Posted on 09/26/2005 9:01:35 AM PDT by john316
Tropical wave 43 is centered near 14N/72W this morning. The wave is moving to the west-northwest at 12-15 mph. By Thursday, the wave should be moving into the northwest Caribbean Sea. Development chances go up significantly by then, as high pressure to the north across the eastern U.S. blocks any northward movement and pushes the wave west-northwestward and into the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Saturday. Once in the Gulf of Mexico, there would be a very good chance that this wave could develop into a tropical storm or a hurricane.
It's way too early to predict a landfall location with any amount of confidence, but early indications are that the area most at risk would be from northern Mexico to central Louisiana. The earliest possible impact on deepwater drilling areas off the mid Louisiana coast would be late Saturday afternoon or Saturday evening as some squalls could be reaching those areas by then. We estimate that the chances for tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico by Friday/Saturday are in the 50-60 percent range.
They could make up names that begin with those letters.
susie
*sigh*
I'm curious as to the source of this 50-60% estimate of the TD turning into a TS or hurricane.
Do you know if Galveston has full power back yet?
I am not going to worry about it...
NautiNurse is away for a while and Howlin is busy with Rita ;)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1490587/posts
I'm not disputing it, but source please for the most at risk area?
Do you know if Galveston has full power back yet?
Don't know, at work today.
Not. Even. Funny.
I'm not disputing it, but source please for the most at risk area?
Check the nhc sometime Wed.
Maybe the people naming storms aren't as creative as we are.
Yeah. XRP would be a great name to use... ;)
susie
Do you have any info on how Port Bolivar came through hurricane Rita? Particularly the side over by the old fort and the north jetty? I have lots of fond childhood memories from there. I've been concerned about them, Crystal Beach, and High Island.
Can't have a storm for a few more days, I'm still on vacation.
Well, that's a future source!
As a resident of Miami, I've been checking it regularly, and have left up my shutters until I see what that wave is up to.
I didn't know who was doing the surmising here RE the possible landfall risk, but I do acknowledge that weather does get into a rut at times, and repeat its behavior for awhile. I'm hoping if comes into this neighborhood, it will be as an undeveloped storm, like the last 2.
I also note that the high pressure systems that kept Katrina and Rita south and pushed them into the Gulf are very similar to the patterns that pushed Andrew into Dade County, after which it too went into the Gulf, striking LA.
Being a Floridian, I feel exactly the same way, LOL.
But we actually have had three storms, both Katrina and Rita started out by hitting Florida, and I think Dennis hit the Panhandle.
Yes, we had Dennis The Menace in July after Ivan The Terrible in September..............Still haven't gotten it all cleaned up and many "Blue Roofs" are now ragged and torn dry rotted tatters...........
I read on the Internet that the World Meteorological Organization uses six lists in rotation. The same lists are reused every six years. But they do not use Q,U,X,Y,Z So... just for the sake of doing something while I eat lunch... here are a list of, ahem, "names" that I came up with while browsing the Internet...
Q
Qantas
Quanah
Quaneisha
Quasar
Quasimodo
Queen
Quenby
Quennell
Quentin
Questrel
Quico
Quincy
Quinn
Quixote
Quyen
U
Ualan
Uberto
Udell
Ugo
Ulick
Ulla
Ulyssa
Ulysses
Uma
Umar
Umberto
Uriah
Uriel
Ursula
Uzi
Uziel
X
Xander
Xandra
Xanthe
Xanthus
Xara
Xavia
Xavier
Xena
Xenos
Xerxes
Ximenes
Xylia
Y
Yadia
Yakim
Yakov
Yasmine
Yianni
Yoko
Yolanda
York
Young
Ysabel
Yvain
Yves
Yvette
Yvonne
Z
Zabel
Zach
Zachary
Zain
Zandra
Zareen
Zaria
Zavier
Zed
Zedekiah
Zelda
Zelig
Zelma
Zephyr
Zoe
Zoo-Zoo Petals
Zuza
That reminds me of a line from Armageddon - "I'd like to name her Dottie, after my wife. She's a vicious, life-sucking bitch from which there's no escape."
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