Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

[janetjanet998]

all..this storm is growing in size and should strengthen rapidly..it may not matter if it hits NO directly or not for huge damage....
the area of hurricane force winds may be huge and even a rather wide area of CAT 3 winds..bottom line its not a little point on the map at landfall

[M. Espinola]

Thank you for being right on top of this hurricane and supplying all the data & multi-threads.

[Torie]

Hammerstrike. And the band plays on in Jackson Square, the buggy rides are still operating, the bars open, and the tourists out. It could be the makings of a very horrific tragedy.

[IndyTiger]

You are right! From Google...As the center was preparing the list of hurricane names for 1969, John suggested Camille as the "C" name, in honor of his daughter. Little did John Hope know that both he and his daughter would make history in 1969. Camille became the second most powerful hurricane to reach land in the history of the United States, and John was covering the storm.

[fooman]

I think that would be xtrapolation. if the storm did not turn and just went on current track...

[Dog Gone]

The computer models are conclusive. If New Orleans takes a direct hit by a Category 4 storm, regardless of the angle of approach, the city gets 20 feet of filthy floodwater at a minimum.

I wonder if Dan Rather intends to report on this storm.

[abb]

New Orleans - "The City that Care Forgot"

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

Now he's done it, now it's Bushes Storm!

Direct from the Washington Post!

[Ellesu]

What a mess. Check out this oyster bar cam. Good Luck to those who are staying in New Orleans.

http://www.nola.com/oystercam/index.ssf

[USAF0021]

Because of clouds, the satellite can't read the sea surface temps (it would read the temps of the tops of the clouds instead), which accounts for the big blank spots in the shape of the storm :)

[SauronOfMordor]

Clearing VA Hospitals in NO, BR, Biloxi and Gulfport sounds downright incredible to accomplish in 24 hours.

Remember these are military hospitals. I would guess the military could assemble whatever resources were needed to protect their own

[M. Espinola]

Great graphic. If the path is correct what remains of Katrina will end over Niagara Falls!

[Tuxedo]

The nice thing about John Hope is he would cut through the BS with the other forecasters getting all excited and gloom and doomy about the storms. He had a way of calming people down yet being deadly serious. Back then, the Weather Channel was a great source for information. Now, they are just another news network.

[Ingtar]

I've been there! I think we went after an Aints game.

[NautiNurse]

Baton Rouge and Lafayette are imperiled too with the size of this storm. That's an awesome spaghetti model map.

[Torie]

This shop whose owner I know hasn't even bothered to close and move his very expensive photographs upstairs. I guess he has good insurance.

[IndyTiger]

The programming format of the Weather Channel (i.e., cutting away every six minutes for commercials and local forecasts) seems to work against them when major breaking weather stories happen. Last summer I found coverage on CNN and FOX far superior to the WC when reporting on the FLA hurricanes.

[silentknight]

Check out the latest visible shot

http://www5.wright-weather.com/bb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=48399&perpage=25&pagenumber=4

VERY high cloud tops near the center.

[shield]

Yeh, imagine a 130 pound rat (Hillary).

HILDABEAST IS MORE LIKE 150 POUND RAT...she has a way of covering up that fat butt and those ugly legs...