| This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
| Locked on 08/28/2005 8:10:53 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason: |
Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Those are likely a new crop of people. Buses have periodically picked up folks throughout the day and brought them to the Superdome. The last bus run was at 6 PM CDT.
I think CNN mislabeled that shot. I think it's in Baton Rouge where I-12 and 1-10 split. The traffic is westbound heading across the Miss. River bridge.
We are on our own; don't get me started.
Of course, the reason that we can do it on our own is that our government, as screwed up as it is, is competent enough to handle these types of emergencies without foreign intervention.
You heretic! The brownshirts (greenshirts?) will be breaking down your door any minute now.
"",..pumped alot of tang down in New Orleans""
"Funny... I always thought it was tane. (Octane?)
They'll come back. New Orleans, that is."
For sure - it a great city and a greater people.
PS - You do know that "Rollin on the River" and "Proud Mary" have nothing to do with boats!
Right on schedule. The warning was issued on a doppler indication at 6:51.
Yet another tornado warning now up for Mobile County...
WFUS54 KMOB 290017 TORMOB ALC003-097-290045- /O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0034.050829T0016Z-050829T0040Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 716 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... BALDWIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA * UNTIL 740 PM CDT * AT 710 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 5 MILES EAST OF FORT MORGAN...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 45 MPH. * THE TORNADO PRODUCING STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR... DELCHAMPS BY 725 PM CDT CODEN AND BAYOU LA BATRE BY 730 PM CDT GRAND BAY BY 735 PM CDT IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...ABANDON VEHICLES AND MOBILE HOMES AND SEEK A REINFORCED SHELTER. MOVE TO THE LOWEST FLOOR INTERIOR HALLWAY OR CLOSET. COVER YOUR BODY WITH BLANKETS OR PILLOWS. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3014 8799 3030 8789 3064 8859 3044 8871 $$ JC
I just fulled up $2.49/gal here in South Jersey.
I thought it was "pumped a lot of 'pane". Propane?
Hurricanes go through cycles. At points the eye can no longer support the intensity of the hurricane and a second eye forms. Usually you can see the second eye, or the Cneter clouds over (eyewall collapses) -- but this is not always the case.
Anyway, as the eyewall replacement goes on the Hurricane loses intensity, sometimes a lot sometimes a little. Usually after the replacement the new eye allows for intensification of the storm.
Last night Katrina was at about 145 MPH when she went through an ERC, she emerged on the other side at 135 MPH, and then rapidly intesified to 175 through the night and the morning.
This afternoon it looked as if she had become annular (meaning she had reached a steady state), but over the last 6 hours she has weakened slightly. At first this looked like it might be interaction with a low over Texas or possibly theinflux of dry air as she neared the coast.
However it is now being theorized she may have been undergoing an ERC. If this is the case and she is coming out of the ERC with her intensity only going from 175 to 160, then we could see her start intensifying again over night. If this is the case we are now looking at a doomsday scenario. Her pressure is already stronger than Camille, and that is after a possible ERC.
On the other hand if it is from the influences of the other systems, then we could seeher continue to weaken slightly and come in as a CAT 4.
The next 3-6 hours will tell which is happening.
"Can you explain the significance of an eyewall replacement"
http://www.usatoday.com/weather/resources/askjack/2003-11-15-eyewall-replacement_x.htm
Smart lady! I called my family & friends and told them all to "fill up now." $2.47? Wow. It hasn't been below $2.50 here in months. Are you in TX or NJ? ;)
Your wife secretes hershey kisses? dude.
I heard today that the winds on the western side of the hurricane are the strongest.
I am petrified for these people.
Actually, MSNBC has had wall-to-wall coverage of Katrina all day.
For them to drag out Chrissy on a Sunday night just puts their stamp of approval on it.
Totally agree with ya about letting those people in, if I was waiting there I'd be gettin pretty vocal at this stage.
Yes, 21% is about it.... But remember they had no warning back in those days and the structures were if anything less sturdy. N.O. has some structures that will withstand the wind I think but rising water maybe the bigger problem. jmo.
"If you want to panic, panic about the 9 refineries potentially being lost."
Get a grip. No refineries will be "lost". "
Time to short the petros about lunchtime tomorrow.
Howdy Maq :~D
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
