Posted on 10/09/2005 3:28:25 PM PDT by Pukin Dog
I decided to end my self-imposed exile from posting due to information that I received this past weekend from a little birdie in Washington, which I subsequently had confirmed by another insider if you can call him that.
You know I wont tell, so dont bother asking me for names, links, or further information. I trust these individuals, and have received accurate information from them before and shared it here on Free Republic. Of course, all are free to either accept or reject what I am about to share, but if you know anything about the Dog, I dont change my mind often, and my only goal is to pass on information that can help support the Conservative agenda.
Issue 1.
Information was shared with me on Saturday, which described in no uncertain terms that Harriet Miers stands as the only nominee on Bushs list which has any chance of confirmation by the Senate Judiciary Committee. The reasons for this are numerous, and would be embarrassing to the Conservative movement should one or many of the stars who we hoped Bush would select be shot down in Committee, which again, if true, would be a certainty.
More than one of the persons we might have wanted made it clear to the President that they would not accept his nomination if selected. You can draw your own conclusions as to why, but the only hint I will provide is that data mining works too damn well these days. What we saw back when Clarence Thomas was nominated would seem like a walk in the park, compared to what would be done to some of our most popular jurists.
Our Democrat opponents have been quite busy, especially after John Roberts embarrassed them, searching for any information that would allow an open personal attack on a nominee. Sadly, many of the folks we wanted badly would have had their lives destroyed had they attempted confirmation to the bench, and wisely declined. There is no one among us who has not done (or had a family member do) things that we either regret, or would rather keep to ourselves. Because none of us are perfect, it is possible that had one of our choices been selected, we might have lived to regret that day for a very long time.
Issue 2.
Arlen Specter is in my opinion, a traitor to the Conservative movement. He has made it clear to the White House that he is determined to protect his legacy, by NOT supporting any name among those who might make it possible to overturn Rowe V. Wade. What that means, is that had Bush put up someone who might make us proud, Specter reneged on a PROMISE to support Bushs judicial nominees in return for his, (and especially Rick Santorums) support for his re-election. This promise was made when there was strong consideration for removing Specters pending chairmanship in favor of John Coryn, or an extension to the term of Orrin Hatch.
The removal of Specter from the Chairmanship would have been disastrous, because he would have remained a committee member, and would have sided with Democrats against the Presidents selections out of spite. So, why not simply remove Specter from the committee? That would have been really bad PR, considering Specters health issues at the time these decisions were being made.
One could argue that it might have been best to send up nominee after nominee, even if eventually defeated, but remember that OConner is only around hoping for a quick confirmation so that she can be with her ill husband. Bush was under the gun to come up with a confirmable candidate, or risk a Supreme Court not running at full strength as important rulings came under review.
I am told that Arlen Specter has gone back on every single promise he made when his chairmanship was still a question, and feels untouchable now that he is ill, because any punitive measures taken against him would be seen as less than compassionate by the MSM and Democrats, who admittedly would have a field day, were Specter punished for his duplicity. The sad thing is that after Scottish Law or even the Magic Bullet theory that some think that anything that Arlen Specter says can be trusted. Sure, he supported Clarence Thomas, but does anyone believe that Specter would still be a Senator if he had not?
Issue 3.
Lets face it; our Republican Senate is an embarrassment. From the weakness of Frist, to the petulance of the dude who thinks he is leader McCain, down to his McCainiac compadre Lindsey (tinker-bell) Graham, to the nut from Mississippi who thinks he can actually get his leadership position back by actively rebelling against the President, we aint looking to good at all.
Our Republican Senate has as members at least 7 Democrats who could have never gotten elected as Democrats, who nonetheless support the Democrat agenda whenever they can get away with it, which unfortunately due to the weakness of Frist, is all too often. I find myself wishing Tom Delay would run for the Senate against Hutchinson, just so we can have someone in the Senate not afraid to break some heads to get things done. Why cant we have a Republican Lyndon Johnson when we need one?
Because our Republican Senate is so weak, President Bush cannot rely on them for much. He could not have gotten majority support in this current Senate for any judicial nominee that would have made us proud. The usual suspects have made it clear to the President that any nominee who would have put their re-election prospects at risk would vote against that nominee. The bottom line, is that the Republican Senate is made up of too many who want the job, but not the work. The only job they see before them is that of getting re-elected to another six year term.
Luttig, McConnell, JRB, Owen, Alito, or anyone else you want to name, would have been defeated, and probably defeated in committee, in order to save other Senators from having to vote them down on the floor. Of this, I am now convinced. Only two names were considered allowable for Senate confirmation; Miers and Gonzales. When Bush met with Senators, he was reportedly told that these two names were the only ones that stood a chance to be confirmed, but Gonzales would face pointed questions about Abu Gharab, Gitmo, and the administrations policy on torture. It would have been ugly, but he would have been confirmed against the added damage done by dejected a dejected conservative base, and liberal attacks on the Presidents agenda. There would have also had to be a new search for an Attorney General, which would have been just as ugly.
Had Bush put up selections that would have been defeated, the chorus of Lame Duck chanting coming out of Washington would have drowned out the Presidents agenda. A defeat in the Senate would have also signaled to Congress that they were on their own, and no longer had to back up, support, or even listen to President Bush. They would have been free to play the political-calculation game that the Democrats have been playing for 6 years; avoiding tough votes that would be used against them in a future campaign.
