Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[GaltMeister]

Moon Griffon has a recipe for Nutria Rat on a Stick.

I have always heard nutria and SPAM is good, but it's a bitch to cook properly.

[NautiNurse]

Did I hear the nutria are big enough to eat small pets?

[janetjanet998]

SAT...huge blowup around both the "big wide eye" and the smaller one....who knows what this will look like by morning

[simon says what]

They also reported on Fox that hotels are booked solid as far to the north as Nashville and as far west as Dallas.

I just did a search on the Marriott website for hotels in Nashville, Memphis, Birmingham, and Jackson MS.

Nashville and Birmingham have plenty of hotels with rooms. Memphis only has 2 Marriott properties with rooms still available. Jackson, MS was booked solid.

[abb]

It's like Gunny R. Lee Ermy said once, "There ain't nothing Louisiana Hot Sauce can't fix."

[Gabz]

Sounds like they are sticking with the 4PM plan.

Sure soudned it to me.

[NautiNurse]

I see the inreased convection. She's still be moving due west too.

[Lessismore]

When I visited several years ago, my recollection is that they were having a competition for the best nutria recipe, since as you said they breed prodigiously.

Apparently, they have not caught on as a delicacy.

[GaltMeister]

Check this link out, I guess they do eat the dang things:

Louisiana Nutria Recipe

Chef Philippe Parola Commandeur des Cordon Bleu de France

http://www.lacoast.gov/watermarks/2000b-06/3recipe/

[rwfromkansas]

It has not strenghtened much if any, but it is growing so big that any dry air intrusion may not weaken it much at this point. This is not a tiny system.

On the other hand, it means it takes longer to get organized, but it has plenty of time to grow stronger, and since its cycle would be slower than a tight, small storm, I am concerned this thing may be on the strengthening phase as it comes in or just entering an ERC....

[janetjanet998]

amaing convection increase the past 30-40 minutes..put the vis in motion and infrared too

[CajunConservative]

Yeah, those Pierre Part cajuns would probably eat them.

[4everontheRight]

"The live shots from Fox news show the freeways moving at about 2 mph outbound"

According to my sister, the traffic is mainly due to construction. Does anyone else know if that is right? She said construction is going on at the I-10/610 split and that traffic the news keeps showing is due mostly to that.

[M. Espinola]

"I can't believe Camille isn't in that list of retired names. It was one of the worst I can remember in my lifetime."

Camille, with monstrous winds of over 200 mph, should be very close to the top of any hurricane list, if not at the top.

Hurricane Camille 1969

Before and After Hurricane Camille:

[rwfromkansas]

based on the track overlay on the NHC sat link, it looks like it pretty much is following the NHC track.

Not good news.

We should start seeing a turn in maybe 3-4 hours.

[Dog Gone]

It wouldn't be surprising that the news shows would show the worst traffic possible, even if it is misleading as to why.

I really don't expect traffic to get horrible until tomorrow, when it's already far too late to try to get out.

[Carolinamom]

Weather Channel guy said folks in NO should evacuate by tonight because tomorrow morning would be "too late".

[Blennos]

picture of long bridge suspended over bottomless chasm

Thank you Torie. My blood pressure went up just looking at that abominable thing. Where is it anyway? One more place in the world that I do not want to visit.

[myprecious]

There are several issues that most people overlook. This storm is moving slowly at 7 mph. It is big with hurricane force winds extending 40 miles from center, so 80 miles across. The poor folks that get hit may have to spend 11 1/2 hours just to get the winds to drop to tropical force.

The force of a storm is measured by SUSTAINED winds, not gusts. To get a idea of what sustained winds of 70 mph feel like, roll down your window while driving. Gusts push through with even higher. You can lean forward into 80 mph wind and not fall down.

This is going to be bad.

[gov_bean_ counter]

It was pretty amazing to go into the Broadwater and see water marks at the top of the lobby in a hotel that was already between 30 and 40 feet (est?) above sea level.