable as a reaction to Jim's unpleasant experiences of a rootless childhood. Either way the Freudian has a ready-made answer and cannot be refuted. Likewise, however much history seemed to diverge from Marx's model, Marxists would always introduce new modifications and roundabout excuses for their theory, never allowing it to be proven false.

Popper concluded that the mark of true science was falsifiability: a theory is genuinely scientific only if it's possible in principle to refute it. This may sound paradoxical, since science is about seeking truth, not falsehood. But Popper showed that it was precisely the willingness to be proven false, the critical mindset of being open to the possibility that you're wrong, that makes for progress toward truth.

What scientists do in designing experiments that test their theories is create conditions under which their theory might be proven false. When a theory passes a sufficient number of such tests, the scientific community starts taking it seriously, and ultimately as plausible.

When Einstein came up with the theory of relativity, the first thing he did was to make a concrete prediction: he predicted that a certain planet must exist in such-and-such a place even though it had never been observed before. If it turned out that the planet did not exist, his theory would be refuted. In 1919, 14 years after the advent of Special Relativity, the planet was discovered exactly where he said. The theory survived the test. But the possibility of failing a test -- the willingness to put the theory up for refutation -- was what made it a scientific theory in the first place.

To win in the game of science, a theory must be submitted to many tests and survive all of them without being falsified. But to be even allowed into the game, the theory must be falsifiable in principle: there must be a conceivable experiment that would prove it false.

If we examine ID in this light, it becomes pretty clear that the theory isn't scientific. It is impossible to refute ID, because if an animal shows one characteristic, IDers can explain that the intelligent designer made it this way, and if the animal shows the opposite characteristic, IDers can explain with equal confidence that the designer made it that way. For that matter, it is fully consistent with ID that the supreme intelligence designed the world to evolve according to Darwin's laws of natural selection. Given this, there is no conceivable experiment that can prove ID false.

It is sometimes complained that IDers resemble the Marxist historians who always found a way to modify and reframe their theory so it evades any possible falsification, never offering an experimental procedure by which ID could in principle be falsified. To my mind, this complaint is warranted indeed. But the primary problem is not with the intellectual honesty of IDers, but with the nature of their theory. The theory simply cannot be fashioned to make any potentially falsified predictions, and therefore cannot earn entry into the game of science.

None of this suggests that ID is in fact false. For all I've said, it may well be pure truth. But if it is, it wouldn't be scientific truth, because it isn't scientific at all. As such, we shouldn't allow it into our science classrooms. At least that's what the Constitution says.

The writer teaches philosophy at the University of Arizona.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: crevolist; evilution; evolution; goddoodit; id; idiocy; ignoranceisstrength; monkeygod; popper; science; theory
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To: Thatcherite
Why do we never find any ancient chimps or humans? Just these skulls that look a bit different from either...

Because there were no modern chimps or modern humans until the last million or so years. Nor are there woolly mammoths or saber-toothed cats today. Modern life forms evolved from earlier life forms.

321 posted on 11/10/2005 4:49:22 PM PST by Lurking Libertarian (Non sub homine, sed sub Deo et lege)
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To: P-Marlowe

I have a problem with those who profess to be Christians, yet they publicly profess to disbelieve the Word of God and call God a liar.

Still waiting on your comments on Exodus 21.

322 posted on 11/10/2005 4:49:49 PM PST by ml1954 (NOT the disruptive troll seen frequently on CREVO threads)
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To: ml1954
Is Exodus Chapter 21 God's honest truth?

Why wouldn't it be?

Jesus put his stamp of approval on the Law, did he not?

Think not that I am come to destroy the law, or the prophets: I am not come to destroy, but to fulfill. For verily I say unto you, Till heaven and earth pass, one jot or one tittle shall in no wise pass from the law, till all be fulfilled. (Matthew 5:17-18 KJV)

323 posted on 11/10/2005 4:50:17 PM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: Gumlegs; Doc Savage

Who is DS? Who is any of us? Still, it's running about 30 to one, but I'm not going back thru all the posts.


324 posted on 11/10/2005 4:52:13 PM PST by zeeba neighba (no crocs!)
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To: All; SalukiLawyer; oblomov

This link re: Fossils supports Intelligent Design

http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/filesDB-download.php?id=119


325 posted on 11/10/2005 4:52:21 PM PST by Sun (Hillary Clinton is pro-ILLEGAL immigration. Don't let her fool you. She has a D- /F immigr. rating.)
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To: zeeba neighba
Well, one would think that, if God is the only thing keeping people good, the prisons would be full of atheists. However, it appears that only 0.209 percent of that population is atheist, while 74 percent are Christians of one stripe or another.

Go figure.

