I'm not disputing it, but source please for the most at risk area?
Check the nhc sometime Wed.
Well, that's a future source!
As a resident of Miami, I've been checking it regularly, and have left up my shutters until I see what that wave is up to.
I didn't know who was doing the surmising here RE the possible landfall risk, but I do acknowledge that weather does get into a rut at times, and repeat its behavior for awhile. I'm hoping if comes into this neighborhood, it will be as an undeveloped storm, like the last 2.
I also note that the high pressure systems that kept Katrina and Rita south and pushed them into the Gulf are very similar to the patterns that pushed Andrew into Dade County, after which it too went into the Gulf, striking LA.
Actually, the Storm2K crowd is all over this as Invest 99L, but the models are all over the map and hopefully nothing much will happen until Thursday or so (or maybe even until NautiNurse comes back from vacation).