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Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Through all of this I hadn't even though of Grand Isle. I've just been thinking of the implications regards New Orleans. This storm could Grand Isle out. I haven't been there in years but remember it fondly. I spent much time there when I was young... much younger.
Just heard on the New Orleans station that it is speading up and tracking slightly west which is not good. Don't think the Weather Channel can even get into New Orleans now -- mandatory evacuation and they will arrest people on the street.
The Super Dome was always the only place to go. There are ten centers in NO where people can gather to catch a shuttle to the Dome.
sadly, thanks
We do it all the time in the northeast! The water doesn't begin climing out of the 60s until at least August.
they are saying possible 185 mph now. waiting for data from plane that flew into the eye.
As I understand it, New Orleans sits mostly at or below sea level south of Lake Ponchartrain, between Lake Ponchartrain and the Mississippi River. If the eye comes ashore east of NO, the north-to-south winds will push the lake water over the levees and into New Orleans. The winds will be less, but the flooding may be greater.
I believe the true "nightmare scenario" was a hurricane passing close enough to New Orleans to push water from the sea onto land, then sort of "spin" it over into Lake Ponchartrain, *then* push the extra water into New Orleans. That would require the eye to pass very close to, but just east of, the city. Which might happen...it's too soon to tell.
The other thing to remember is that if the eye passes a little ways east of NO, that means that Biloxi, Pass Christian, Biloxi, Mobile, and other places in Mississippi and Alabama will get the worst of the wind and storm surge. We've all been rightfully worried about the Crescent City, but if the track forecasts are right, the coast in Mississippi and Alabama is going to be scoured clean.
}:-)4
I hope they have life insurance. I have a bad feeling about that dome.
On FOX they keep showing the huge crowd milling about the Superdome.
God help those poor people! You just know some of them are going to be victims of the storm and of the circumstances. Some of them aren't walking too well; some look mentally challenged.
God be with them.
Except for those reporters willing to accept suicide risk, most of them are leaving the NO metro area for safer locations. Even Jim Cantore said he was leaving his MS location for safer ground.
The American Mission Board of the Southern Baptists is a great contact for volunteering. They send out food trucks, chain saw crews, and others to assist. Check out your church associations if not a Baptist.
Red Cross and Salvation Army may be taking volunteers. There will be a need for anyone ready to help, even if you just pour coffee for the professional crews.
May God protect and bless you.
NOpe........now it's just a race between Gilbert and Katrina.
Still watching WWL TV. It is approaching panic status as far as people STILL trying to leave. Several ateries gridlocked.
Wow, swamplands made into roads or paths? Everyone talks about the snakes. What about the gators?????
LOL! I switched to THe Weather Channel, they have the guy on right now that is awfully cute.
But we can run from hurricanes.
I'd be more scared of living in earthquake country.
If the pressure keeps falling...it may be higher.
Cat 5 hurricane and you're worried about football games? I guess they could always play the games further inland if the Superdome is destroyed. But frankly, it's low on my priority list right now and I am a huge NFL fan.
I wouldn't short the market, that's for sure.
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