326 posted on 11/10/2005 4:52:54 PM PST by Junior (From now on, I'll stick to science, and leave the hunting alien mutants to the experts!)
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To: P-Marlowe

Why wouldn't it be?

So you believe this is the word of God?

Exodus 21:20-21: "If a man beats his male or female slave with a rod and the slave dies as a direct result, he must be punished, but he is not to be punished if the slave gets up after a day or two, since the slave is his property"

327 posted on 11/10/2005 4:53:18 PM PST by ml1954 (NOT the disruptive troll seen frequently on CREVO threads)
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To: Lurking Libertarian

They found one on a dump just the other day. I think they find the "missing link" several times a year.


328 posted on 11/10/2005 4:53:25 PM PST by zeeba neighba (no crocs!)
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To: zeeba neighba

My point was the nature of Doc Savage's post.


329 posted on 11/10/2005 4:55:18 PM PST by Gumlegs
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To: JohnnyM

"once again, this whole conversation has been in regard to Ichy's post on classifying hominid skulls and obviously there is difficulty in doing so, or there would be no issue. We are not talking about modern chimps and humans."

Well if those aren't modern human skulls in Ichy's post, then they must have evolved into modern humans, huh?

"To somehow say those skulls were ape,human, or somewhere in between is probably not possible given only the skull and no supporting skeleton or other info."

Argument from personal incredulity. Your personal rejection of the knowledge and expertise of others who can, in fact, make such determinations is not in of itself an argument that discredits that knowledge.


330 posted on 11/10/2005 4:56:17 PM PST by Sofa King (A wise man uses compromise as an alternative to defeat. A fool uses it as an alternative to victory.)
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To: Junior

I'm sure those 90+ of those "Christians" take drugs, have no respect for the law, God's or the State's, have tattoos and other mangled barbarian features, and care mostly about themselves. They are pagans.


331 posted on 11/10/2005 4:56:36 PM PST by zeeba neighba (no crocs!)
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To: Sun
This link re: Fossils supports Intelligent Design

Does they?

332 posted on 11/10/2005 4:56:52 PM PST by Gumlegs
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To: P-Marlowe
Obviously you are not a believer ...

Not obviously. I chat with the Almighty daily. I would be an atheist except for the fact that He chats back (yes, I know I'm probably as loony as they come, but I'm pretty much harmless). I'm far too much of a rationalist, though, to just accept anything without investigation, which is why I no longer accept the Bible as inerrant. If God had any hand in its creation, its long been overwritten by later editors and redactors.

333 posted on 11/10/2005 4:58:04 PM PST by Junior (From now on, I'll stick to science, and leave the hunting alien mutants to the experts!)
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To: Junior

Fascinating. What did He say today?


334 posted on 11/10/2005 4:59:00 PM PST by zeeba neighba (no crocs!)
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To: zeeba neighba
Welcome aboard.

Wolf
335 posted on 11/10/2005 5:00:13 PM PST by RunningWolf (tag line limbo)
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To: ml1954; Junior; MindBender26; blue-duncan; xzins
So you believe this is the word of God?

You don't?

From Albert Barnes commentary:

Exo 21:20-21 - The Jewish authorities appear to be right in referring this law, like those in Exo_21:26-27, Exo_21:32, to foreign slaves (see Lev_25:44-46). The protection here afforded to the life of a slave may seem to us but a slight one; but it is the very earliest trace of such protection in legislation, and it stands in strong and favorable contrast with the old laws of Greece, Rome, and other nations. If the slave survived the castigation a day or two, the master did not become amenable to the law, because the loss of the slave was accounted, under the circumstances, as a punishment.

Are you a Christian?

Or should I say, do you claim to be a Christian?

336 posted on 11/10/2005 5:00:51 PM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: RunningWolf

Thanks, however I done fell off the turnip wagon.


337 posted on 11/10/2005 5:00:57 PM PST by zeeba neighba (no crocs!)
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To: P-Marlowe

It's a sad fact, we know from Josephus for one, that Jews kept slaves. However, Christians in the US and Britain ended it the best they could, and can, in modern times.


338 posted on 11/10/2005 5:03:48 PM PST by zeeba neighba (no crocs!)
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To: P-Marlowe

From Albert Barnes commentary:

You are dodging. I'm not interested in commentary. Is this the word of God?

Exodus 21:20-21: "If a man beats his male or female slave with a rod and the slave dies as a direct result, he must be punished, but he is not to be punished if the slave gets up after a day or two, since the slave is his property"

339 posted on 11/10/2005 5:04:09 PM PST by ml1954 (NOT the disruptive troll seen frequently on CREVO threads)
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To: Gumlegs

"Does they?"

Yep.


340 posted on 11/10/2005 5:04:21 PM PST by Sun (Hillary Clinton is pro-ILLEGAL immigration. Don't let her fool you. She has a D- /F immigr. rating.)
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