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Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
"Omy! What should I do! What should I do!"...Turning to see what others want her to do. lol
Yup. Could be thousands. This is shaping up to be a major disaster in NO.
"I have noticed everyone blaming the NHC for not giving them enough notice."
Of course! I think I'd faint if I heard someone on TV say, "Well, I made a bad decision and..."
Too heck with how many people COULD DIE!!!
Forget the fact that a large percentage won't leave no matter what. Could it be done in time? I don't think so.
No hurricane ever has gotten me this concerned. This one looks like the doomsday scenario I've been reading about for years.
Yes, one would think that! Now you can see why so many are leaving Louisiana permanently!
She has always been a puppet...
Holy Moly .. the tracks are all aligning to a very focused area and dangerous. These NO folks need to get out NOW. What is it that's the predictive evidence of that turn to the north? When I look at it on radar, it's still going so westerly.
Do any of you south LA folks remember when the Greyhound bus went off the causeway back in the 60s.
I still have vivid memories of that. I was close by at that time in Covington and old 51 was the only way into NO from western MS.
Yes they have. Earlier in the thread a link was posted to the LA evacuation plan. It calls for 3 stages of evacuation. New Orleans is in the 2nd stage of evacuation, the first is the lower parishes closes to the coast, which HAVE had evacuation orders given. The reason for the staging, IIRC, is to allow those furthest south the chance to get out before the roads are swamped with N.O. evacuees.
Just checking in. I'm assuming that the scenario you are talking about is New Orleans? Everyone forgive me as I have not been on top of this thing.
the models this year have been almost dead on within 3 days....and an NOAA aircraft has been flying around the gulf providing the models with extra data
Yes, that's what is at play here. What if she calls for evacuation and the storm somehow misses New Orleans? Why, her political career could be in jeopardy!
No, I have only been here for 4 years. That bridge scares me to death! Not a safe feeling when you can't see any land!
And she was smokin' at about 20kt when she came in too.
She knows the looting that will occur if she evacs.
They mentioned on the radio that the traffic was more like 5 o'clock traffic as opposed to the bumper to bumper traffic they had during Ivan.
The foil hat conspiracy theories about an Andrew death toll coverup are an abject crock.
Humans have a surprising ability to survive in house that suffer catastrophic wind damage; the only way to kill truly huge numbers of people with a tropical system is flooding, either surge or rain.
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