So, whats the bottom line?
The bottom line is that Bush did his best to give us what we want, in a way that will not hurt the prospects of the Conservative agenda. The primary thing that must be considered, is that the Congress can NEVER be put back in Democrat hands, for that would destroy all progress made up to now. Our day will come, but this aint it. If we had a Republican Senate made up of real patriots without the odd liberal in Republican clothing, things would be a lot better.
In Miers, Bush has clearly taken what he can get, and our best hope now is for another vacancy on the court before this administrations term is up. The current makeup of the Congress will just not allow our agenda to be passed at this time without major sacrifices and pragmatic thinking to overcome the inherit weakness of having traitors in our midst.
It appears to me that Harriet Miers is the best CONFIRMABLE candidate for the Supreme Court at this time. This fact is not the fault of the President. Indeed it is OUR fault. It is us who have supported less than the best candidates for the Senate. We are responsible for Chaffee, Snowe, McCain, Graham, Lott, Frist and other persons of questionable courage. We should not be blaming Bush for our own votes. We selected the people that the President must rely upon to move his agenda forward. If they are losers, then he loses too.
Though they literally suck, we are stuck with these people because we must keep the majority to keep our agenda alive. There have been worse moments for us, but none would be worse than than the day we lose the Senate our House majorities. I now believe that although Bush disapointed many of us, that he did the very best he could do without destroying our momentum.
Yes, like Rush Limbaugh said, it was a choice made from weakness.
But the thing to remember, is that it was not Bushs weakness, but our own, and that of the people we have elected to Congress that made this happen. Had they been strong, Bush could have selected anyone we wanted.
Because of what I now know about how and why Harriet Miers was selected, I withdraw my earlier statements against her, my statements suggesting anything less than my strong support of the President, and finally, my self imposed exile from Free Republic.
Pukin Dog is back, so deal with it.
Too bad you don't do a whole lot more of it...
What I said, is that he would send them to the floor. He will honor that, even if without his vote.
..I was tired of folks accusing PD of imagining this and I was trying to get their attention.
If you care to read forward, I do give more info.
I like it. Thanks for the insight. I think we need to not let the MSM divide us. We need to give the Pres. some room to maneuver. He's under enormous pressure, and we all cannot afford to lose sight of the value of incremental gains.
p.
The anger here is definitely righteous. Lesser men than Bush would be in a rubber room but as things are looking he may be a true Neocon with socially progressive tendencies. Bottom line this White House has done a poor job communicating with his country and his base. Gillespie did not help and Bush's pathetic Press Secretary is the more suitable mascot for this administration. Limbaugh and alt media have carried too much water already.
Would you extend me the courtesy of copying and pasting the post to me as to what you think Hume said, exactly? I have asked you twice, and this is the third time.
You are correct about the political environment in the senate. Snowe, Collins, Chaffee, Specter, Voinovitch, Warner and others are liberals. McCain, Lott and Hagel are trouble makers. Your above comment about who is responsible for this mess is right on target. It's the voters who elect these RINO's and Democrats in the senate who are responsible.
So-called conservative commentators like Goerge Will, Robert Bork, Ann Coulter and Mark Levin can easily forget about that factor when complaining about why we didn't get the Utopian pick. I'll give credit to both Thomas Sowell and Rush Limbaugh and a few others who have mentioned the political environment the president faces when he makes his nominations.
All of that said, what you didn't mention is that it will still come down to the hearings and what Miers says. Either she'll show to be a strict constructionist -- an originalist -- or she won't.
If she is a strict constructionist, then we have won and we would not have settled. If she is not, then we have lost, and lost badly.
And BTW, a comment for conservative commentators like Will, Levin, Coulter and Bork: It is the laws of this country that are complicated -- it is the principles of the Constitution that are easy. Not being from a clicky Ivy League school or some Northeast think-tank is not a demerit. It's a positive. And grass root conservatives can easily come to that conclusion minus the elitist conservative talking-heads who risk becoming -- like the elitist Democrat talking heads we have long despised -- OUT OF TOUCH!
You've made two snotty posts on this thread. I don't see anything "jovial" about you, but I guess "cad" works.
Maybe you're right. With all the RINOs in the senate, Mieers might be the best possible.
maybe Dog ISS Hume. ever see them in the same room??
We just need to trust that he has thought through all the possibilities and that he can't explain everything to us. We have to read between the lines and have a bit of faith. I certainly do.
Cry me a river...
LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
See post #229....if that doesn't satisfy you, find the transcript somewhere.
The point is Ginsberg made pot a precedent for rejection. Maybe it would be cool and hip in your view to to try to undo that precedent (for those who presumably need it undone), and even try to finesse it by saying people who were in the military can be "excused" for not having been potheads in their youth, but if there is a pot history in the FR rockstar judges, and Bush knew it, he can't nominate them. It would be a silly thing to do. It would be needless ammo to give to the left.
So on my list . . . way above here now in the thread, item #2 is valid.
and if Stevens should pass away tomorrow - I guess that means we get Gonzales, because your source that is the only other person Specter supports. So I guess the entire SCOTUS judge selection process has been ceded to Specter apparently.
Based on your information, I hope Bush doesn't get to replace any other justices. Better to leave it to the next president, I'll take my chances there.
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