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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 3:25:57 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Rita continues to threaten the Greater Houston Metropolitan area. The forecast track has shifted slightly to the northeast, increasing the risk to Southwest Louisiana, and a significant portion of the oil and gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Perry is urging all coastal residents between Beaumont and Corpus Christi to evacuate as soon as possible.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: beaumont; galveston; houston; hurricane; lakecharles; matagorda; portarthur; rita; texascity; tropical
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To: MamaB

Those counties are near Port Arthur...right next to LA.


2,721 posted on 09/22/2005 3:48:53 PM PDT by SE Mom
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To: tx_eggman

Glocks are fine, I just like revolvers, my .44 mag with a 2 pound trigger pull is awsome ,personal preferance, what can you hit at a 100 yards with the glock, I can hit a milk jug.


2,722 posted on 09/22/2005 3:50:38 PM PDT by eastforker (Under Cover FReeper going dark(too much 24))
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To: Ingtar
How come the RV I use has two propane tanks and a three burner propane stove? An RV is an enclosed space.

Here are some answers:

Exposure to high levels of propane fuel occurs generally only while filling tanks or from a leak from the tank or fuel delivery system. Propane gas is heavier than air; therefore leakage from a vehicle parked or stored near an unventilated pit or a lower level room is a hazard.

Brief exposures to concentrations of propane up to 10,000 parts propane per million parts of air (ppm) do not cause any symptoms in humans. Exposures to very high concentrations of propane (100,000 ppm) can produce slight dizziness after a few minutes of exposure. At extremely high concentrations (several hundred thousand parts per million), propane acts as an asphyxiant by displacing oxygen. This means one could suffocate if exposed to high enough concentrations of propane because it dilutes the oxygen in the air.

There have only been a very few studies of accidental overexposure to propane; victims reported symptoms of disorientation, excitation, headache and vomiting.

In most Canadian jurisdictions the occupational exposure limit for propane is 1,000 parts per million, averaged over an 8-hour work day or a 40-hour work week. The occupational health and safety authority in each province or territory should be consulted for the latest information on exposure limits for propane.

Propane gas is very flammable and should be considered as a fire hazard.

What are hazards of propane combustion products?

Complete combustion of propane results in the formation of carbon dioxide and water vapour. Carbon monoxide is a by-product of combustion when there is not enough oxygen to burn the propane completely.

Carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide are hazards when propane-powered equipment is used in enclosed, poorly ventilated areas. Symptoms of carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide overexposure include headache, fatigue, dizziness and nausea. Carbon monoxide is a toxic gas that interferes with the ability of the red blood cells to carry oxygen. Exposure to very high concentrations of carbon monoxide (more than 4,000 ppm) can result in coma or death.

Because carbon dioxide is an asphyxiant gas, exposure to extremely high concentrations (above 100,000 ppm) can result in death. Such life-threatening concentrations are very unlikely to occur in most workplace situations. However, symptoms of headache, fatigue and dizziness may show that there is inadequate ventilation in the workplace. The frequency of complaints of these symptoms increases as the carbon dioxide levels increase above 800-1,000 ppm.

Based on this information, I would surmise that the short term use of a propane stove in a typical home situation would be perfectly safe, since you could simply open the door or window to the outside to provide adequate oxygen to support proper combustion of the propane.

Been there and done it quite safely.

G

2,723 posted on 09/22/2005 3:51:23 PM PDT by GRRRRR
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To: Dog Gone

Oh noooooo...

I swear some people are not just stuck- but SUPERglued on stupid.


2,724 posted on 09/22/2005 3:51:54 PM PDT by SE Mom
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To: Zacs Mom
25 hours after leaving Galveston, with one fuel stop and a stop to eat in Lufkin.

Words fail me...

Can't wait to hear about the marvelous evening you have planned for them...tomorrow...after they have a long sleep.

2,725 posted on 09/22/2005 3:52:22 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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Comment #2,726 Removed by Moderator

To: All Blue State
I heard the Matagorda officials say this. I called my friends down there...and they just laughed. Sounded like this was nothing new and just typical...They said 'don't sweat it, they're showing off again.' Who better than the locals to ask.

However, it wouldn't surprise me if those officials realized how stupid people can be? having seen it plenty of times before. Don't you just love those gossipy little towns?

2,727 posted on 09/22/2005 3:52:46 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: MamaB

Well the Texas residents seem to be a lot smarter in that so many of them started leaving early. But Now I a wondering if there leaders are in some ways also incompetent to plan evacuations. I know it must be an awful hard thing to plan for, but the first step should have been to have a tanker trucks full of Gas sitting at various locations along the way before the traffic jams started. You could also drop Gas containers from helicopters near disabled cars if you had too.


