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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Glad to see you back. Thanks for checking in.
696
WTNT62 KNHC 280541
TCUAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1240 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
...SHORTLY AFTER 1215 AM CDT... 0515Z... AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT REPORTED THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN HURRICANE KATRINA
HAD INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH... CATEGORY FOUR ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. DETAILS WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY IN A
SPECIAL ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED AT APPROXIMATELY 1 AM CDT...0600Z.
THE SPECIAL PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL TAKE THE PLACE OF THE INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED FOR THAT TIME.
FORECASTER KNABB
Yep...Hurricane Camille was one baddie...really intense storms like Camille usually are small. Harder on the area that gets hit, but better for the nearby areas, perhaps. Right now, there is some doubt if it can reach level 5, but we will see. Whatever, it's not going to be nice where it comes in.
Yeah I am pumping 2.56 MBS wireless here. It pretty nice on this 17" wide screen lap top.
Well I think I got my figues from the mayor, which means they are probably worthless.
Prayers for the Gulf Coast.
The bays get pretty hot, but the ocean doesn't, North of Hatteras, where the Gulf Stream leaves the coast;
It's basically thermodynamically impossible to get a Cat 5 actually landfalling N of Hatteras and exceedingly difficult to get a Cat 4, short of drastic climatic change.
Is it just me or was this not really on many people's news radar until about a day ago or even today? Maybe I wasn't paying close attention but I had no inkling something this huge was on the way. (Keep in mind I'm in the Northeast so nowhere near the affected area) But, still, this is a huge national story and I really haven't heard much warning about it. Even today, the rest of the media besides the Weather Channel is virtually ignoring it.
There's a lot of residents of N.O. that are sound asleep and planning on sleeping in on Saturday.
top winds now 145 MPH - live on TWC now.
Part of me thinks it might be good that she is bombing out so much now... they usually don't hold that kind of strength for longer than 24-48 hours. Then again, she probably has more to go... cat5, at least for a time, looks quite likely now.
Army Corp maps show a low of 11' on the west side (by the airport), and varying between 18' and 13' along the lake, which would suggest that those numbers take into account subsidence.
Looks like they are ok for a direct surge up to 13', but a track where the winds are from the north on the west side could pile water up against that 11' levee.
I have a nosy question... if some of these people are caught without funds, between paydays- whatever the reason.. are there funds to allow them a tank of gas and the price of a motel room down the road? I'm just curious as I've never had the misfortune of facing a natural disaster (Thank God).
I lift them up in prayer with you! May God have mercy on the people in Katrina's path...
Katrina now Category 4 hurricane. Winds 145 mph, 935 mb
There's a certain amount of boredom with hurricane hype for the national networks.
If I heard correctly, somebody (sorry, didn't catch his name)at WDSU 6 just said a Cat 4 is worse than a Cat 5. How can this be?
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