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Gallup: Bush Approval Rating Continues to Drop (40% Approval 29% Repubs polled)
Gallup News Service ^ | August 26, 2005 | Frank Newport and Jeff Jones

Posted on 08/26/2005 4:00:49 PM PDT by RWR8189

PRINCETON, NJ -- A new Gallup Poll reflects further erosion in President George W. Bush's job approval rating, continuing the slow but steady decline evident throughout the year so far. The poll -- conducted Aug. 22-25 -- puts Bush's job approval rating at 40% and his disapproval rating at 56%. Both are the most negative ratings of the Bush administration. Bush's previous low point in approval was 44% (July 25-28, 2005) and his previous high point in disapproval was 53% (June 24-26, 2005).  

 

Bush's average approval rating for the last three Gallup Polls -- all conducted in August -- is 43%. The rolling average has been steadily declining throughout the year. Bush's average approval ratings for January, February, and March of this year were in the 50% to 52% range, but they then began declining slowly in subsequent months. Bush's average approval rating in May was 48%, declining to 46% in June, rising slightly in July, and then declining again to the current three-poll average of 43%.

The following chart shows the rolling average for Bush's job approval rating this year, with each average consisting of three poll measurements. 

 

The current poll finds a drop in support for Bush among independents, and a small drop in support among Republicans to the lowest level of his administration.

In two July polls in which Bush averaged an overall 49% approval rating, an average of 46% of independents approved. In the subsequent three polls (July 25-28, Aug. 5-7, and Aug. 8-11), Bush's overall approval average dropped to 45%, and his average support among independents fell to 37%. Now, in the current poll, 32% of independents approve. (An average of 41% of independents have approved across all 2005 polls to date, excluding the most recent poll.)

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: approval; bias; bullzogby; bush43; gallup; jobapproval; mediabias; poll; polls; term2; zogbyism
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To: Jeff Head
BS. The only poll that mattered was taken in November...and Bush knows it as do these others.

The polls in 2006 may matter if it hands Congress to the Dems. We all tend to believe polls when they are giving good news (were they any less valid for the ~ 90% approval rating after 9-11?), and dismiss the bad. But people are uneasy with the perceived mess in Iraq. We can bicker about the MSM not giving a clear picture, but perception is reality in politics, and the admistration had better go on the offensive and assure the people that what gets established in Iraq is ultimately friendly to us, and worth the lives and limbs of our soldiers.

If what gets established in Iraq is an Islamic regime friendly with Iran, then the administration has only itself to blame - the uneasiness that is reflected in the polls is real.

21 posted on 08/26/2005 4:14:34 PM PDT by podkane
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To: RWR8189
Its real accurate to poll when you use a random sample and do not reweight the data to a pre-concieved idea of what party identification "should be"

Actually that is NOT at all the way to conduct an accurate poll. Polling firms spend a lot of time and money trying to nail an good representative sample. The control for voting patterns, past election results a whole lot of different things. Just randomly calling 1000 people is NOT a good polling technique. For the very reason shown here. What do you suppose would happen if you polled 40-40-20 instead? But that is ok, I know that defeats the purpose certain Freepers have for posting this nonsense if we explain polling reality. This is just the excuse all the Chicken Littles look for to come out and scream about how the Sky is falling just like you did LAST Aug and Oct. Remind me, how many election have all you "experts" won?
22 posted on 08/26/2005 4:15:05 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (If you try to be smarter, I will try to be nicer.)
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To: RWR8189

Democracy is Not a Popularity Contest !!

/s


23 posted on 08/26/2005 4:15:09 PM PDT by AdamSelene235 (Truth has become so rare and precious she is always attended to by a bodyguard of lies.)
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To: RWR8189

What is MSM approval ratings these days?


24 posted on 08/26/2005 4:18:01 PM PDT by TexasTransplant (NEMO ME IMPUNE LACESSET)
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To: podkane
Sorry...I do not buy it. I give the American people more credit than that. It is true that there is a significant portion of our society that is against the mission in Iraq...and sadly a significant portion of them who are just flatly against fundamental American ideals, and they voted that way in support of Kerry.

But even more voted the other way and the demos numbers dwindled. I believe they will dwindle even further in the mid terms.

25 posted on 08/26/2005 4:19:46 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: RWR8189

In other words, polling is basically BS


26 posted on 08/26/2005 4:20:37 PM PDT by kaktuskid
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To: Patriot from Philly

Gallup the last poll before the election gave Kerry 90 percent of the undecided. They had them even 49-49 but if they had given bush a fair amount of the undecided he would have been ahead by 2 points in their final poll. Just a little bias there.


27 posted on 08/26/2005 4:21:50 PM PDT by johnmecainrino
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To: RWR8189

Typical fraudulent push poll.


