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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Mississippi has reversed the "southbound" lanes of the 55 and 59. But no word about Louisiana.
Do they think they can survive 10 weeks in a high rise building?"
no electricity .. no AC, no elevator, probably windows that don't open .. not a good scenario.
bottom line on "emergency shelters" .....
it makes it easyer to find the bodies , keeps them in one place.
clean up can be a bitch .....
Good to see you Dog. I just got up myself to see things have gotten even worse. Looks like you were quite right about it. It'll be compounded by these nitwits running the state and city. The loss of life might be high along with the loss of New Orleans.
That's what the wife and I were talking about in disbelief. We couldn't believe the mayor was messing around with lawyers instead of trying to ensure the safety of the residents of his city. But, we really couldn't believe that when he is failing to be a leader, the governor wouldn't step in. What is wrong with those people?
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 28/14:17:00Z B. 25 deg 58 min N 088 deg 03 min W C. 700 mb 2294 m D. NA kt E. deg nm F. 306 deg 140 kt G. 221 deg 014 nm H. 907 mb I. 12 C/ 3059 m J. 26 C/ 3048 m K. 6 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C22 N. 12345/ 7 O. 1 / 1 nm P. AF302 1712A KATRINA OB 21 MAX FL WIND 166 KTS OUTBOUND NE QUAD 1422Z. PERFECT STADIUM EFFECT AND TEXTBOOK RADAR DEPICTION OF EYEWALL.
No you can't stop Ma Nature.
Then, they will all blame GW when the storm hits and people did not get out in time. He will be blamed for not giving the mandatory evac orders.
Idiots.
So they delayed their message to the masses just so the governor could get camera face time? sheesh
The Superdome environment is going to get ugly.
WE can get ready to help with the after effects, when the survivors will really need our help...
the contraflow begins just after the top of that cam image.
The news just announced that there aren't enough shelters in New Orleans that can handle a cat 5, and they are only opening them for people who are unable to evacuate.
One of the reasons I choose to live here in the Hampton Roads area is the weather very few hurricanes, and the one we get every decade or so is no more than a cat1 (so far). Mild winters and bearable summers. We call dust devils tornadoes. No major brush or forest fires, no mud slides, no noticeable earthquakes.
Me too.
Thank you , Northern Yankee!
I really can't remember the last time I saw such a lack of leadership.
What I don't get is that we've heard that New Orleans has had a plan for this sort of thing for years. And now it's here.
But this mayor had to talk with his lawyers firs to see if he could order an evacuation.
Did he not consult The Plan?
NHC just increased winds to 175MH!!!!!!
If I had not been worried before now, after watching my "leaders" during this press conference.......I'd be in an all out panic.........LOL.
It is 9:44am CDT. The eye of a category 5 hurricane is forecast to be over New Orleans by 1am CDT tomorrow. They are just now ordering the evacuation. This leaves people around 14 hours. At least one interstate through the city (I-10) is at total gridlock, with the mandatory evacuation order now adding to the overall traffic in the city. The Director of FEMA has said that agency evacuation models require 48-72 hours for a city of this size, also that it requires the Governor and Mayor to order it. Major traffic jams can easily last over 14 hours.
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