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75% Chance Miers Nomination is Withdrawn (John Fund says on John Batchelor Program)
John Batchelor Program - WABC Radio ^

Posted on 10/14/2005 7:23:47 AM PDT by new yorker 77

I was listening to the John Batchelor Program on WABC Radio in New York last night.

He commented on the process that went into nominating Miers and added that the likelyhood of her nomination withdrawn has grown.

It has grown from 5% last week, to 30% end of last week, to 50% beginning of this week, to 75% last night.

Fund was on the program to comment on his op-ed piece:

How She Slipped Through Harriet Miers's nomination resulted from a failed vetting process.

Thursday, October 13, 2005 12:01 a.m. EDT Link: http://www.opinionjournal.com/diary/


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: johnbatchelor; johnfund; miers; scotus; supremecourt; talkradio; woodyallen
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To: moose2004
Wasn't Anthony Kennedy Reagan's third nominee for one seat? Honestly I don't remember (I know he was at least the second nominee for that seat), either way it didn't weaken Reagan.

Of course it didn't! And even after the Bork fiasco, the GOP lost just one seat in the Senate in '88 (they had already lost the Senate in '86 for reasons that had nothing to do with SCOTUS), and got Bush 41 elected POTUS.

41 posted on 10/14/2005 7:41:48 AM PDT by Map Kernow ("I hold it that a little rebellion now and then is a good thing" ---Thomas Jefferson)
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To: lexington minuteman 1775

What a mess.


42 posted on 10/14/2005 7:41:50 AM PDT by johnny7 (“Nah, I ain’t Jewish, I just don’t dig on swine, that’s all.”)
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To: samtheman
I'd love to take John Fund's 3 to 1 odds that Miers will withdraw. I'd put $1,000 on that right now. Think he'll risk $3,000 on the President caving in?

Note to the police out there: my offer to gamble is rhetorical. I know that I'm not allowed to gamble on politics in this state -- gambling is evil and only the State of Ohio can run such a morally reprehensible business /sarcasm off

43 posted on 10/14/2005 7:42:48 AM PDT by You Dirty Rats (Lashed to the USS George W. Bush: "Damn the Torpedos, Full Miers Ahead!!")
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To: Miss Marple
The base are the grass-roots GOP (note that phrase...GOP) and pretty much support the President's choice.

You have support for this contention anywhere?

44 posted on 10/14/2005 7:43:36 AM PDT by inquest (FTAA delenda est)
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To: ReaganRevolution
Even if she's withdraws, don't expect any of the names that have been floated the past 10 days or so to be the next one nominated.

Why not? You want "Brownie" in the SC next? Bush is acting like a King not a President and this "royal" pick is offensive... The SC is not where "loyalty" to a friend is rewarded. It's a place where "loyalty" to the constitution is rewarded.

Bush is ticking off a lot of good people...

45 posted on 10/14/2005 7:44:50 AM PDT by GOPJ (The enemy is never tired, never sated, never content with yesterday's brutality. -- President Bush)
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To: All

Mission accomplished? Do you think you've destroyed her enough yet or do you want to continue? We on the right are always appalled at the left for their destructive and unfair smear campaigns, but it's pretty obvious to all now that some of you have learned plenty from their tactics.


46 posted on 10/14/2005 7:45:06 AM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: F.J. Mitchell
Nothing in the US Constitution authorizes either polls or protests to deny an appointee the opportunity to be heard before the Judicial Committee, nor before the entire Senate for that matter.

Nothing in the Constitution forbids it either.

47 posted on 10/14/2005 7:45:24 AM PDT by inquest (FTAA delenda est)
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To: LS
I'm still betting Fund is flat wrong on this

How can it be proved "flat wrong" by just the outcome?

If I say there is a 50% chance that heads comes up in a coin toss, or a 1 in 6 chance a "4" comes up on the roll of a single die; would "tails" or rolling a "1" make my probability assement incorrect?

48 posted on 10/14/2005 7:46:43 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: inquest
You have support for this contention anywhere?

The contention is a truism by definition. GOP = base; base = GOP. It's a definition thing.

