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Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
however there are times when hurricanes can reach continue higher then normal hurricanes and become Annular.This allows a storm to carry on getting stronger beyond the point where hurricanes would normally begin a EWRC event.All long lasting category-5's are likely to be Annular.Hurricane Isabel also became annular and managed to keep its apperance as one for nearly 24hrs.It lasted about 42hrs as a category-5(the 3rd longest in record)before finally weakening as upper atmopsheric condtions weakened the system.The strongest ever atlantic hurricane in terms of windspeed was the 1935 labor day hurricane,the only hurricane that had 200mph winds suspected with pressure down to 892mbs.To reac hthat strength I highly suspected it also had perfect condtons over it with hot SST's from the Gulf stream nearby and it probably was also Annular considering its pure power and deepness.Annular hurricanes are often called doughnut storms due to a lack of feeder bands and a large circle shape,also the main feature of these storms is the large outflow coming from all quadrants of the storms,showing that each quadrant was similar in terms of strength,another sure sign that Isabel was a Annular storm,here is the image of Isabel when she was Annular,notice those individual vorticies in there as well:
http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goes/pub/goes/030913.isabel.gif
Wow. Thanks for posting that link; that is incredible.
That horn in the French Quarter was playing Amazing Grace.
When you consider Category 4 starts at 131, Category 5 starts at 155, and this is 175, Katrina is in a category all by herself. If she center-punches NOLA, there may not be much left once she passes
"I can't believe that they don't have some plan in place to help the elderly and the stranded tourists get out of town on busses or trains or something! What will happen to those people?"
It seems the airlines threw in the towel rather early. Why couldn't they continue flights until at least early today?
Watching one of the streaming links of NO tv, the roads are looking clear, actually. There are cars, but they have plenty of room to move.
Sun still seems to be shining in NO.
The water supports CAT 5 all the way to landfall, easily. She is moving fast enough that upwelling is not a problem... 200mph would be pretty unthinkable. I wouldn't want to be housed in the super dome for this, I must say.
Al Hirt's ghost
Wind gusts to 207 MPH.
Those guys are dopes.... You never know what economics are involved with gas prices....they might go down due to less use in the affected area.
SO basicically what we have now is this. Katrina just qualified for the pole at Talladega. She passed Dale Jr. on the back stretch and is putting the chrome horn to Jeff Gordon in Turn 3.
Scroll down and you will find the message.
I certainly hope you don't think I am blaming the president in any way for this lack of planning. The president is the one who encouraged the NO mayor to order an evacuation.
Live video streams (copy/paste into WMP or RP):
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Praying for the city of your heart.
Leni
DU cretins are the last thing on my mind today. They matter very little and something like this monster storm with all its implications solidifies that for me.
902 millibars...a measurement of pressure. As the millibars go down, the storm strengthens. Katrina's millibars just went down another 4 points.
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