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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
910mb, according to WWL-TV. About the same as Camille, but Katrina is bigger...
Is this highway a toll highway? I hope they're NOT charging people tolls :(
Pressure down to 910 mb--we are looking at a Cat 5 hurricane with the next update any moment.
Speaking of surf's up, the surfers up here are having a ball. Otherwise, it's turning up a lot of algae, shellfish and crabs on my local beach.
I-10 isn't a toll, but the causeway is....Tolls were lifted yesterday.
thanks all---took a nap and all hell broke loose
I'm sitting here having flashbacks from Agnes in '72. Jeez, I'm smelling flood mud again. This is giving me the willies.
Hurricane Katrina Special Advisory Number 22
Statement as of 7:00 am CDT on August 28, 2005
...Katrina...now a potentially catastrophic category five
hurricane...headed for the northern Gulf Coast...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast
from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida
border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from
east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from
west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana. A Tropical
Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch
means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from Destin Florida
eastward to Indian Pass Florida...and from Intracoastal City
Louisiana westward to Cameron Louisiana.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 7 am CDT...1200z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
near latitude 25.7 north... longitude 87.7 west or about 250 miles
south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Katrina is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph...and a
gradual turn toward the northwest and north-northwest is expected
over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...with higher gusts.
Katrina is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are likely
during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 185 miles.
Data from an Air Force hurricane hunter plane indicate that the
minimum central pressure has fallen to near 908 mb...26.81 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide
levels...locally as high as 25 feet along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of
15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf
Coast and the southeastern United States.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible beginning Sunday evening over
southern portions of Louisiana...Mississippi...and Alabama...and
over the Florida Panhandle.
Repeating the 7 am CDT position...25.7 N... 87.7 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...160 mph. Minimum central pressure... 908 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
10 am CDT.
Forecaster Knabb/Pasch
Oh good... I imagine that churches are going to packed today :(
It always does! ;-)
According to FOX, Katrina is already a cat 5.
You have red tide?
...Katrina...now a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane...headed for the northern Gulf Coast...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from Destin Florida eastward to Indian Pass Florida...and from Intracoastal City Louisiana westward to Cameron Louisiana.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 7 am CDT...1200z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located near latitude 25.7 north... longitude 87.7 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Katrina is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph...and a gradual turn toward the northwest and north-northwest is expected over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...with higher gusts. Katrina is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are likely during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles.
Data from an Air Force hurricane hunter plane indicate that the minimum central pressure has fallen to near 908 mb...26.81 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels...locally as high as 25 feet along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf Coast and the southeastern United States.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible beginning Sunday evening over southern portions of Louisiana...Mississippi...and Alabama...and over the Florida Panhandle.
Repeating the 7 am CDT position...25.7 N... 87.7 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...160 mph. Minimum central pressure... 908 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 10 am CDT.
Forecaster Knabb/Pasch
Again- for comparison sake -Camille was:
WINDS: 190 mph
PRESSURE: 909 Mb./26.84 inches.
STORM - SURGE: 22 - 25 feet above Mean Tide.
TWC is now saying moving @ 12 mph...908mb
I'm in BR and I'm concerned. Imagine how those in NO that can't leave feel. How tragic for those that can't get out. So many shotgun houses and poor people and I hope the dome can handle those winds and water. I'm saddened at the loss of life that will happen. At the never ending ineptness of our public officials. That a city in my state will be wiped off the map. And the Laisser les bons temps rouler (Less lay bohn tohn roo lay):Let the good times roll mentality of those that are staying. Plaquemines Parish spokesman said he has people who have decided to stay on their boats and ride this thing out. The pressure is now lower than Camille was. She was 909, Katrina is 908, and Andrew was 922.
Weather Channel web site says same. 155 mile per hour winds, pressure down to 915mb.
No more like a green algae beach... I think out east on Long Island, they have more issues with red tide. Whatever is going on down there with Katrina is turning up a lot of stuff here. When I went walking on the beach, the police were making people get off the beach. Not that I'd go in, the waves were really rough.
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