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Live Thread - Hurricane Katrina, Part IV (Update: Now a Category 5 )
NOAA - NHC ^ | 27 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:


WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; tropical; weather
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To: IYAAYAS
"We'll survive here, good luck to whoever gets her next........"

Glad to see you back. Thanks for checking in.

461 posted on 08/27/2005 10:47:13 PM PDT by blam
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To: All

696
WTNT62 KNHC 280541
TCUAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1240 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005


...SHORTLY AFTER 1215 AM CDT... 0515Z... AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT REPORTED THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN HURRICANE KATRINA
HAD INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH... CATEGORY FOUR ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. DETAILS WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY IN A
SPECIAL ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED AT APPROXIMATELY 1 AM CDT...0600Z.
THE SPECIAL PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL TAKE THE PLACE OF THE INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED FOR THAT TIME.

FORECASTER KNABB


462 posted on 08/27/2005 10:47:45 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: shanscom
The mayor of NO just said that the Dome is designed to withstand 200 MPH winds and is 19 to 20 ft above sea level.
463 posted on 08/27/2005 10:48:39 PM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult
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To: simon says what

Yep...Hurricane Camille was one baddie...really intense storms like Camille usually are small. Harder on the area that gets hit, but better for the nearby areas, perhaps. Right now, there is some doubt if it can reach level 5, but we will see. Whatever, it's not going to be nice where it comes in.


464 posted on 08/27/2005 10:48:46 PM PDT by Knitting A Conundrum (Act Justly, Love Mercy, and Walk Humbly With God Micah 6:8)
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To: rwfromkansas

Yeah I am pumping 2.56 MBS wireless here. It pretty nice on this 17" wide screen lap top.


465 posted on 08/27/2005 10:48:54 PM PDT by Sprite518
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To: Revel

Well I think I got my figues from the mayor, which means they are probably worthless.


466 posted on 08/27/2005 10:49:28 PM PDT by Torie
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To: nwctwx

Prayers for the Gulf Coast.


467 posted on 08/27/2005 10:49:29 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: Gabz

The bays get pretty hot, but the ocean doesn't, North of Hatteras, where the Gulf Stream leaves the coast;

It's basically thermodynamically impossible to get a Cat 5 actually landfalling N of Hatteras and exceedingly difficult to get a Cat 4, short of drastic climatic change.


468 posted on 08/27/2005 10:49:36 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: All

Is it just me or was this not really on many people's news radar until about a day ago or even today? Maybe I wasn't paying close attention but I had no inkling something this huge was on the way. (Keep in mind I'm in the Northeast so nowhere near the affected area) But, still, this is a huge national story and I really haven't heard much warning about it. Even today, the rest of the media besides the Weather Channel is virtually ignoring it.


469 posted on 08/27/2005 10:49:41 PM PDT by saquin
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To: nwctwx

There's a lot of residents of N.O. that are sound asleep and planning on sleeping in on Saturday.


470 posted on 08/27/2005 10:49:56 PM PDT by spycatcher
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To: rwfromkansas
It allows me to sit in the bed...next to my hun passed out..I have the head set on to listen to the radio over the internet too.. Its pretty cool..
471 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:07 PM PDT by Sprite518
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To: metmom

top winds now 145 MPH - live on TWC now.


472 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:08 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: spycatcher

Part of me thinks it might be good that she is bombing out so much now... they usually don't hold that kind of strength for longer than 24-48 hours. Then again, she probably has more to go... cat5, at least for a time, looks quite likely now.


473 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:11 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Torie

Army Corp maps show a low of 11' on the west side (by the airport), and varying between 18' and 13' along the lake, which would suggest that those numbers take into account subsidence.

Looks like they are ok for a direct surge up to 13', but a track where the winds are from the north on the west side could pile water up against that 11' levee.


474 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:18 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: STARWISE

I have a nosy question... if some of these people are caught without funds, between paydays- whatever the reason.. are there funds to allow them a tank of gas and the price of a motel room down the road? I'm just curious as I've never had the misfortune of facing a natural disaster (Thank God).


475 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:31 PM PDT by Cate
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To: tapatio

I lift them up in prayer with you! May God have mercy on the people in Katrina's path...


476 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:34 PM PDT by dandelion
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; alnick; Amelia; asp1; AntiGuv; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; Blennos; ..

Katrina now Category 4 hurricane. Winds 145 mph, 935 mb

477 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: saquin

There's a certain amount of boredom with hurricane hype for the national networks.


478 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:39 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: All

It's a cat 4.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT2+shtml/280541.shtml


479 posted on 08/27/2005 10:50:44 PM PDT by rdl6989
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To: STARWISE

If I heard correctly, somebody (sorry, didn't catch his name)at WDSU 6 just said a Cat 4 is worse than a Cat 5. How can this be?


480 posted on 08/27/2005 10:51:06 PM PDT by JUMPIN JEHOSPOHAT
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