49 posted on 10/14/2005 7:48:04 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: BonnieJ
but it's pretty obvious to all now that some of you have learned plenty from their tactics.

Uh, no, that would be you. Conservatives state facts and formulate arguments. Liberals just throw hissy fits when conservatives do this.

50 posted on 10/14/2005 7:49:25 AM PDT by inquest (FTAA delenda est)
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To: GOPJ
Clearly written in the US Constitution:

The President must choose the Supreme Court nominee from the list provided by "some" in his party, specially if this "some" is made up of a lot of political pundits.

President Bush is breaking the law by not following the Constitution and therefore we shall call for his impeachment.

End of extreme sarcasm.

51 posted on 10/14/2005 7:52:42 AM PDT by jveritas (The Axis of Defeatism: Left wing liberals, Buchananites, and third party voters.)
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To: lexington minuteman 1775
If her name is pulled they will simply go after the new nominee.

Hey, why do you think they call themselves neo-cons?

'Cause they're the new contrarians, see, standing athwart history yelling "when Bush proposes, I opposes!"

Then they laugh maniacally.

(Have you been following this at all?)

52 posted on 10/14/2005 7:54:45 AM PDT by alcuin (Withdraw her. SERIOUSLY!!!)
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To: goldstategop

BTTT


53 posted on 10/14/2005 7:56:45 AM PDT by wardaddy (Save a cow......eat a vegetarian.)
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To: new yorker 77
How She Slipped Through Harriet Miers's nomination resulted from a failed vetting process

The Miers nomination may be have benn the result of many things but that wasn't one of them.

Bush got who he wanted --- believe it.

If Miers goes down I hope it is after her hearing, a hearing is the one thing the RATS and the Uber-Cons do not want.

54 posted on 10/14/2005 7:57:20 AM PDT by Mike Darancette (Mesocons for Rice '08)
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To: new yorker 77
Someone should tell Fund the President isn't running again. Unfortunately, the RINO Senators or will. Memories last a long time on basic issues.
55 posted on 10/14/2005 7:57:52 AM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: inquest

Amen.


56 posted on 10/14/2005 7:58:02 AM PDT by wardaddy (Save a cow......eat a vegetarian.)
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To: new yorker 77
I will watch the nomination hearings with interest.

Were I a senator at the hearings, I would ask:

Are you a strict constructionist?

If HM says no, I would thank her and vote no.

If HM says yes, I would thank her and ask her for her public writings on the topic. If she has none, then I would vote no.

OK, I am not a senator on the committee. But the questions should be asked. There's no good answers that HM can give that I can see from here.

The only possible way out is for the senators not to ask her hard questions if they want her confirmed.

Is that the way to run a nominating committee? Avoid asking hard questions? HM might be good, but she should see the obvious and do the right thing now. The nominating committee may give her a pass, but the grassroots won't. They're the ones who "get out the vote." We're headed towards Hillary! 2008 if HM is not withdrawn.

57 posted on 10/14/2005 7:58:49 AM PDT by SteveH (First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you. Then they fight you. Then you win.)
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To: Map Kernow
All but two Senate Judiciary Republicans have agreed to hearings...odds are not looking favorable for a withdrawal.

I don't know where this Fund is getting his info but you can go right to the Senator's websites and see their glowing recommendations of Miers.

58 posted on 10/14/2005 7:58:51 AM PDT by Earthdweller (Republicans should give Miers a fair vote.)
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To: lexington minuteman 1775
If her name is pulled they will simply go after the new nominee.

You won't even give people a chance to know who the next nominee is? You mean having opposed a choice that a veritable chorus of conservative politicians, staffers, columnists and grassroots have decried as idiotic deprives people of any right to examine critically any subsequent nominee?

59 posted on 10/14/2005 7:59:08 AM PDT by Map Kernow ("I hold it that a little rebellion now and then is a good thing" ---Thomas Jefferson)
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To: GOPJ

He's not acting like a "King" he is entitled to choose whoever he wants and the senate can either accept or reject it.

If she withdraws, a new name will be put forward and it won't be from the approved list of the National Review "corner".


60 posted on 10/14/2005 7:59:24 AM PDT by ReaganRevolution
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