2,728 posted on 09/22/2005 3:53:01 PM PDT by Revel
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To: meyer
I know the feeling. That is the way it is near B'ham where I65, I59, and I20 meet. It is always a mess. I think those are the interstates. What is going to happen to all those people in all of those cars, etc? Will they be stuck there when the winds hit?
2,729 posted on 09/22/2005 3:53:07 PM PDT by MamaB (mom to an angel)
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To: kjam22
Everyone has seen tail pipes dripping gasoline at one time or another.

That's condensation, not gasoline. If you have raw gas dripping from your exhaust pipe, get out of the car and run.

2,730 posted on 09/22/2005 3:53:28 PM PDT by meyer (The DNC prefers advancing the party at the expense of human lives.)
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To: raygun; NautiNurse
New Vortex Data Message - eye fix at 5:11 pm CDT - Max flight-level winds 132 knots in the NW quad (replaces the old 133 knots/NW quad that a NOAA plane found just after 2) -

000
URNT12 KNHC 222219
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/22:11:00Z
B. 25 deg 58 min N
  089 deg 39 min W
C. 700 mb 2326 m
D. NA  kt
E. NA  deg     nm
F. 054 deg 124 kt
G. 312 deg 019 nm
H.         913 mb
I.   9 C/ 3065 m
J.  19 C/ 3049 m
K.  15 C/ NA
L. OPEN E
M. CO14/35
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 /  1 nm
P. AF306 WX18A RITA01       OB 11
MAX FL WIND 132 KT NE QUAD 21:24:10 Z
Other significant changes from the last run (eye fix at 4:20 pm CDT, 51 minutes prior) -

- Movement 5 minutes north, 8 minutes west
- Eyewall now open on the east (was open on the southeast)
- Concentric eyewalls now 14 and 35 nm wide (was 16 and 41 nm wide)

2,731 posted on 09/22/2005 3:53:43 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: steveegg

It's 51.948 on my desktop.


2,732 posted on 09/22/2005 3:53:55 PM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: Dog Gone

omg! That's terrible!


2,733 posted on 09/22/2005 3:54:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: burzum

No problem


2,734 posted on 09/22/2005 3:54:45 PM PDT by Wthrman13
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To: Revel

The anchor just said he paid $60 for 5 gallons of gas. He said the man who sold it knew he would get that for it.


2,735 posted on 09/22/2005 3:54:47 PM PDT by MamaB (mom to an angel)
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To: NautiNurse; All

Can anyone tell me, based on the most recent projection for Rita, whether that will help or hurt Texas City? Or what is likely to happen there?

There is an animal sanctuary there (Whiskerville.org) and, for a variety of reasons, they did not evacuate in time. Now with the Houston gridlock, they aren't able to get transportation to/from Texas City. The last posting I saw was that Whiskerville.org says "It is now too late to move these 300 cats 7 dogs, we have looked and talked with many folks, including people who could possibly, send cargo aircraft to Houston, but the Airport roads are grid-locked."



2,736 posted on 09/22/2005 3:55:09 PM PDT by green pastures (God Bless and Protect Dr. Riopelle)
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To: McLynnan

If it's like Austin, it is local panic. My local supermarket was out of bottled water by 4:30 p.m. yesterday.


2,737 posted on 09/22/2005 3:55:12 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Austin TX - and staying put.)
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To: texsean
The only surfing going on down in Galveston are guys surfing on the wake of large cargo ships.

LOL ... You're right about that, texsean. Texas really is a whole nuther world. I miss it.

2,738 posted on 09/22/2005 3:55:18 PM PDT by ArmyBratsMom (Prayers for all my fellow Texans.)
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To: bonfire

LOL...My husband mentioned that we should think about looking for something more gas efficient than my 8 cyl 2001 Jeep Laredo daily driver. I mentioned to him that he might want to think about calling a lawyer...all in good fun...but ditto "Never I tell Ya!!"


2,739 posted on 09/22/2005 3:55:53 PM PDT by all4one (Lt. Gen. Russel Honore: "You are stuck on stupid. I'm not going to answer that question." 9-20-05)
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LOL!! Lou Dobbs just read a letter from a viewer that said he was too far left and needed to be "bitch slapped."


2,740 posted on 09/22/2005 3:57:00 PM PDT by RDTF
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