28 posted on 08/26/2005 4:23:09 PM PDT by KamperKen
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To: Patriot from Philly
Gallop is a pretty credible pollster.

Yeah, right. They were one of the worst in 2004. They were almost as sauced as Zogby but not quite.

29 posted on 08/26/2005 4:25:07 PM PDT by COEXERJ145 (Cindy Sheehan, Pat Buchanan, John Conyers, and David Duke Are Just Different Sides of the Same Coin.)
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To: RWR8189
IS this the same Gallup poll that "assigned" 90% of undecided voters to John Kerry based on nothing in order to show Kerry surging near the election?

Actually the question is rhetorical, I know the answer. So I have nothing but scorn for Gallup. Of course they may be right about Bush's approval but I don't give a crap, I mostly approve.

30 posted on 08/26/2005 4:26:47 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: johnmecainrino

True, but Bush's numbers are down. Now maybe he's decided that he's going to do what it takes to protect this country, but he is much more effective if he has 53/54 approval.

Bush is somewhat at the mercy of facts on the ground, but he could have handled that horrible week when 21 Marines were killed. That caused unease and the Bush administration did not handle it well. There was a vacuum and along comes Cindy. And now we're down to 40% approval.

I'd like to see the whole PR/communications team at the White House fired. They are always blind sided by this stuff.


31 posted on 08/26/2005 4:28:28 PM PDT by Patriot from Philly
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To: Patriot from Philly

two issues are causing this

illegal invasion
gas prices

but who really cares


32 posted on 08/26/2005 4:30:58 PM PDT by jneesy (certified southern right wing hillbilly nutjob)
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I WANT to like Bush. I NEED to like Bush. I think he has a tin ear to the general public. At least, when he talks through the media he sounds detached, and scripted.

The best thing for him to do is break through the handlers and tell people what he really thinks.

He lost me months ago. The '06 elections are going to be ugly.


33 posted on 08/26/2005 4:34:18 PM PDT by Vermont Lt (I am not from Vermont. I lived there for four years and that was enough.)
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To: RWR8189
I wonder what the approval rating is Congress and the MSM?
34 posted on 08/26/2005 4:38:19 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Mesocons for Rice '08)
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To: RWR8189
Just when we got over Gallups prediction of the Kerry win. Who cares, the clintons haven't sullied the WH in years and if his rating is zero, he's still CIC!! What was the mix 90-10??

Pray for W and Our Freedom Fighters

35 posted on 08/26/2005 4:42:44 PM PDT by bray (Pray for the Freedom of the Iraqis from Islam)
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To: Patriot from Philly
What do we do to turn this around. He could be down to 35% soon, only the core left.

I have a sense that his numbers have just about bottomed out and will begin to climb back to normal again. The left has over-extended on their undermining of our people in Iraq and will soon do the same regarding the John Roberts hearings. Americans have not really been paying attention, but the rats over-the-top behavior, together with things like the "you don't speak for me, Cindy" traveling demonstration will wake them up and fill them with disgust.

I hope.

36 posted on 08/26/2005 4:44:00 PM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson (My brain maybe tiny but it is quite accurate.)
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To: RWR8189
YAWWWWWWNNNNN

"On March 18, 1981, The New York Times ran a brief report on the Gallup poll at the bottom of page 22: ...As the story went on to point out, not only were Reagan’s "approval" ratings the lowest, but his "disapproval" ratings were nearly three times higher than the ratings of other presidents."

Nov./Dec., 1987 The Myth of the Great Communicator By Elliot King and Michael Schudson

37 posted on 08/26/2005 4:50:30 PM PDT by Matchett-PI (Science without religion is lame, religion without science is blind'. Albert Einstein)
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To: Homer_J_Simpson

Your post made me feel better. I'm hoping the President turns it around soon. He seems listless, tired to me. Maybe that vacation will help. Plus a new communications head!


38 posted on 08/26/2005 4:53:01 PM PDT by Patriot from Philly
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To: dogbyte12

Let's just toss out the guy that actually got the 2004 election on the money? That makes sense.

LLS


39 posted on 08/26/2005 4:55:32 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Preserve America... kill terrorists... destroy dims!)
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To: escapefromboston
Jeez now he will never win re-election.

I think that the pollsters are hoping that Bush resigns after he hits the magic number of only 20% approval, or is it 10%?

Or maybe that's not it at all. Perhaps the pollsters are hoping that when he reaches very low poll numbers he'll change all of his administrations policies, such as pulling out of Iraq, raising taxes, funding for Kyoto, embryonic stem-cell research, approving of abortions, etc. Hey, maybe they want Bush to sell more military secrets to the Chinese, like a previous president did.

I think I nailed it because I can't think of any other reassons for conducting useless presidential polls. President Bush doesn't run his administration based on polls and I'm very thankful of that.
40 posted on 08/26/2005 4:55:53 PM PDT by adorno
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