Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VIII

NOAA - NHC ^ | 29 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Category 4 Hurricane Katrina is approaching landfall in Eastern Louisiana. At 4:00AM EDT the storm's center was about 90 miles south of New Orleans.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Lake Ponchartrain Real Time Water Level

Wind Speed Data

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Cut and Paste:

http://www.wwltv.com/perl/common/video/wmPlayer.pl?title=beloint_khou&props=livenoad

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[numberonepal]

Thanks. I know my folks are safe, and next door grandfather. We've dodged that storm surge for so long, and finally got it. I don't even want to know what it's like at the Ft. Morgan house. Ivan had his way with that one, and we fixed it. But, we'll prolly have to wait a few days to even get on the island.

[Diddle E. Squat]

But of course, it isn't your home or relatives or friends in danger.

Reports of 40,000 homes flooded just in St. Bernard Parish alone, no assessment reports yet from Slidell, little from Gulfport and Biloxi, so that number could easily double. And no idea yet on (God forbid) deaths, but reports of persons calling 911 trapped by floodwaters in their attic. So pardon me if I'm not upset that you missed watching a speech on TV. If you email the White House, I'm sure they'll be glad to provide you a link or copy of the transcript, and it will be reported in online news sites within a few hours. In the meantime, where were anxious relatives and evacuees supposed to get the latest news (often the first reports) from the affected areas if the news channels were off covering a rambling speech?

That's all I'll waste arguing about it on the thread, back to the hurricane info.

[CindyDawg]

A lot of people were probably moved. Many in nursing homes are very ill these days. The aquity gets higher all the time. We need more information. It may have not been anything to do with the storm.

[the Deejay]

Indeed & I'll be glad when the heat moves
out! Getting mighty tired of watering
the plants.

[Moose4]

Looks like the storm weakened enough, and/or shifted enough, that things never got bad enough to breach/top the levees on Lake Ponchartrain. I think that was the key to the whole "doomsday scenario", having the lake emptied out to the south by the failure or topping of the levee(s) there. The graphic I saw on one of the earlier threads yesterday seemed to indicate the absolute worst-case was an eye passing just to the east of NO (closer than Katrina), and having the winds literally push water around the front 180 degrees of the storm from the sea, across the bayous, into Lake Ponchartrain, and then south over the levees into New Orleans.

And while central NO didn't get the "doomsday scenario", right now, there's a lot of places that did. This storm looks like it will eclipse Andrew as costliest US natural disaster ever.

}:-)4

[wolfcreek]

"FOX made it sound like NO would have to be rebuilt on another site"

Sound like a good idea to me, bulldoze it all and bring enough fill to bring it up above sealevel.

[maineman]

If Buckner had'nt made that error at 1st, If Joel Finch wasn't put in during the 7th inning back in 1975.

What I'm saying is 'Next Time' people 'aint leaving.

[teenyelliott]

Where do we get young men like these????

Extraordinary parents like you raise them to be that way.

Good job.

[Quilla]

I have a friend with law enforcement (game warden) in Mobile. He's on my beep-beep (Southern Link telephone). I've tried beeping him to see if he may have a report about Bay Front, but he must have his hands full and hasn't responded. If I hear anything, I'll let you know.

[Jack Black]

Until this graph changes direction I would say it is premature to say that New Orlean's has "dodged the bullet". Water is funny stuff.

If the time is local the info is out of date now, maybe the sensor failed?

[the Deejay]

God didn't build NO below sea level on the Gulf of Mexico.

What were they thinking?

[Diddle E. Squat]

I'm starting to wonder about the accuracy of that report, since it hasn't seemed to be repeated since then. Usually something that dramatic gets wide media play once confirmed. Perhaps we'll have a better idea in a few hours.

Hoping for those winds to subside so the rescue teams can get moving.

[conservativewasp]

After the Galviston hurricane, killed 8,000 in the early 1900's, they raised the entire island 13 feet. Seems to have worked.

[jslade]

That wouldn't have been you with Shep at the French Quarter, would it?

You don't suppose old Shep scored some beads?

[SoothingDave]

"It is NEVER permissable to help yourself to other people's property." ~~Inspector Javert, pursuer of Jean Valjean.

Quoting musicals is not a substitute for a reasoned argument.

SD

[cgk]

I've been trying to find out as well. The main site with all the relevant info on Levee height/district maps/hurricane info/repair, etc is currently down:

www.mvn.usace.army.mil/pao/response/amaps.asp

[SlowBoat407]

So is the Harrigan "Whoooooooaaaaaaahhhh!" going to rank up there with the Howard Dean "Yeeeaaaggghhhh!", forever enshrined in the castle "Aaaarrrgghh!"?

[BlueNgold]

I just wonder what possessed him to wear that pink shirt yesterday...

[Knitting A Conundrum]

I've been watching video from WGNO's streaming feed.

I saw a place by the cemeteries - a railroad overpass that was totally filled with water...must have been 17 ft deep...that means people on Metairie road are flooded bad.

The water at Veteran's Highway and I-10 is about 3 feet below the suspended traffic lights.

Oh my God. And that was filmed three or four hours ago.

I used to live near both of those places. There's a busstop by Oddfellow's rest which must have four or five feet of water there at least.

My friend Christine's house is flooded. Lord, I hope she got out of town in time.

[Types_with_Fist]

You don't suppose old Shep scored some beads?

Even if he didn't, he should consider himself to be VERY lucky...:-)