VA: Kaine 49% Kilgore 46%

November 4, 2005--Heading into the final weekend of Election 2005, Democrat Tim Kaine has a narrow lead over Republican Jerry Kilgore in the race to be Virginia's next Governor.

The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll shows Kaine with 49% of the vote while Kilgore attracts 46%. This is the first time all year that either candidate has reached 49% in a Rasmussen Reports poll.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted November 2. The survey's margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence. Demographic Details are available for Premium Members.

State Senator Russell Potts, a Republican running as an independent, currently earns just 2% of the statewide vote.

Last week, Kaine was ahead by just two percentage points, 46% to 44%. The candidates have been within three points of each other in six consecutive polls conducted since Labor Day.

This is the fourth straight 2005 Virginia election poll with "leaners" included in the totals. Leaners are those who initially do not express a preference for either major party candidate but lean one way or the other when asked a follow-up question.

Without leaners, Tim Kaine has a one-point edge, 46% to 45%, over Jerry Kilgore.
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[From the article]:

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

His State Polling wasn't that accurate IMHO -- at least not where I live. A lot of Republicans do not answer their phones because of caller ID including me.

There is only one poll that counts and that it at the polling booth. All of you who live by the polls would have freaked if you lived in OK in 2004 when they had Dr. Tom down by over 10 points right before the election and he clobbered his opponent.

Ignore polls and go vote! Until they figure out a way to get around caller ID, polling will be worse and worse and we don't even know the weighted factor of this poll.

There should be a warning label for polls -- believe them at your own risk IMHO!

"Read my lips folks... the GOP is screwed next year."?????
NOT A CHANCE. READ ON.

The ratmedia cheerleaders for the failing Whigs don't like to talk about these things, but here's a few
of the insurmountable problems they face, as they "retake power".

The end of big labor ATM access means no more union thug troops, no more union money extorted from members.

The loss of voter fraud through HAVA. PhotoIDs = Whig defeats.

The loss of Louisiana after the investigation. Won't go away. Won't be good for Louisiana Whigs. The local evil donkeys will register the refugee rats all over. You don't think for a minute they will let them vote absentee in NOLA do you? And HAVA won't let them vote twice.

The loss of Iraq as an issue. Things getting better by the month. What's good for America here, is automatically bad for the Whig Party.

The loss of plantation escapees jumping the fence. Blacks starting to listen to GOP and liking what they hear.

The loss of control of the Court. No more force feeding liberalism to America.

The lack of any message. An empty message " I'm not Bush." doesn't work.

Spokesmen and women like Dean, Moore, Sheehan etc chase voters away.

Gay "marriage" support. Oh for eleven last cycle with no upturn in sight.

Anti 2nd amendment positions. Gave us West Virginia, helped us keep Arkansas and Tennessee.

Shallow bench: Paul Hackett for instance. Demoralized Whigs state organizations means fewer new faces.

Continued defections.The ratio of Whig to GOP conversions in the last 10 years must be 10 to 1. This is one of the few areas that they consistently beat us in. :-)

Adoration of Partial Birth Abortion. Most Whigs that you see and hear about are devoted to PBA, something that chases decent people away.

For the 6th time in the last eight months, a national poll has reported that Hillary Clinton is too liberal to be president. The numbers in these surveys DON'T BUDGE. She has been judged too liberal by 38, 39,39,40, 41 and now 45% of respondents

There is a term in Chess that fits the evil donkey's position very well.
Zugzwang: “Compulsion to move.” A German term referring to a situation in which a player would like to do nothing (pass), since any move will damage his game.

The Whigs KNOW they can't do nothing/say nothing as issues come up, so they are compelled to comment. But the reality is that there aren't any issues they can say anything on and not be wrong either with their insane base or with real Americans.

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