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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Here is the earlier post about the animals leaving for higher ground. It was reported on a local radio station:
To: Ellesu
NHC guy on 870 AM radio said animals are leaving the coast. "Flocks of snakes and turtles".
Like what occurred during the last tsunami, animals prove they're smarter than humans when it comes to basic survival "instincts".
1,313 posted on 08/27/2005 9:51:38 PM EDT by SunnySide
Nah... parents have a steel building rated to CAT5 if it gets bad.
Thanks. Just click the number on the map.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Florida.shtml
It's a good thing Kathleen Blanco hasn't watched The Wizard of Oz lately, or she'd probably be going on TV right now urging New Orleanians to take shelter in their basements.
-Dan
That was it--it was 870 kHz. Thank you!
My god, I'm looking at those stats on Camille and I'm thinking that Katrina won't be anywhere that bad and yet katrina will be a very very destructive.
My fear is that if Katrina directly strikes New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain overflows into the city, the damage could reach as high as US$100 billion. And who knows how much damage it will cause to the numerous petroleum facilities along the Louisiana coast.
liability.
How sad that we have come to having to consider litigation before decency. Sadly, people would sue.
Well, the DO have their priorities. And the next Bush Admin make-up-a-scandle hasn't germinated yet.
If I'm interpreting the information on the link you provided correctly, that would suggest an estimated average daily loss of approximately 1 million barrels a day for 10 days that a rapidly diminishing reduction in production thereafter. That is of course if current trajectory patterns are maintained.
A potential loss of 1 million barrels a day out of 84 million but in an already tight market with nervous commodity traders. Expect an unpleasant rise in oil prices with gasoline sure to follow.
As a purely precautionary measure I topped off my car today so I should be good for 3-4 weeks. Might I suggest that others on the forum do the same.
Correct. I was just talking with my b-i-l who is the Pastor of a Parish in Gulfport. He's not leaving town. He said before the winds get too high, he's going next door to one of the brick two story buildings. They're talking a 14 foot storm surge, but his place is behind the RR tracks and almost 20' above the water, so he should be fine. It might get kinda exciting for him, though!
Yeah, it's really frosting the 3000+ FReepers who were there today as a counter protest. Very little of the FR coverage, mostly about Cindy.
Prayers for all and get the heck out of there fast.
ok--keeping you and your family on the prayer list.
Please take a minute to come to this thread & vote...then ping your friends:
POLL on Crawford....Which side do you support......
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1472144/posts?page=32#32
But this time, electing incompetents to the mayor's office and the governor's chair means that people are going to die.
It happens sooner or later. It happened in the city of Atlanta when the incompetence and venality of the sheriff's office resulted in four dead.
The butcher's bill for stupidity has just been presented to the people of New Orleans. And it's going to mean a lot more than just four dead. And that really, really bites.
Prayers for all involved.
If New Orleans goes glub-glub I GUARANTEE you it will be Bush's fault.
-Dan
The winds are the indirect problem for New Orleans, in a way. The track has her moving from south to north east of the city. This is almost the worst case.
Storm surge and wind preceding the storm force more water into Lake Ponchatrain, north of the city. Most of the wind will come from the southeast and east at first. This will drive huge amounts of water into the lake. Then the wind shifts to come out of the north. This drives the water toward the low levee on the lake side. This levee also has gaps in it. With New Orleans being a bowl, it starts to fill.
This water could have sewage, chemical contamination, all sorts of things in it. It could be a nightmare, or it could be another lucky miss.
Gee, I wonder what the oil markets will do on Monday?
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